Arouca v Rio Ave prediction
Team pages: Arouca · Rio Ave · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Arouca v Rio Ave, Primeira Liga on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Arouca host Rio Ave in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 15:30 UK).
Form and the table
Nine of Arouca’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Arouca’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Arouca have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 0.86. Arouca have scored 11 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Arouca have conceded seven goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Six of Rio Ave’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Rio Ave’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Rio Ave have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 1.13. Rio Ave have scored eight goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Rio Ave have conceded 17 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Arouca are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Arouca (fifth) and Rio Ave (14th) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Arouca the stronger side, 225 rating points above Rio Ave (Arouca 1690, Rio Ave 1466, after at least 180 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Arouca are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Rio Ave. The most recent meeting, on 31 January 2026, finished Rio Ave 0–3 Arouca.
Team news
Predicted Arouca XI (4-2-3-1): I. de Arruabarrena, J. Fontán, T. Esgaio, O. Lebedenko, J. Sánchez, T. Fukui, N. Djouahra, A. Trezza, E. van Ee, P. Gozálbez, Barbero — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, José Fontán (4.1 per match over eight appearances, two goals) and Näis Djouahra (4.1 per match over eight appearances, five assists) have been Arouca’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Arouca (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), José Fontán averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 720 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances. Näis Djouahra averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 670 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances.
Predicted Rio Ave XI (4-2-3-1): E. van der Gouw, F. Petrasso, G. Mancha, G. Liavas, N. Abbey, T. Nikitscher, D. Bezerra, A. Ntoi, D. Nascimento, M. Patricío, T. Monteiro — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jalen Blesa (5.1 per match over eight appearances, three goals and one assist) and Diogo Bezerra (3.6 per match over eight appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Rio Ave’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rio Ave (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jalen Blesa averages 1.0 shots per 90 over 696 minutes, with a shot in six of the last eight appearances. Diogo Bezerra averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 630 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Primeira Liga
- Head-to-head (last 6): Arouca 1 · draws 4 · Rio Ave 1 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Arouca 2W 2D 1L · Rio Ave 2W 1D 2L
Arouca v Rio Ave (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Arouca for / against | Line | Rio Ave for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.13 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 2.88 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4 for · 6.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 7.86 for · 16.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.5 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.29 for · 6 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.5 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 8.86 for · 12.57 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.38 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.43 for · 1.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
Arouca
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Mayulu n 8 | 10 | 6.8 | 0 | — |
| D. Nandín n 8 | 21.9 | 3.6 | 4.6 | — |
| B. Mansilla n 8 | 13.4 | 2.5 | 1.7 | — |
| Mario Climent n 8 | 59.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 | — |
| E. van Ee n 8 | 70.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nandín n 8 | 21.9 | 3.1 | 2.1 |
| Barbero n 8 | 71.5 | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| B. Mansilla n 8 | 13.4 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| F. Mayulu n 8 | 10 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| N. Djouahra n 8 | 83.8 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Nandín n 8 | 21.9 | 1 | 0.5 |
| Barbero n 8 | 71.5 | 0.8 | 0 |
| N. Djouahra n 8 | 83.8 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Lee Hyun-Ju n 8 | 56.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| José Fontán n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Pedro Santos n 8 | 23.9 | 5.2 |
| O. Lebedenko n 8 | 80.8 | 2.4 |
| Pablo Gozálbez n 8 | 47.4 | 2.4 |
| Mario Climent n 8 | 59.9 | 2.3 |
| T. Fukui n 8 | 87.3 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| I. de Arruabarrena n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
Rio Ave
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Nikitscher n 8 | 77.5 | 1.9 | 1.9 | — |
| A. Ntoi n 8 | 66.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 | — |
| D. Špikić n 8 | 46.8 | 1.7 | 1 | — |
| Roland Galčík n 8 | 40.6 | 1.7 | 0.8 | — |
| S. Garcia n 5 | 58.8 | 1.5 | 0.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sellouki n 8 | 53.3 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| S. Clemmensen n 8 | 62.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Tamble Monteiro n 8 | 55.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Roland Galčík n 8 | 40.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Miguel Patricío n 5 | 41.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Blesa n 8 | 87 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Diogo Bezerra n 8 | 78.8 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| S. Clemmensen n 8 | 62.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Roland Galčík n 8 | 40.6 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Diogo Nascimento n 8 | 57.5 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Vrousai n 8 | 39.9 | 4.8 |
| N. Abbey n 8 | 73.5 | 3.1 |
| T. Nikitscher n 8 | 77.5 | 3 |
| G. Liavas n 8 | 68.9 | 2 |
| Pedro Amaral n 8 | 62.3 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. van der Gouw n 8 | 91.1 | 3.5 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Arouca v Rio Ave — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-01-31 Rio Ave 0–3 Arouca
- 2025-08-23 Arouca 3–3 Rio Ave
- 2025-02-10 Arouca 1–1 Rio Ave
- 2024-09-01 Rio Ave 1–0 Arouca
- 2024-04-19 Rio Ave 1–1 Arouca
- 2023-12-10 Arouca 2–2 Rio Ave
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Arouca and Rio Ave?
- In their last 6 meetings, Arouca won 1, Rio Ave won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Arouca and Rio Ave?
- Recent form — Arouca 2W 2D 1L; Rio Ave 2W 1D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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