FC Porto v Benfica result

Full-time · FC Porto 3–1 Benfica

Primeira Liga · · Estádio Do Dragão

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FC Porto · Benfica · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

FC Porto 3–1 Benfica — FC Porto won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.35 at William Hill
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

FC Porto beat Benfica 3–1 at Estádio Do Dragão in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 20 September. Benfica have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

FC Porto led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — FC Porto: Gabri Veiga (31’, assisted by Pepê Aquino), Victor Mow Froholdt (54’, assisted by André Silva) and Hwang In-Beom (60’, assisted by André Silva); Benfica: Alexander Bah (51’, assisted by G. Prestianni). Clément Lenglet (35’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Victor Mow Froholdt’s goal on 54 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: FC Porto 1.30, Benfica 0.84, from 20 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Miguel Nogueira, Portugal showed eight yellow cards and one red — against 4.9 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — FC Porto: Gabri Veiga (5’), Hwang In-Beom (80’) and Oskar Pietuszewski (90+2’); Benfica: Clément Lenglet (25’), G. Prestianni (34’), Clément Lenglet (35’), Alexander Bah (90+3’) and Tomás Araújo (90+3’).

What it changes

FC Porto stay first after this result (seven league matches played).

Benfica stay second after this result (seven league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Victor Mow Froholdt (FC Porto) 7.8, André Silva (FC Porto) 7.2 and Hwang In-Beom (FC Porto) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, FC Porto or Benfica (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).

Next up

FC Porto next host PSV Eindhoven on 20 October 2026.

Benfica next travel to Omonia Nicosia on 22 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for FC Porto: FC Porto v PSV Eindhoven, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Benfica: Omonia Nicosia v Benfica, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: FC Porto 3–1 Benfica · Primeira Liga
  • Venue: Estádio Do Dragão · Porto
  • Referee: Miguel Nogueira, Portugal
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): FC Porto 2 · draws 2 · Benfica 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: FC Porto 4W 0D 1L · Benfica 5W 0D 0L

FC Porto 3–1 Benfica (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 3.38
Goals
against 0.5 / 0.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.88 / 6.88
Corners
against 4.25 / 2.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 7.63
Shots on target
against 3.13 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.5 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.88 yellows
Referee · Miguel Nogueira, Portugal
2.25 home / 2.63 away
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFC Porto for / againstLineBenfica for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 0.5 against n 8
2.5our book
3.38 for · 0.5 against n 8
Corners won
6.88 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
6.88 for · 2.63 against n 8
Shots
13.88 for · 11.75 against n 8
19.5standard
19 for · 6.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 3.13 against n 8
8.5standard
7.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
11.63 for · 15.25 against n 8
Cards shown
0.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: Miguel Nogueira, Portugal — 4.88 yellow cards a game, 0.63 red cards, 26.13 fouls over 8 matches (2.25 to the home side, 2.63 to the away side).

FC Porto
FC Porto — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Gül n 835.6
6.37/5
0.62/0
—
Alberto Baio n 878.9
2.67/6
1.75/4
—
P. Rosario n 882.8
1.86/3
1.65/4
F. Aursnes
Gabri Veiga n 871.5
1.76/3
1.35/2
F. Aursnes
O. Pietuszewski n 856.9
1.64/3
3.27/5
—
FC Porto — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Borja Sainz n 827.6
3.75/2
3.34/2
D. Gül n 835.6
3.54/4
0.93/0
Rodrigo Mora n 846.6
2.95/4
1.24/1
S. Giménez n 824.5
2.85/1
1.83/1
William n 869.4
2.38/5
1.56/3
FC Porto — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Borja Sainz n 827.6
1.23/0
00/0
Gabri Veiga n 871.5
0.53/0
0.53/0
William n 869.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
André Silva n 861.1
0.63/0
00/0
S. Giménez n 824.5
0.51/0
00/0
FC Porto — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
William n 869.4
3.26/5
Gabri Veiga n 871.5
2.56/5
O. Pietuszewski n 856.9
2.46/3
Francisco Moura n 854.9
2.36/4
Alberto Baio n 878.9
26/5
FC Porto — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Diogo Costa n 890
3.24/4
Benfica
Benfica — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Manu n 818.9
4.23/2
00/0
—
R. Rios n 851.9
37/4
2.47/2
—
F. Aursnes n 845.4
2.24/2
13/1
Gabri Veiga
L. Barreiro n 864
2.18/2
2.18/3
—
J. Duran n 826.3
2.15/0
1.72/1
—
Benfica — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Prestianni n 873.3
3.78/7
1.87/3
V. Pavlidis n 861.5
3.77/7
2.46/4
D. Lukebakio n 838.3
2.64/4
1.22/1
C. Echeverri n 839
26/1
1.44/1
J. Duran n 826.3
1.73/1
0.92/0
Benfica — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
V. Pavlidis n 861.5
1.55/2
0.42/0
G. Prestianni n 873.3
0.85/0
0.53/0
A. Schjelderup n 844.9
0.52/0
0.51/1
L. Barreiro n 864
0.41/1
0.21/0
A. Bah n 860.5
0.21/0
0.42/0
Benfica — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Daniel Banjaqui n 387
3.83/3
João Palhinha n 875.3
3.78/7
F. Aursnes n 845.4
35/4
E. Barrenechea n 838.3
2.64/2
A. Schjelderup n 844.9
2.33/2
Benfica — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Trubin n 886.5
3.67/7
Samuel Soares n 885.3
1.53/1

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FC PortoBenfica
45%Possession55%
1.30Expected goals (xG)0.84
20Shots12
7Shots on target3
7Shots off target5
6Blocked shots4
12Shots inside the box8
3Corners3
2Offsides0
17Fouls12
3Yellow cards5
0Red cards1
1Saves4
343Passes425
90%Pass accuracy85%

FC Porto player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Diogo Costa9000001006.9
Alberto Baio9000002006.7
J. Bednarek9000100107.2
J. Kiwior9000000106.9
Victor Mow Froholdt9010112307.2
P. Rosario9000211308.6
André Silva8502313007.9
Pepê Aquino8501113207
Martim Fernandes6900100005.9
William6900110106.3
Gabri Veiga38103102Y7.9
Hwang In-Beom sub52101122Y7.9
Francisco Moura sub2100000006.7
Borja Sainz sub2100000006.7
O. Pietuszewski sub10000000Y6.3
Samu sub1000000006.5

Benfica player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Samuel Soares9000000107.3
A. Bah90102201Y7.2
Tomás Araújo90001002Y7.5
João Palhinha9000001507.2
V. Pavlidis9000212206.9
S. Dahl8500000106.2
F. Aursnes7400001206.6
Rafa7400202106.7
G. Prestianni74011011Y7.2
H. Sudakov3800002106.3
Clément Lenglet35000001RY5.5
A. Circati sub5200000006.2
L. Barreiro sub1600000006.3
D. Lukebakio sub1600000006.3
A. Schjelderup sub1600001006.5
S. El Karouani sub1000001107

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind FC Porto v Benfica — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC PortoWWWLW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
BenficaWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.8 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
FC Porto 2 · 2 draws · Benfica 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-03-08 Benfica 2–2 FC Porto
  • 2026-01-14 FC Porto 1–0 Benfica
  • 2025-10-05 FC Porto 0–0 Benfica
  • 2025-04-06 FC Porto 1–4 Benfica
  • 2024-11-10 Benfica 4–1 FC Porto
  • 2024-03-03 FC Porto 5–0 Benfica
League standing · 2026/27
FC Porto#1 pos24 pts8 pl+16 GD
Benfica#2 pos19 pts8 pl+17 GD
Goals per game
FC Porto scored2.5
Benfica scored3
FC Porto conceded0.5
Benfica conceded0.88

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for FC Porto v Benfica?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Porto v Benfica was Home or Away (best price 1.35 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between FC Porto and Benfica?
In their last 6 meetings, FC Porto won 2, Benfica won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Porto and Benfica?
Recent form — FC Porto 4W 0D 1L; Benfica 5W 0D 0L.

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