FC Porto v Estoril prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat, 31 Oct 2026 20:30 GMT · Estádio Do Dragão

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 01:03 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FC Porto · Estoril · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for FC Porto v Estoril, Primeira Liga on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 20:30 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4833 landed (95% range 76.2–78.5%); it had given them 74.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,737 of 2,344 times (74.1%), against an average rating of 73.3%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

FC Porto host Estoril in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 20:30 UK); the model’s free pick is FC Porto or Estoril (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

FC Porto have conceded four goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Estoril are winless in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of FC Porto’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of FC Porto’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, FC Porto have six wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.25 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 0.63. FC Porto have scored 21 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Five of Estoril’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in nine of Estoril’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Estoril have no wins, three draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.38 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.38. Estoril have scored five goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Estoril have conceded 15 goals, the seventh-most of the 18 clubs.

FC Porto (first) and Estoril (18th) are 25 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FC Porto the stronger side, 778 rating points above Estoril (FC Porto 2057, Estoril 1279, after at least 213 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

FC Porto are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Estoril. The most recent meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Estoril 1–3 FC Porto.

Team news

Predicted FC Porto XI (4-3-3): D. Costa, J. Kiwior, A. Baio, J. Bednarek, F. Moura, V. Froholdt, P. Rosario, G. Veiga, P. Aquino, A. Silva, B. Sainz — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gabri Veiga (5.1 per match over 12 appearances, five goals and three assists) and William (4.1 per match over nine appearances, two goals and two assists) have been FC Porto’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Porto (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gabri Veiga averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 786 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. William averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 589 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Estoril XI (4-2-3-1): J. Robles, X. Sintes, Ferro, R. Jurišić, R. Sánchez, J. Holsgrove, J. Carvalho, A. Tsoungui, M. Robin, I. Sierra, Y. Begraoui — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Jordan Holsgrove (4.4 per match over six appearances, one assist) and Ferro (3.6 per match over seven appearances) have been Estoril’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Estoril (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jordan Holsgrove averages 3.0 key passes per 90 over 477 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last six appearances. Ferro averages 3.3 tackles per 90 over 603 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 31 Oct 2026 20:30 GMT · Primeira Liga · Estádio Do Dragão
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): FC Porto 5 · draws 0 · Estoril 1 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: FC Porto 3W 0D 2L · Estoril 0W 1D 4L

FC Porto v Estoril (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 0.63

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

5.13 / 4.86

Corners

against 3.38 / 4 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5.13 / 5.57

Shots on target

against 4.5 / 4.71 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.5 / 2.57

Cards

against 3 / 1.14 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	FC Porto for / against	Line	Estoril for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	0.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.13 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.86 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	15.13 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.29 for · 14.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	5.13 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.57 for · 4.71 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.75 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.43 for · 13.43 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.5 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.57 for · 1.14 against n 7 Last 5

FC Porto

FC Porto Goalkeeper

FC Porto — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Diogo Costa	12	901080 min	332.8 /90	50.4 /90	00 /90

FC Porto — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Porto before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Diogo Costa n 8	90	3.1 6/4

FC Porto Defensive

FC Porto — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Kiwior	12	901080 min	121 /90	100.8 /90	30.3 /90	504.2 /90	121 /90	10.1 /90
Alberto Baio	11	77842 min	131.4 /90	70.7 /90	40.4 /90	475 /90	212.2 /90	00 /90
J. Bednarek	10	85853 min	80.8 /90	212.2 /90	70.7 /90	495.2 /90	90.9 /90	00 /90
Z. Sanusi	6	75447 min	20.4 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90	163.2 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90
Martim Fernandes	6	62373 min	102.4 /90	41 /90	00 /90	204.8 /90	30.7 /90	00 /90
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FC Porto — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Porto before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Kiwior n 8	90	0.9 5/1	0.6 4/1	—
Diogo Costa n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Pepê Aquino n 8	87.4	1.2 6/2	1.7 7/5	—
P. Rosario n 8	82.1	1.8 6/4	1.8 7/4	—
Gabri Veiga n 8	59.4	1.5 6/2	1.9 6/4	—
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FC Porto — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Porto before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Kiwior n 8	90	1 6/2
Pepê Aquino n 8	87.4	1.7 6/4
P. Rosario n 8	82.1	1.2 6/2
Gabri Veiga n 8	59.4	2.1 5/3
André Silva n 8	63.9	0.4 1/1
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FC Porto Attacking

FC Porto — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Pepê Aquino	12	861028 min	00 /90	50.4 /90	111 /90	20.2 /90	171.5 /90	70.6 /90
André Silva	12	65775 min	30.3 /90	20.2 /90	182.1 /90	70.8 /90	91 /90	30.3 /90
Borja Sainz	11	34370 min	30.7 /90	00 /90	92.2 /90	71.7 /90	61.5 /90	20.5 /90
William	9	65589 min	20.3 /90	20.3 /90	152.3 /90	81.2 /90	101.5 /90	50.8 /90
Samu	4	36144 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90	10.6 /90	21.3 /90	10.6 /90
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FC Porto — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Porto before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Kiwior n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
Diogo Costa n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Pepê Aquino n 8	87.4	0.8 5/1	0.3 2/0
P. Rosario n 8	82.1	1 5/2	0.3 2/0
Gabri Veiga n 8	59.4	2.7 8/3	0.8 4/0
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FC Porto — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Porto before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Kiwior n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Diogo Costa n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Pepê Aquino n 8	87.4	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
P. Rosario n 8	82.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Gabri Veiga n 8	59.4	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
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Estoril

Estoril Goalkeeper

Estoril — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Joel Robles	9	90810 min	192.1 /90	131.4 /90	00 /90

Estoril — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estoril before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Joel Robles n 8	90	2.4 4/3

Estoril Defensive

Estoril — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Ricard Sánchez	9	72647 min	152.1 /90	40.6 /90	50.7 /90	263.6 /90	141.9 /90	10.1 /90
Isma Sierra	7	90630 min	50.7 /90	162.3 /90	40.6 /90	334.7 /90	101.4 /90	30.4 /90
Ferro	7	86603 min	223.3 /90	182.7 /90	30.4 /90	406 /90	71 /90	40.6 /90
Fernando Medrano	6	73438 min	122.5 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90	234.7 /90	81.6 /90	10.2 /90
Pedro Carvalho	6	23139 min	53.2 /90	21.3 /90	10.6 /90	95.8 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90
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Estoril — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estoril before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Joel Robles n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
João Carvalho n 8	84.8	0.8 4/1	1.7 8/3	—
Ricard Sánchez n 8	72.6	1.7 6/4	0.5 2/1	—
A. Tsoungui n 8	71.5	2 5/3	1.7 5/3	—
Isma Sierra n 7	90	1.4 5/2	0.9 5/1	—
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Estoril — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estoril before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
João Carvalho n 8	84.8	1.3 5/3
Ricard Sánchez n 8	72.6	1.9 7/4
A. Tsoungui n 8	71.5	2 4/4
Isma Sierra n 7	90	0.7 4/1
Y. Begraoui n 8	90	0.3 2/0
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Estoril Attacking

Estoril — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Y. Begraoui	7	90630 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	111.6 /90	71 /90	71 /90	40.6 /90
Fabrício Garcia	5	33165 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	21.1 /90
Nail Omerovic	4	57227 min	00 /90	00 /90	52 /90	20.8 /90	31.2 /90	52 /90
Peixinho	4	30121 min	10.7 /90	00 /90	32.2 /90	10.7 /90	21.5 /90	21.5 /90
A. Camblan	2	52103 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	21.7 /90	00 /90
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Estoril — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estoril before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Joel Robles n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
João Carvalho n 8	84.8	1.7 6/4	0.7 5/0
Ricard Sánchez n 8	72.6	0.6 3/1	0.5 2/1
A. Tsoungui n 8	71.5	0.8 2/2	0.2 1/0
Y. Begraoui n 8	90	1.6 8/4	1 7/1
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Estoril — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estoril before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Joel Robles n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
João Carvalho n 8	84.8	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Ricard Sánchez n 8	72.6	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
A. Tsoungui n 8	71.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Begraoui n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC Porto v Estoril — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

FC PortoWWLLW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

EstorilLLLDL

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

FC Porto 5 · 0 draws · Estoril 1 · 2.83 goals/game

2026-04-12 Estoril 1–3 FC Porto
2025-11-30 FC Porto 1–0 Estoril
2025-03-30 Estoril 1–2 FC Porto
2024-11-03 FC Porto 4–0 Estoril
2024-03-30 Estoril 1–0 FC Porto
2024-01-09 Estoril 0–4 FC Porto

League standing · 2026/27

FC Porto#1 pos27 pts9 pl+17 GD

Estoril#18 pos2 pts9 pl-10 GD

Goals per game

FC Porto scored2.33

Estoril scored0.56

FC Porto conceded0.44

Estoril conceded1.67

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win FC Porto v Estoril?: TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Porto v Estoril is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between FC Porto and Estoril?: In their last 6 meetings, FC Porto won 5, Estoril won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Porto and Estoril?: Recent form — FC Porto 3W 0D 2L; Estoril 0W 1D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Oct 2026, 01:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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