Nacional v Benfica prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun, 06 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT

Updated 16 Oct 2026, 07:53 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Nacional · Benfica · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Nacional v Benfica, Primeira Liga on Sun, 06 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Nacional host Benfica in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 6 December (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Benfica have scored 27 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

Benfica have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Benfica have won their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Nacional’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Nacional’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Nacional have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.71. Nacional have scored 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Nacional have conceded 19 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

12 of Benfica’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in nine of Benfica’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Benfica have seven wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 2.63 points per game, scoring 3.25 and conceding 0.75. Benfica have conceded eight goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

Nacional (15th) and Benfica (second) are 18 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Benfica the stronger side, 599 rating points above Nacional (Benfica 1979, Nacional 1380, after at least 146 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Benfica are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Nacional, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Benfica 2–0 Nacional.

Team news

Predicted Nacional XI (4-1-4-1): R. Bellucci, Z. Vitor, F. Gonçalves, W. Kokolo, M. Jensen, M. Baeza, C. Labidi, M. Song, S. Gavriel, M. Dias, N. Kader — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Liziero (5.3 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) and Léo Santos (3.9 per match over five appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Nacional’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Nacional (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Liziero averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 338 minutes. Léo Santos averages 1.1 tackles per 90 over 405 minutes, with a tackle in three of the last five appearances.

Predicted Benfica XI (4-2-3-1): A. Trubin, T. Araújo, A. Bah, S. Dahl, A. Circati, F. Aursnes, J. Palhinha, G. Prestianni, Rafa, H. Sudakov, V. Pavlidis — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, G. Prestianni (7.7 per match over 14 appearances, eight goals and six assists) and Vangelis Pavlidis (6.8 per match over 13 appearances, 12 goals and three assists) have been Benfica’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Benfica (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), G. Prestianni averages 3.0 key passes per 90 over 1100 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Vangelis Pavlidis averages 2.8 shots per 90 over 1366 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 06 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT · Primeira Liga
Head-to-head (last 6): Nacional 0 · draws 1 · Benfica 5 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Nacional 1W 0D 4L · Benfica 5W 0D 0L

Nacional v Benfica (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 2.38

Goals

against 2.13 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.86 / 5.63

Corners

against 5.71 / 4.88 · 4 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3.29 / 5.88

Shots on target

against 5.57 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.57 / 3.63

Cards

against 2.29 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Nacional for / against	Line	Benfica for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.38 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.86 for · 5.71 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5.63 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	9 for · 14.14 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	18.38 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.29 for · 5.57 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	5.88 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.71 for · 10 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	11.5 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.57 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	3.63 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5

Nacional

Nacional Goalkeeper

Nacional — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Renato Bellucci	10	90900 min	353.5 /90	151.5 /90	10.1 /90

Nacional — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Renato Bellucci n 8	90	3.2 7/6

Nacional Defensive

Nacional — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Zé Vitor	10	86855 min	181.9 /90	90.9 /90	60.6 /90	525.5 /90	90.9 /90	10.1 /90
Matheus Dias	9	81727 min	81 /90	131.6 /90	40.5 /90	313.8 /90	121.5 /90	30.4 /90
W. Kokolo	8	76607 min	121.8 /90	50.7 /90	10.1 /90	233.4 /90	71 /90	20.3 /90
Francisco Gonçalves	6	90540 min	122 /90	91.5 /90	00 /90	254.2 /90	71.2 /90	10.2 /90
Léo Santos	5	81405 min	51.1 /90	51.1 /90	30.7 /90	245.3 /90	61.3 /90	00 /90
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Nacional — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Renato Bellucci n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Zé Vitor n 8	84.4	0.9 4/2	0.5 3/1	—
Miguel Baeza n 8	74.4	0.3 2/0	1.1 4/2	—
Matheus Dias n 8	79.6	1.7 7/4	0.3 2/0	—
Stavros Gavriel n 8	51.8	1.1 3/1	1.1 2/2	—
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Nacional — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Zé Vitor n 8	84.4	1.7 8/4
Miguel Baeza n 8	74.4	0.6 3/1
Matheus Dias n 8	79.6	1.1 6/2
Stavros Gavriel n 8	51.8	2 4/3
W. Kokolo n 8	75.9	1.8 7/4
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Nacional Attacking

Nacional — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Pablo Ruan	8	66525 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	81.4 /90	40.7 /90	40.7 /90	10.2 /90
Daniel Júnior	6	72433 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90	71.5 /90	81.7 /90
A. Obando	4	40160 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.7 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90
N. Kader	3	77230 min	20.8 /90	00 /90	41.6 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90	10.4 /90
Miguel Baeza	10	73733 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	81 /90	60.7 /90	101.2 /90	30.4 /90
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Nacional — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Renato Bellucci n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Zé Vitor n 8	84.4	0.7 4/1	0 0/0
Miguel Baeza n 8	74.4	1.1 7/0	0.8 5/0
Matheus Dias n 8	79.6	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
Stavros Gavriel n 8	51.8	1.7 6/2	0.9 3/1
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Nacional — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nacional before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Renato Bellucci n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Zé Vitor n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Miguel Baeza n 8	74.4	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Matheus Dias n 8	79.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Stavros Gavriel n 8	51.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Benfica

Benfica Goalkeeper

Benfica — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Samuel Soares	10	91907 min	191.9 /90	70.7 /90	00 /90
A. Trubin	4	90360 min	184.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Benfica — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benfica before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Samuel Soares n 8	90	2.1 3/3
A. Trubin n 8	90	3.6 7/7

Benfica Defensive

Benfica — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Tomás Araújo	14	861207 min	191.4 /90	141 /90	60.4 /90	453.4 /90	171.3 /90	50.4 /90
S. Dahl	11	87954 min	232.2 /90	151.4 /90	00 /90	504.7 /90	131.2 /90	20.2 /90
Clément Lenglet	10	85852 min	70.7 /90	121.3 /90	20.2 /90	333.5 /90	131.4 /90	30.3 /90
A. Bah	10	79792 min	141.6 /90	131.5 /90	20.2 /90	374.2 /90	101.1 /90	30.3 /90
A. Circati	6	73440 min	61.2 /90	30.6 /90	20.4 /90	163.3 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90
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Benfica — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benfica before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Tomás Araújo n 8	86.4	1 5/1	0.3 2/0	—
G. Prestianni n 8	62.6	0.4 2/0	2.2 6/3	—
A. Schjelderup n 8	53.3	0.2 1/0	2.1 5/4	—
V. Pavlidis n 8	74.9	0.9 3/1	1.5 5/3	—
João Palhinha n 8	72.6	1.2 6/2	2.2 6/4	—
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Benfica — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benfica before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Tomás Araújo n 8	86.4	2 5/4
G. Prestianni n 8	62.6	1.4 5/3
A. Schjelderup n 8	53.3	1.3 4/2
V. Pavlidis n 8	74.9	1.2 5/3
João Palhinha n 8	72.6	2.5 6/4
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Benfica Attacking

Benfica — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Schjelderup	13	49635 min	10.1 /90	20.3 /90	162.3 /90	50.7 /90	253.5 /90	101.4 /90
V. Pavlidis	12	76917 min	121.2 /90	30.3 /90	343.3 /90	191.9 /90	202 /90	50.5 /90
D. Lukebakio	9	41368 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	102.4 /90	61.5 /90	30.7 /90	82 /90
J. Duran	6	51307 min	30.9 /90	00 /90	123.5 /90	51.5 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90
G. Prestianni	14	71999 min	80.7 /90	60.5 /90	413.7 /90	191.7 /90	353.2 /90	363.2 /90
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Benfica — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benfica before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Tomás Araújo n 8	86.4	0.5 2/1	0 0/0
G. Prestianni n 8	62.6	3.6 8/5	1.4 5/2
A. Schjelderup n 8	53.3	2.5 7/4	0.6 3/0
V. Pavlidis n 8	74.9	3.3 8/8	1.7 7/2
João Palhinha n 8	72.6	1.1 5/1	0 0/0
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Benfica — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Benfica before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Tomás Araújo n 8	86.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
G. Prestianni n 8	62.6	0.5 3/0	0.7 3/1
A. Schjelderup n 8	53.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. Pavlidis n 8	74.9	1.1 6/1	0.2 1/0
João Palhinha n 8	72.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Nacional v Benfica — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

NacionalLLLWL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

BenficaWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Nacional 0 · 1 draw · Benfica 5 · 2.67 goals/game

2026-04-12 Benfica 2–0 Nacional
2025-11-29 Nacional 1–2 Benfica
2025-03-08 Benfica 3–0 Nacional
2024-12-19 Nacional 0–2 Benfica
2021-05-11 Nacional 1–3 Benfica
2021-01-25 Benfica 1–1 Nacional

League standing · 2026/27

Nacional#15 pos7 pts10 pl-9 GD

Benfica#2 pos25 pts10 pl+19 GD

Goals per game

Nacional scored1

Benfica scored2.7

Nacional conceded1.9

Benfica conceded0.8

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Nacional and Benfica?: In their last 6 meetings, Nacional won 0, Benfica won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nacional and Benfica?: Recent form — Nacional 1W 0D 4L; Benfica 5W 0D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 16 Oct 2026, 07:53 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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