SC Braga v GIL Vicente prediction

Primeira Liga · · Estádio Municipal de Braga

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for SC Braga v GIL Vicente, Primeira Liga on Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:15 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4315 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

SC Braga host GIL Vicente in the Primeira Liga on Monday 19 October (kick-off 20:15 UK); the model’s free pick is SC Braga or GIL Vicente (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

SC Braga are winless in their last three matches. Seven of SC Braga’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of SC Braga’s last 15 results (33%). At home, SC Braga have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches — 2.29 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 0.71. SC Braga have scored eight goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). SC Braga have conceded eight goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

GIL Vicente are unbeaten in their last three matches. Seven of GIL Vicente’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of GIL Vicente’s last 15 results (40%). Away from home, GIL Vicente have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.43. GIL Vicente have scored six goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). GIL Vicente have conceded five goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs.

SC Braga (ninth) and GIL Vicente (seventh) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have SC Braga the stronger side, 108 rating points above GIL Vicente (SC Braga 1653, GIL Vicente 1545, after at least 245 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished GIL Vicente 2–1 SC Braga.

Team news

Predicted SC Braga XI (3-4-2-1): B. Fontes, V. Carvalho, G. Lagerbielke, S. Barcia, V. Gómez, J. Moutinho, D. Tıknaz, G. Martínez, J. Gorby, D. Travassos, P. Victor — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Demir Ege Tıknaz (3.9 per match over nine appearances, two assists) and Pau Victor (3.4 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and one assist) have been SC Braga’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for SC Braga (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Demir Ege Tıknaz averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 725 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Pau Victor averages 1.2 shots per 90 over 728 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted GIL Vicente XI (4-2-3-1): Lucão, J. Buatu, M. Elimbi Gilbert, R. Esgaio, D. Moreira, A. Lausen, S. García, D. Prioste, G. Martins, Murilo, H. Hernández — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gil Pinto Martins (2.8 per match over seven appearances, one goal and two assists) and Lucão (2.8 per match over seven appearances) have been GIL Vicente’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for GIL Vicente (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gil Pinto Martins averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 518 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances. Lucão averages 1.8 saves per 90 over 549 minutes, with two or more saves in five of the last six appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Primeira Liga · Estádio Municipal de Braga
  • Referee: Fabio Verissimo
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): SC Braga 2 · draws 2 · GIL Vicente 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: SC Braga 1W 1D 3L · GIL Vicente 2W 1D 2L

As of 17 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers SC Braga v GIL Vicente across 19 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 3.57
Corners
against 2.88 / 4.86 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.88 / 3.57
Shots on target
against 2.63 / 2.29 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.63 / 2
Cards
against 2.63 / 2.14 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSC Braga for / againstLineGIL Vicente for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
1.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 2.88 against n 8
9.5standard
3.57 for · 4.86 against n 7
Shots
11.5 for · 8.88 against n 8
19.5standard
13.71 for · 10.14 against n 7
Shots on target
3.88 for · 2.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.57 for · 2.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
13.5 for · 13.5 against n 8
21.5standard
13.71 for · 11.29 against n 7
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 2.14 against n 7
SC Braga
SC Braga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Tomás Marqués n 715.1
5.94/2
1.72/0
—
Adrian Bajrami n 857.9
2.75/4
0.42/0
—
Sergio Barcia n 863.3
24/4
1.14/2
—
Fran Navarro n 855.1
25/3
2.96/4
—
Pau Victor n 874.8
1.75/4
1.86/4
—
SC Braga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Wind n 837.8
2.16/1
1.55/0
J. Milošević n 839.9
25/1
0.83/0
Diogo Travassos n 852.4
1.96/2
1.15/0
Gabri Martínez n 842.1
1.94/2
1.13/1
Ricardo Horta n 867.3
1.56/3
0.21/0
SC Braga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Diego Rodrigues n 831.1
0.72/0
0.41/0
J. Wind n 837.8
0.62/0
00/0
Pau Victor n 874.8
0.31/1
0.21/0
Gabri Martínez n 842.1
0.52/0
00/0
M. Dorgeles n 843
00/0
0.31/0
SC Braga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Tomás Marqués n 715.1
3.42/2
D. Huseinbašić n 852
2.86/4
Jean-Baptiste Gorby n 851.8
2.67/4
Demir Ege Tıknaz n 854.1
2.56/4
Adrian Bajrami n 857.9
2.14/3
SC Braga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Bernardo Fontes n 890.5
1.53/1
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Zé Carlos n 845.3
36/3
2.26/1
—
M. Fernández n 830.6
2.64/3
3.74/4
—
Guilherme n 338
2.43/0
0.81/0
—
José Silva n 815.1
2.23/0
0.71/0
—
Carlos Eduardo n 822.9
23/1
12/0
—
GIL Vicente — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Guilherme n 338
3.93/1
2.42/1
Carlos Eduardo n 822.9
2.54/1
12/0
Héctor Hernández n 861.4
2.45/3
1.14/2
Mohamed Kaba n 530
2.43/1
0.61/0
T. Touré n 827.9
2.45/1
1.23/0
GIL Vicente — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Guilherme n 338
2.42/1
00/0
Héctor Hernández n 861.4
0.53/0
0.21/0
Gil Pinto Martins n 865
0.21/0
0.32/0
Carlos Eduardo n 822.9
0.51/0
00/0
Murilo n 871.9
0.21/0
00/0
GIL Vicente — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Zé Carlos n 845.3
46/5
José Silva n 815.1
33/1
Ricardo Esgaio n 887.8
2.67/4
Joelson Fernandes n 851
2.67/3
Guilherme n 338
2.42/1
GIL Vicente — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lucão n 891.1
1.55/0

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind SC Braga v GIL Vicente — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SC BragaLWDLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
GIL VicenteLLDWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
SC Braga 2 · 2 draws · GIL Vicente 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-02-14 GIL Vicente 2–1 SC Braga
  • 2025-09-14 SC Braga 0–1 GIL Vicente
  • 2025-02-09 SC Braga 2–0 GIL Vicente
  • 2024-09-01 GIL Vicente 0–0 SC Braga
  • 2024-03-16 SC Braga 2–1 GIL Vicente
  • 2023-10-28 GIL Vicente 3–3 SC Braga
League standing · 2026/27
SC Braga#9 pos11 pts7 pl0 GD
GIL Vicente#7 pos11 pts7 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
SC Braga scored1.14
GIL Vicente scored0.86
SC Braga conceded1.14
GIL Vicente conceded0.71

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win SC Braga v GIL Vicente?
TACTIX’s free model pick for SC Braga v GIL Vicente is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between SC Braga and GIL Vicente?
In their last 6 meetings, SC Braga won 2, GIL Vicente won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of SC Braga and GIL Vicente?
Recent form — SC Braga 1W 1D 3L; GIL Vicente 2W 1D 2L.

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