Tondela v Famalicao result

Full-time · Tondela 0–1 Famalicao

Primeira Liga · Sat, 16 Aug 2025 15:30 BST · Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Tondela · Famalicao · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Tondela 0–1 Famalicao — Famalicao won this Primeira Liga match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.7% of 165 landed (95% range 45.1–60.2%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Famalicao won 1–0 at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 16 August. Famalicao have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Famalicao: S. Elisor (69’, assisted by Mathias De Amorim).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with S. Elisor’s goal on 69 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Tondela 1.08, Famalicao 1.08, from 15 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

F. Verissimo showed one yellow card — against 5.3 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Famalicao: L. Realpe (13’).

What it changes

Tondela move down from 17th to 18th (two league matches played).

Famalicao stay first after this result (two league matches played).

Tondela are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Famalicao have won their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mathias De Amorim (Famalicao) 11.8, S. Elisor (Famalicao) 6.0 and João Afonso (Tondela) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Famalicao next travel to Rio Ave on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Famalicao: Rio Ave v Famalicao, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Tondela 0–1 Famalicao · Primeira Liga
Venue: Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior · Rio Maior
Referee: F. Verissimo
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Tondela 3 · draws 1 · Famalicao 2 · 3.17 goals/game
Recent form: Tondela 1W 1D 3L · Famalicao 2W 1D 2L

Tondela 0–1 Famalicao (Primeira Liga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.75

Goals

against 1.5 / 1.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.33 / 6.57

Corners

against 5.67 / 4.14 · 1 of the last 2 over 9.5

over 3 matches

1 / 3.86

Shots on target

against 2 / 4.29 · 1 of the last 2 over 8.5

over 3 matches

1.33 / 3.43

Cards

against 0.67 / 4.71 · 1 of the last 2 over 3.5

over 3 matches

5.27 yellows

Referee · F. Verissimo

2.55 home / 2.73 away

over 11 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Tondela for / against	Line	Famalicao for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.33 for · 5.67 against n 3 Last 5	9.5standard	6.57 for · 4.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	2.33 for · 2.67 against n 3 Last 5	19.5standard	10.29 for · 10.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	1 for · 2 against n 3 Last 5	8.5standard	3.86 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	3 for · 3.33 against n 3 Last 5	21.5standard	16.57 for · 18.71 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.33 for · 0.67 against n 3 Last 5	3.5standard	3.43 for · 4.71 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: F. Verissimo — 5.27 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 25.45 fouls over 11 matches (2.55 to the home side, 2.73 to the away side).

Home 2.55Away 2.73

Tondela

Tondela — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Hélder Tavares n 8	68.1	3 8/7	1.8 5/4	—
Miro n 6	37.8	2.8 5/1	1.6 2/2	S. Elisor
João Afonso n 8	47.6	1.4 4/2	0.5 2/0	—
B. Medina n 4	90	1.3 3/1	0.3 1/0	—
Yarlen n 5	29.4	1.2 1/1	0.6 1/0	—

Tondela — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Afonso Rodrigues n 8	24.4	3.2 4/2	0.5 1/0
Yarlen n 5	29.4	1.2 2/0	0 0/0
Miro n 6	37.8	0.8 2/0	0.4 1/0
J. Hodge n 8	58.1	0.6 2/1	0 0/0
João Afonso n 8	47.6	0.5 2/0	0.2 1/0

Tondela — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Assists 1+2+
Hélder Tavares n 8	68.1	0.2 1/0
B. Medina n 4	90	0 0/0
J. Hodge n 8	58.1	0 0/0
João Afonso n 8	47.6	0 0/0
Miro n 6	37.8	0 0/0

Tondela — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Hodge n 8	58.1	2.7 7/4
B. Medina n 4	90	2.5 4/3
Hélder Tavares n 8	68.1	2.1 6/4
Yarlen n 5	29.4	1.8 3/0
Afonso Rodrigues n 8	24.4	1.8 3/1

Famalicao

Famalicao — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Otar Mamageishvili n 5	11.8	4.6 2/1	0 0/0	—
S. Elisor n 8	71.1	3 7/6	2.5 6/4	Miro
Mathias De Amorim n 8	53	3 5/3	4 6/6	—
Pedro Santos n 8	41.3	3 8/3	1.6 3/2	—
Vaclav Sejk n 8	26	2.6 3/2	0.4 1/0	—

Famalicao — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Beney n 4	14	4.8 2/1	4.8 2/1
Vaclav Sejk n 8	26	2.6 5/1	0.9 2/0
Samuel Lobato n 8	5.1	2.2 1/0	2.2 1/0
S. Elisor n 8	71.1	2.1 6/2	1.1 4/1
Óscar Aranda n 8	78.5	1.7 8/4	0.9 5/1

Famalicao — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Zabiri n 6	11.8	1.3 1/0	0 0/0
S. Elisor n 8	71.1	0.6 3/1	0.2 1/0
Gil Dias n 8	42.1	0.5 2/0	0.3 1/0
Gustavo Sá n 8	84.9	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
Pedro Francisco n 8	36.5	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0

Famalicao — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Gil Dias n 8	42.1	3.2 5/2
M. Zabiri n 6	11.8	2.5 2/0
J. de Haas n 8	90	2.3 8/5
Mathias De Amorim n 8	53	2.3 6/4
Rodrigo Pinheiro n 8	90	2.1 7/4

Famalicao — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
I. Zlobin n 8	90	3.2 6/5
L. Carević n 8	90	3 7/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Tondela		Famalicao
49%	Possession	51%
1.08	Expected goals (xG)	1.08
15	Shots	14
4	Shots on target	5
7	Shots off target	7
4	Blocked shots	2
8	Shots inside the box	8
2	Corners	7
2	Offsides	1
17	Fouls	19
0	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	4
358	Passes	371
83%	Pass accuracy	78%

Tondela player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
Bernardo Fontes	90	0	0	0	0	6.9
Tiago Manso	90	0	0	0	3	7.9
Christian Marques	90	0	0	1	0	7.2
João Afonso	90	0	0	0	3	7
E. Maviram	90	0	0	2	3	7.3
Miro	90	2	1	0	0	6.3
J. Hodge	87	2	0	0	1	6.3
M. Ouattara	67	1	0	2	0	6.6
Yarlen	67	2	2	1	0	6.6
Xabi Huarte	45	1	1	1	2	6.9
Cícero	41	0	0	0	1	6.6
J. RodrÃguez sub	50	0	0	0	2	7.3
Pedro Maranhão sub	45	1	0	1	0	6.6
Afonso Rodrigues sub	24	2	0	0	0	6.9
Y. Rodriguez sub	24	0	0	1	1	6.7
Hélder Tavares sub	11	0	0	0	0	6.3

Famalicao player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
L. Carević	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.3
Rodrigo Pinheiro	90	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	7.9
L. Realpe	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.9
J. de Haas	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.6
T. van de Looi	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7.5
Sorriso	90	0	0	1	0	3	1	0	6.5
Mathias De Amorim	87	0	1	2	0	2	5	0	8.2
S. Elisor	87	1	0	3	2	1	1	0	7.7
Pedro Francisco	73	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.3
Gustavo Sá	73	0	0	3	1	2	0	0	6.7
Gil Dias	59	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.6
R. Beney sub	32	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.5
Gustavo Garcia sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Pedro Santos sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
Ibrahima Ba sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
U. Abubakar sub	11	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Tondela v Famalicao — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

TondelaWDLLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

FamalicaoDLLWW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Tondela 3 · 1 draw · Famalicao 2 · 3.17 goals/game

2022-02-26 Famalicao 2–1 Tondela
2021-09-25 Tondela 3–2 Famalicao
2021-04-26 Famalicao 2–2 Tondela
2021-01-03 Tondela 1–0 Famalicao
2020-07-05 Tondela 0–1 Famalicao
2019-12-07 Famalicao 2–3 Tondela

League standing · 2025/26

Tondela#17 pos28 pts34 pl-28 GD

Famalicao#5 pos56 pts34 pl+13 GD

Goals per game

Tondela scored0.79

Famalicao scored1.24

Tondela conceded1.62

Famalicao conceded0.85

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Tondela v Famalicao?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Tondela v Famalicao was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Tondela and Famalicao?: In their last 6 meetings, Tondela won 3, Famalicao won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Tondela and Famalicao?: Recent form — Tondela 1W 1D 3L; Famalicao 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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