Vitória SC v FC Porto prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 18:00 GMT

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 23:48 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Vitória SC · FC Porto · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Away win the free pick for Vitória SC v FC Porto, Primeira Liga on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 18:00 GMT.

Free pick

Away win

Best price: 1.67 at Betfair

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 84.9% of 126 landed (95% range 77.6–90.1%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Vitória SC host FC Porto in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 18:00 UK); the model’s free pick is FC Porto to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

FC Porto have conceded four goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

FC Porto are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Vitória SC, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Four of Vitória SC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in four of Vitória SC’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). At home, Vitória SC have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 0.43. Vitória SC have scored 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Vitória SC have conceded 10 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Eight of FC Porto’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of FC Porto’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, FC Porto have five wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 2.50 points per game, scoring 2.33 and conceding 0.83. FC Porto have scored 25 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

Vitória SC are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. FC Porto have won their last three matches in all competitions. Vitória SC have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions. Vitória SC (13th) and FC Porto (first) are 21 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have FC Porto the stronger side, 532 rating points above Vitória SC (FC Porto 2058, Vitória SC 1527, after at least 316 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 18 January 2026, finished Guimaraes 0–1 FC Porto.

Team news

Predicted Vitória SC XI (4-2-3-1): L. Furtado, J. Mendes, T. Strata, T. Borevković, A. Sidibé, Samu, O. Camara, Beni, G. Nogueira, Gustavo, A. Jakupovic — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gustavo (3.5 per match over nine appearances, one goal) and Tony Strata (3.4 per match over 10 appearances, one assist) have been Vitória SC’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Vitória SC (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gustavo averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 681 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last nine appearances. Tony Strata averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 838 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted FC Porto XI (4-3-3): D. Costa, J. Kiwior, A. Baio, J. Bednarek, Z. Sanusi, V. Froholdt, P. Rosario, G. Veiga, P. Aquino, B. Sainz, A. Silva — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gabri Veiga (6.0 per match over 14 appearances, seven goals and five assists) and William (4.1 per match over nine appearances, two goals and two assists) have been FC Porto’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for FC Porto (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gabri Veiga averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 938 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. William averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 589 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 18:00 GMT · Primeira Liga
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Vitória SC 1 · draws 1 · FC Porto 4 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Vitória SC 2W 2D 1L · FC Porto 3W 0D 2L

Vitória SC v FC Porto (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 2.5

Goals

against 0.75 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

6.43 / 5.38

Corners

against 4 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.57 / 6.38

Shots on target

against 3.14 / 3.75 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.71 / 1.5

Cards

against 2.14 / 2.88 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Vitória SC for / against	Line	FC Porto for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	2.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.43 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5.38 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.71 for · 11 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	17 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.57 for · 3.14 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	6.38 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	16.29 for · 11.57 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	12.75 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.71 for · 2.14 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.5 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5

Vitória SC

Vitória SC Goalkeeper

Vitória SC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
O. Zych	8	90720 min	141.8 /90	70.9 /90	00 /90
Lucas Furtado	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Vitória SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
O. Zych n 8	90	1.8 5/3

Vitória SC Defensive

Vitória SC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
João Mendes	10	90900 min	202 /90	60.6 /90	30.3 /90	414.1 /90	111.1 /90	00 /90
T. Strata	10	78777 min	212.4 /90	91 /90	20.2 /90	384.4 /90	161.9 /90	20.2 /90
Thiago Balieiro	8	90720 min	151.9 /90	202.5 /90	20.3 /90	283.5 /90	141.8 /90	30.4 /90
Óscar Rivas	5	76379 min	40.9 /90	71.7 /90	20.5 /90	204.7 /90	51.2 /90	20.5 /90
T. Borevković	4	90360 min	82 /90	41 /90	00 /90	174.3 /90	30.8 /90	30.8 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Vitória SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
João Mendes n 8	90	1 5/2	0.3 2/0	—
Samu n 8	78.5	2.6 7/5	1.1 5/3	—
T. Strata n 8	88.9	1.9 8/6	0.3 2/0	—
O. Camara n 8	61.9	0.7 3/1	1.3 7/0	—
Beni n 8	55.3	2 6/3	1.4 5/2	—
See more players · Pro

Vitória SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
João Mendes n 8	90	1.9 7/3
Samu n 8	78.5	2.3 8/5
T. Strata n 8	88.9	2.2 8/6
O. Camara n 8	61.9	1.1 3/3
Beni n 8	55.3	1.8 6/2
See more players · Pro

Vitória SC Attacking

Vitória SC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Ndoye	7	62431 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	183.8 /90	40.8 /90	81.7 /90	51 /90
A. Jakupovic	6	70420 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	132.8 /90	51.1 /90	20.4 /90	40.9 /90
Samu	10	81806 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	141.6 /90	60.7 /90	212.3 /90	20.2 /90
O. Camara	10	61610 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	172.5 /90	71 /90	101.5 /90	101.5 /90
Beni	10	58577 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	40.6 /90	81.2 /90
See more players · Pro

Vitória SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
João Mendes n 8	90	1.1 6/2	0.3 1/1
Samu n 8	78.5	1.1 6/2	0.6 3/1
T. Strata n 8	88.9	0.6 3/1	0.3 2/0
O. Camara n 8	61.9	2.9 6/3	1.3 4/2
Beni n 8	55.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

Vitória SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
João Mendes n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Samu n 8	78.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
T. Strata n 8	88.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Camara n 8	61.9	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Beni n 8	55.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

FC Porto

FC Porto Goalkeeper

FC Porto — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Diogo Costa	14	901260 min	382.7 /90	50.4 /90	00 /90

FC Porto — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Porto before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Diogo Costa n 8	90	2.6 6/4

FC Porto Defensive

FC Porto — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Kiwior	14	901260 min	141 /90	120.9 /90	40.3 /90	564 /90	151.1 /90	10.1 /90
Alberto Baio	13	791021 min	191.7 /90	80.7 /90	50.4 /90	585.1 /90	232 /90	00 /90
J. Bednarek	12	851017 min	111 /90	272.4 /90	70.6 /90	615.4 /90	100.9 /90	10.1 /90
Z. Sanusi	8	64515 min	30.5 /90	30.5 /90	20.3 /90	203.5 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90
Martim Fernandes	7	63440 min	112.3 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90	224.5 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro

FC Porto — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Porto before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Kiwior n 8	90	1.3 7/2	0.5 4/0	—
Diogo Costa n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Pepê Aquino n 8	84.4	1.3 6/3	1.2 5/4	—
P. Rosario n 8	82.1	1.4 6/3	1.4 6/3	—
Gabri Veiga n 8	60	1.3 5/2	2.6 7/5	—
See more players · Pro

FC Porto — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Porto before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Kiwior n 8	90	0.9 6/1
Pepê Aquino n 8	84.4	1.7 6/4
P. Rosario n 8	82.1	1.9 6/4
Gabri Veiga n 8	60	2.3 6/4
André Silva n 8	55.3	0.2 1/0
See more players · Pro

FC Porto Attacking

FC Porto — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Pepê Aquino	14	851184 min	00 /90	60.5 /90	131 /90	30.2 /90	201.5 /90	70.5 /90
André Silva	14	61854 min	40.4 /90	20.2 /90	192 /90	80.8 /90	101.1 /90	50.5 /90
Borja Sainz	13	41527 min	40.7 /90	10.2 /90	142.4 /90	81.4 /90	71.2 /90	40.7 /90
William	9	65589 min	20.3 /90	20.3 /90	152.3 /90	81.2 /90	101.5 /90	50.8 /90
Samu	6	41245 min	20.7 /90	00 /90	82.9 /90	41.5 /90	41.5 /90	10.4 /90
See more players · Pro

FC Porto — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Porto before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Kiwior n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.4 3/0
Diogo Costa n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Pepê Aquino n 8	84.4	0.8 5/1	0.3 2/0
P. Rosario n 8	82.1	1.5 7/3	0.5 4/0
Gabri Veiga n 8	60	3.4 8/5	1.3 5/2
See more players · Pro

FC Porto — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Porto before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Kiwior n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Diogo Costa n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Pepê Aquino n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
P. Rosario n 8	82.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Gabri Veiga n 8	60	0.8 4/0	0.6 3/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Vitória SC v FC Porto — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Vitória SCDLWWD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

FC PortoLLWWW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Vitória SC 1 · 1 draw · FC Porto 4 · 2.67 goals/game

2026-01-18 Guimaraes 0–1 FC Porto
2025-08-11 FC Porto 3–0 Guimaraes
2025-02-24 FC Porto 1–1 Guimaraes
2024-09-21 Guimaraes 0–3 FC Porto
2024-04-17 FC Porto 3–1 Guimaraes
2024-04-07 FC Porto 1–2 Guimaraes

League standing · 2026/27

Vitória SC#13 pos9 pts10 pl0 GD

FC Porto#1 pos30 pts10 pl+21 GD

Goals per game

Vitória SC scored1

FC Porto scored2.5

Vitória SC conceded1

FC Porto conceded0.4

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)

Pro

Win probability & value

Pro

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Vitória SC v FC Porto?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Vitória SC v FC Porto is Away win (best price 1.67 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Vitória SC and FC Porto?: In their last 6 meetings, Vitória SC won 1, FC Porto won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Vitória SC and FC Porto?: Recent form — Vitória SC 2W 2D 1L; FC Porto 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 23:48 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.