Vitória SC v Rio Ave prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun, 27 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT

Updated 16 Oct 2026, 07:53 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Vitória SC · Rio Ave · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Vitória SC v Rio Ave, Primeira Liga on Sun, 27 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Vitória SC host Rio Ave in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 27 December (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Rio Ave have conceded 23 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

Form and the table

Four of Vitória SC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in four of Vitória SC’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). At home, Vitória SC have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 0.43. Vitória SC have scored 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Vitória SC have conceded 10 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Seven of Rio Ave’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in five of Rio Ave’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Rio Ave have two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.38. Rio Ave have scored nine goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

Vitória SC are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Vitória SC have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions. Vitória SC (13th) and Rio Ave (16th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Vitória SC the stronger side, 147 rating points above Rio Ave (Vitória SC 1527, Rio Ave 1379, after at least 284 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Vitória SC are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Rio Ave. The most recent meeting, on 25 April 2026, finished Guimaraes 2–0 Rio Ave.

Team news

Predicted Vitória SC XI (4-2-3-1): L. Furtado, J. Mendes, T. Strata, T. Borevković, A. Sidibé, Samu, O. Camara, Beni, G. Nogueira, Gustavo, A. Jakupovic — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gustavo (3.5 per match over nine appearances, one goal) and Tony Strata (3.4 per match over 10 appearances, one assist) have been Vitória SC’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Vitória SC (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gustavo averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 681 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last nine appearances. Tony Strata averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 838 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Rio Ave XI (4-2-3-1): E. van der Gouw, M. Vrousai, A. Ntoi, J. Tomé, F. Petrasso, D. Bezerra, M. Patricío, G. Liavas, S. Clemmensen, D. Nascimento, J. Blesa — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jalen Blesa (4.3 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and one assist) and Vitor Hugo (4.3 per match over three appearances) have been Rio Ave’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Rio Ave (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jalen Blesa averages 1.1 shots per 90 over 876 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Vitor Hugo averages 3.0 saves per 90 over 270 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 27 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT · Primeira Liga
Head-to-head (last 6): Vitória SC 4 · draws 1 · Rio Ave 1 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Vitória SC 2W 2D 1L · Rio Ave 2W 0D 3L

Vitória SC v Rio Ave (Primeira Liga): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1

Goals

against 0.75 / 2.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.43 / 4.14

Corners

against 4 / 5.57 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.57 / 3.71

Shots on target

against 3.14 / 5.71 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.71 / 2.14

Cards

against 2.14 / 1.14 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Vitória SC for / against	Line	Rio Ave for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.43 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	4.14 for · 5.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	15.71 for · 11 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	8.29 for · 15.71 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.57 for · 3.14 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	3.71 for · 5.71 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	16.29 for · 11.57 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	11.43 for · 12.86 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.71 for · 2.14 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.14 for · 1.14 against n 7 Last 5

Vitória SC

Vitória SC Goalkeeper

Vitória SC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
O. Zych	8	90720 min	141.8 /90	70.9 /90	00 /90
Lucas Furtado	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Vitória SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
O. Zych n 8	90	1.8 5/3

Vitória SC Defensive

Vitória SC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
João Mendes	10	90900 min	202 /90	60.6 /90	30.3 /90	414.1 /90	111.1 /90	00 /90
T. Strata	10	78777 min	212.4 /90	91 /90	20.2 /90	384.4 /90	161.9 /90	20.2 /90
Thiago Balieiro	8	90720 min	151.9 /90	202.5 /90	20.3 /90	283.5 /90	141.8 /90	30.4 /90
Óscar Rivas	5	76379 min	40.9 /90	71.7 /90	20.5 /90	204.7 /90	51.2 /90	20.5 /90
T. Borevković	4	90360 min	82 /90	41 /90	00 /90	174.3 /90	30.8 /90	30.8 /90
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Vitória SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
João Mendes n 8	90	1 5/2	0.3 2/0	—
Samu n 8	78.5	2.6 7/5	1.1 5/3	—
T. Strata n 8	88.9	1.9 8/6	0.3 2/0	—
O. Camara n 8	61.9	0.7 3/1	1.3 7/0	—
Beni n 8	55.3	2 6/3	1.4 5/2	—
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Vitória SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
João Mendes n 8	90	1.9 7/3
Samu n 8	78.5	2.3 8/5
T. Strata n 8	88.9	2.2 8/6
O. Camara n 8	61.9	1.1 3/3
Beni n 8	55.3	1.8 6/2
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Vitória SC Attacking

Vitória SC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Ndoye	7	62431 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	183.8 /90	40.8 /90	81.7 /90	51 /90
A. Jakupovic	6	70420 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	132.8 /90	51.1 /90	20.4 /90	40.9 /90
Samu	10	81806 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	141.6 /90	60.7 /90	212.3 /90	20.2 /90
O. Camara	10	61610 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	172.5 /90	71 /90	101.5 /90	101.5 /90
Beni	10	58577 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	40.6 /90	81.2 /90
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Vitória SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
João Mendes n 8	90	1.1 6/2	0.3 1/1
Samu n 8	78.5	1.1 6/2	0.6 3/1
T. Strata n 8	88.9	0.6 3/1	0.3 2/0
O. Camara n 8	61.9	2.9 6/3	1.3 4/2
Beni n 8	55.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Vitória SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitória SC before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
João Mendes n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Samu n 8	78.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
T. Strata n 8	88.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Camara n 8	61.9	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Beni n 8	55.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Rio Ave

Rio Ave Goalkeeper

Rio Ave — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
E. van der Gouw	7	91639 min	233.2 /90	142 /90	00 /90
Vitor Hugo	3	90270 min	93 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Rio Ave — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rio Ave before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
E. van der Gouw n 8	91.1	3.3 8/6
Vitor Hugo n 3	90	3 2/2

Rio Ave Defensive

Rio Ave — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
F. Petrasso	9	82742 min	40.5 /90	50.6 /90	50.6 /90	212.5 /90	101.2 /90	30.4 /90
M. Vrousai	9	54486 min	193.5 /90	132.4 /90	20.4 /90	346.3 /90	71.3 /90	00 /90
G. Liavas	8	89710 min	151.9 /90	121.5 /90	30.4 /90	232.9 /90	91.1 /90	20.3 /90
Gustavo Mancha	6	92549 min	50.8 /90	30.5 /90	40.7 /90	81.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
João Tomé	5	67337 min	41.1 /90	51.3 /90	10.3 /90	154 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
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Rio Ave — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rio Ave before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Blesa n 8	88	0.6 3/1	2.3 7/5	—
Diogo Bezerra n 8	78.6	0.9 3/2	1.3 8/1	—
F. Petrasso n 8	80.4	1.3 4/2	0.6 3/1	—
A. Ntoi n 8	82.6	1.6 5/4	0.8 5/1	—
M. Vrousai n 8	58.6	1.3 5/2	1.5 4/3	—
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Rio Ave — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rio Ave before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Blesa n 8	88	1.2 5/4
Diogo Bezerra n 8	78.6	0.1 1/0
F. Petrasso n 8	80.4	0.6 3/1
A. Ntoi n 8	82.6	1.4 6/3
M. Vrousai n 8	58.6	3.6 6/3
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Rio Ave Attacking

Rio Ave — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Blesa	10	88876 min	30.3 /90	10.1 /90	111.1 /90	80.8 /90	101 /90	70.7 /90
Roland Galčík	8	41325 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	51.4 /90	20.6 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90
Tamble Monteiro	7	62431 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	61.3 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90	30.6 /90
Diogo Bezerra	10	80802 min	10.1 /90	30.3 /90	131.5 /90	60.7 /90	131.5 /90	151.7 /90
A. Ntoi	9	79708 min	00 /90	00 /90	30.4 /90	00 /90	40.5 /90	60.8 /90
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Rio Ave — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rio Ave before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Blesa n 8	88	1 6/2	0.9 5/2
Diogo Bezerra n 8	78.6	1.6 6/3	0.9 4/1
F. Petrasso n 8	80.4	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
A. Ntoi n 8	82.6	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
M. Vrousai n 8	58.6	0.6 3/0	0.2 1/0
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Rio Ave — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Rio Ave before kick-off, to 2 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Blesa n 8	88	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Diogo Bezerra n 8	78.6	0.1 1/0	0.4 2/1
F. Petrasso n 8	80.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
A. Ntoi n 8	82.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Vrousai n 8	58.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Vitória SC v Rio Ave — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Vitória SCDLWWD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Rio AveLWWLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Vitória SC 4 · 1 draw · Rio Ave 1 · 2.33 goals/game

2026-04-25 Guimaraes 2–0 Rio Ave
2025-12-13 Rio Ave 0–1 Guimaraes
2025-04-27 Guimaraes 3–0 Rio Ave
2024-12-16 Rio Ave 2–2 Guimaraes
2024-05-04 Rio Ave 2–1 Guimaraes
2023-12-23 Guimaraes 1–0 Rio Ave

League standing · 2026/27

Vitória SC#13 pos9 pts10 pl0 GD

Rio Ave#16 pos7 pts10 pl-14 GD

Goals per game

Vitória SC scored1

Rio Ave scored0.9

Vitória SC conceded1

Rio Ave conceded2.3

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Vitória SC and Rio Ave?: In their last 6 meetings, Vitória SC won 4, Rio Ave won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Vitória SC and Rio Ave?: Recent form — Vitória SC 2W 2D 1L; Rio Ave 2W 0D 3L.

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