Atletico Nacional v Once Caldas prediction
Team pages: Atletico Nacional · Once Caldas
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Atletico Nacional v Once Caldas, Primera A on Thu, 12 Nov 2026 21:00 GMT.
The match
Atletico Nacional host Once Caldas in Primera A on Thursday 12 November (kick-off 21:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Once Caldas, a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Atletico Nacional have scored 33 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 17 games).
Atletico Nacional are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Eight of Atletico Nacional’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in four of Atletico Nacional’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). At home, Atletico Nacional have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.25. Atletico Nacional have conceded 14 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 17 games).
Five of Once Caldas’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in four of Once Caldas’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). Away from home, Once Caldas have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 0.86. Once Caldas have scored 21 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 17 games). Once Caldas have conceded 18 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Atletico Nacional (first) and Once Caldas (ninth) are 12 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Once Caldas the stronger side, 416 rating points above Atletico Nacional (Once Caldas 1793, Atletico Nacional 1377, after at least seven rated matches each).
Team news
Predicted Atletico Nacional XI (4-2-3-1): D. Ospina, W. Tesillo, A. Román, C. Cándido, J. Arias, J. Campuzano, M. Hinestroza, E. Cardona, M. Uribe, B. Arce, A. Morelos — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.
Predicted Once Caldas XI (4-2-3-1): J. Aguirre, J. Cuesta, J. Riquett, J. Cardona, K. Cuesta, M. Barrios, M. García, M. Zuleta, L. Sánchez, A. García, D. Moreno — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The Numbers
- Kick-off: · Primera A · Estadio Atanasio Girardot
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Atletico Nacional 1W 2D 2L · Once Caldas 4W 0D 1L
Atletico Nacional v Once Caldas (Primera A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Atletico Nacional for / against | Line | Once Caldas for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.88 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.57 for · 4.57 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14 for · 8.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.71 for · 10.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.29 for · 3.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.43 for · 3.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 13.14 for · 11.86 against n 7 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14 for · 10.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.57 for · 2.57 against n 7 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.57 for · 1.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
Atletico Nacional
Atletico Nacional Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ospina | 1 | 9090 min | 11 /90 | 33 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Ospina n 7 | 91 | 2.4 |
Atletico Nacional Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Casco | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 |
| S. Garcia | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 33 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 |
| W. Tesillo | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 44 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| A. Román | 1 | 7070 min | 22.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 56.4 /90 | 11.3 /90 | 11.3 /90 |
| J. Campuzano | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 33 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Tesillo n 8 | 90.9 | 1.1 | 0.7 | — |
| J. Campuzano n 8 | 90.9 | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| A. Morelos n 6 | 71.7 | 0.6 | 1.9 | — |
| D. Ospina n 7 | 91 | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| A. Román n 8 | 86.9 | 1.2 | 1 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Campuzano n 8 | 90.9 | 2 |
| W. Tesillo n 8 | 90.9 | 1.2 |
| A. Morelos n 6 | 71.7 | 0.6 |
| A. Román n 8 | 86.9 | 1.2 |
| A. Sarmiento n 3 | 47 | 0.6 |
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Atletico Nacional Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Morelos | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Moreno | 1 | 3232 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 38.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 25.6 /90 |
| J. Campuzano | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 |
| J. Rengifo | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 |
| N. Rodríguez | 1 | 8787 min | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 | 22.1 /90 | 33.1 /90 |
| See more players · Pro | ||||||||
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Morelos n 6 | 71.7 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| J. Campuzano n 8 | 90.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| W. Tesillo n 8 | 90.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| D. Ospina n 7 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Román n 8 | 86.9 | 0.5 | 0 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Morelos n 6 | 71.7 | 0.2 | 0 |
| J. Campuzano n 8 | 90.9 | 0 | 0.1 |
| D. Ospina n 7 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| W. Tesillo n 8 | 90.9 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Román n 8 | 86.9 | 0 | 0.1 |
| See more players · Pro | |||
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Atletico Nacional v Once Caldas — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Frequently Asked Questions
- Who is predicted to win Atletico Nacional v Once Caldas?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Atletico Nacional v Once Caldas is Draw or Away.
- What is the recent form of Atletico Nacional and Once Caldas?
- Recent form — Atletico Nacional 1W 2D 2L; Once Caldas 4W 0D 1L.
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