BucaramangaFortaleza FC

Bucaramanga v Fortaleza FC prediction

Primera A ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Bucaramanga v Fortaleza FC, Primera A on Sat, 14 Nov 2026 20:30 GMT.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.6% of 1471 landed (95% range 66.2–70.9%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Predicted on 5 November 2026, before the fixture moved
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Bucaramanga host Fortaleza FC in Primera A on Saturday 14 November (kick-off 20:30 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Fortaleza FC, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Eight of Bucaramanga’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 11 of Bucaramanga’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Bucaramanga have three wins, four draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.00. Bucaramanga have scored 30 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 18 games). Bucaramanga have conceded 17 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nine of Fortaleza FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Fortaleza FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Fortaleza FC have no wins, four draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.57 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.29. Fortaleza FC have scored 17 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 18 games). Fortaleza FC have conceded 28 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs.

Bucaramanga are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Fortaleza FC are winless in their last 14 matches in all competitions. Bucaramanga (fourth) and Fortaleza FC (20th) are 20 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bucaramanga the stronger side, 311 rating points above Fortaleza FC (Bucaramanga 1672, Fortaleza FC 1361, after at least 121 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Fortaleza FC 2–1 Bucaramanga.

Team news

Predicted Bucaramanga XI (3-4-3): C. Fiermarin, J. Ortiz, J. García, C. Romaña, F. Charrupí, L. Flores, A. Gutiérrez, F. Castro, E. Batalla, F. Sambueza, L. Pons — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, F. Sambueza (4.8 per match over five appearances, two goals) and L. Pons (4.0 per match over four appearances, three goals) have been Bucaramanga’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Bucaramanga (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), F. Sambueza averages 1.7 shots per 90 over 417 minutes, with a shot in five of the last five appearances. L. Pons averages 2.8 shots per 90 over 354 minutes.

Predicted Fortaleza FC XI (4-2-3-1): W. Barlasina, Y. Diaz, J. Cajares, S. Cuero, J. Medina Obando, L. Pico, S. Vivas, S. Navarro, J. Garcia, E. Cabezas, F. Pulicastro — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Cuero (3.2 per match over four appearances) and F. Pulicastro (2.5 per match over four appearances, one goal) have been Fortaleza FC’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Fortaleza FC (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Cuero averages 1.6 tackles per 90 over 337 minutes. F. Pulicastro averages 1.9 shots per 90 over 331 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Primera A
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bucaramanga 3 · draws 0 · Fortaleza FC 3 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bucaramanga 2W 1D 2L · Fortaleza FC 0W 1D 4L

Bucaramanga v Fortaleza FC (Primera A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 0.75
Goals
against 1 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4.25
Corners
against 3.5 / 2.75 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 4 matches
5.25 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 4 matches
3 / 1.75
Cards
against 3.5 / 2.25 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 4 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBucaramanga for / againstLineFortaleza FC for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 3.5 against n 4
9.5standard
4.25 for · 2.75 against n 4
Shots
15.25 for · 12.5 against n 4
19.5standard
11.5 for · 12.75 against n 4
Shots on target
5.25 for · 4.75 against n 4
8.5standard
3.25 for · 4.25 against n 4
Fouls committed
12 for · 11.25 against n 4
21.5standard
9.5 for · 9.25 against n 4
Cards shown
3 for · 3.5 against n 4
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.25 against n 4

Bucaramanga

Bucaramanga Goalkeeper

Bucaramanga — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Fiermarin490360 min153.8 /9041 /9000 /90
Aldair Quintana19090 min55 /9022 /9000 /90
Bucaramanga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bucaramanga before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Fiermarin n 490
3.83/3
Aldair Quintana n 891.8
3.77/5

Bucaramanga Defensive

Bucaramanga — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. García584418 min51.1 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90163.4 /9081.7 /9010.2 /90
J. Ortiz490360 min20.5 /9030.8 /9030.8 /90102.5 /9020.5 /9000 /90
C. Romaña462247 min10.4 /9051.8 /9010.4 /9072.6 /9041.5 /9020.7 /90
N. Castrillón256111 min21.6 /9010.8 /9000 /9043.2 /9021.6 /9010.8 /90
J. Mena19090 min00 /9011 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9000 /90
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Bucaramanga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bucaramanga before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Charrupí n 583.8
2.15/4
0.93/1
—
J. García n 583.6
1.74/2
0.42/0
—
F. Sambueza n 881.4
1.16/2
4.18/7
—
E. Batalla n 576.6
0.21/0
0.72/1
—
L. Flores n 848.9
2.14/3
1.64/2
—
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Bucaramanga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bucaramanga before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Charrupí n 583.8
2.65/5
J. García n 583.6
1.13/2
F. Sambueza n 881.4
1.15/2
E. Batalla n 576.6
0.52/0
L. Flores n 848.9
1.65/1
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Bucaramanga Attacking

Bucaramanga — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Sambueza583417 min20.4 /9000 /9081.7 /9061.3 /90153.2 /9051.1 /90
E. Batalla577383 min10.2 /9010.2 /9081.9 /9040.9 /9040.9 /9061.4 /90
L. Pons489354 min30.8 /9000 /90112.8 /9041 /9010.3 /9000 /90
B. Caicedo19090 min22 /9000 /9044 /9022 /9033 /9000 /90
F. Charrupí584419 min00 /9000 /9061.3 /9040.9 /9061.3 /9010.2 /90
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Bucaramanga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bucaramanga before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Charrupí n 583.8
1.33/2
0.93/1
J. García n 583.6
00/0
00/0
F. Sambueza n 881.4
1.77/4
1.15/3
E. Batalla n 576.6
1.95/2
0.93/1
L. Flores n 848.9
0.72/1
00/0
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Bucaramanga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bucaramanga before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Charrupí n 583.8
00/0
00/0
J. García n 583.6
00/0
00/0
F. Sambueza n 881.4
0.32/0
00/0
E. Batalla n 576.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
L. Flores n 848.9
00/0
00/0
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Fortaleza FC

Fortaleza FC Goalkeeper

Fortaleza FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
W. Barlasina490360 min112.8 /9071.8 /9000 /90
Fortaleza FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortaleza FC before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Barlasina n 490
2.84/1

Fortaleza FC Defensive

Fortaleza FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Cajares490360 min51.3 /9041 /9010.3 /9071.8 /9020.5 /9000 /90
Y. Diaz490360 min41 /9030.8 /9041 /9051.3 /9010.3 /9000 /90
S. Cuero484337 min61.6 /9092.4 /9010.3 /90123.2 /9041.1 /9000 /90
J. Medina Obando375225 min52 /9010.4 /9020.8 /9072.8 /9020.8 /9000 /90
D. Ramírez268135 min00 /9021.3 /9000 /9021.3 /9010.7 /9010.7 /90
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Fortaleza FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortaleza FC before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Cajares n 490
0.51/1
0.51/1
—
Y. Diaz n 490
0.31/0
00/0
—
L. Pico n 490
0.31/0
1.54/2
—
W. Barlasina n 490
00/0
00/0
—
S. Cuero n 484.3
1.14/0
00/0
—
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Fortaleza FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortaleza FC before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Cajares n 490
1.33/1
Y. Diaz n 490
14/0
L. Pico n 490
0.31/0
S. Cuero n 484.3
1.63/1
F. Pulicastro n 482.8
0.83/0
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Fortaleza FC Attacking

Fortaleza FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Pulicastro483331 min10.3 /9000 /9071.9 /9020.5 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
J. Herrera16868 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /90
T. Wilke13030 min00 /9000 /9013 /9013 /9000 /9013 /90
L. Pico490360 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
S. Vivas476304 min00 /9000 /9020.6 /9000 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
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Fortaleza FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortaleza FC before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Diaz n 490
0.52/0
00/0
L. Pico n 490
00/0
00/0
W. Barlasina n 490
00/0
00/0
J. Cajares n 490
00/0
00/0
S. Cuero n 484.3
0.31/0
0.31/0
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Fortaleza FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortaleza FC before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Y. Diaz n 490
00/0
00/0
L. Pico n 490
00/0
00/0
W. Barlasina n 490
00/0
00/0
J. Cajares n 490
00/0
00/0
S. Cuero n 484.3
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bucaramanga v Fortaleza FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BucaramangaLLWDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Fortaleza FCLDLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bucaramanga 3 · 0 draws · Fortaleza FC 3 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-05-03 Fortaleza FC 2–1 Bucaramanga
  • 2025-11-30 Fortaleza FC 0–2 Bucaramanga
  • 2025-11-26 Bucaramanga 1–2 Fortaleza FC
  • 2025-09-27 Fortaleza FC 2–1 Bucaramanga
  • 2025-04-14 Bucaramanga 4–0 Fortaleza FC
  • 2024-11-10 Bucaramanga 1–0 Fortaleza FC
League standing · 2026
Bucaramanga#4 pos32 pts18 pl+13 GD
Fortaleza FC#20 pos12 pts18 pl-11 GD
Goals per game
Bucaramanga scored1.67
Fortaleza FC scored0.94
Bucaramanga conceded0.94
Fortaleza FC conceded1.56

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Bucaramanga v Fortaleza FC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bucaramanga v Fortaleza FC is Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Bucaramanga and Fortaleza FC?
In their last 6 meetings, Bucaramanga won 3, Fortaleza FC won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bucaramanga and Fortaleza FC?
Recent form — Bucaramanga 2W 1D 2L; Fortaleza FC 0W 1D 4L.

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