Cucuta v Jaguares prediction

Primera A · Sat, 14 Nov 2026 20:30 GMT · Estadio General Santander

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 13:29 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home team goals — Home under 2 5 the free pick for Cucuta v Jaguares, Primera A on Sat, 14 Nov 2026 20:30 GMT.

Free pick

Home team goals — Home under 2 5

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home team goals — Home under 2 5 in the last 90 days, 79.2% of 5215 landed (95% range 78.1–80.3%); it had given them 80.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Predicted on 5 November 2026, before the fixture moved

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Cucuta host Jaguares in Primera A on Saturday 14 November (kick-off 20:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Cucuta team goals — Home under 2 5, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Jaguares have conceded 35 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 18 games).

Form and the table

Seven of Cucuta’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Cucuta’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Cucuta have five wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.89 points per game, scoring 1.44 and conceding 0.89. Cucuta have scored 19 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 18 games). Cucuta have conceded 26 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nine of Jaguares’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Jaguares’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Jaguares have no wins, one draw and six defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.14 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 2.29. Jaguares have scored 17 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 18 games).

Jaguares have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Jaguares have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions. Cucuta (11th) and Jaguares (19th) are 11 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Cucuta the stronger side, 182 rating points above Jaguares (Cucuta 1504, Jaguares 1322, after at least 103 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Jaguares 2–0 Cucuta.

Team news

Predicted Cucuta XI (4-1-4-1): F. Abadia, H. Lópes, B. Montaño, E. M. Duarte Barajas, J. Quinones, V. Mejia, Neneco, L. Berdugo, D. Gelvez, G. Torres, J. Peralta — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, L. Berdugo (3.9 per match over three appearances, one goal) and F. Abadia (2.8 per match over four appearances) have been Cucuta’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Cucuta (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), F. Abadia averages 4.5 saves per 90 over 360 minutes.

Predicted Jaguares XI (4-2-3-1): D. Martínez, J. Lovera, L. Jimenez, J. Pérez, J. Malagón, R. Bustamante, J. Yanez, C. Álvarez, W. De La Rosa, F. Gil, D. López — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, R. Bustamante (2.8 per match over four appearances) and J. Lovera (2.7 per match over four appearances) have been Jaguares’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Jaguares (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), R. Bustamante averages 0.5 key passes per 90 over 360 minutes. J. Lovera averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 360 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 20:30 GMT · Primera A · Estadio General Santander
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Cucuta 1 · draws 2 · Jaguares 1 · 2.25 goals/game
Recent form: Cucuta 2W 0D 3L · Jaguares 1W 0D 4L

Cucuta v Jaguares (Primera A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 0.75

Goals

against 1 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.25 / 5.5

Corners

against 4.75 / 7.5 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 4 matches

4.25 / 3.25

Shots on target

against 6.25 / 4.75 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 4 matches

1.75 / 1.75

Cards

against 2.5 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 4 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Cucuta for / against	Line	Jaguares for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	0.75 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.25 for · 4.75 against n 4 Last 5	9.5standard	5.5 for · 7.5 against n 4 Last 5
Shots	12.75 for · 15.5 against n 4 Last 5	19.5standard	11 for · 16.75 against n 4 Last 5
Shots on target	4.25 for · 6.25 against n 4 Last 5	8.5standard	3.25 for · 4.75 against n 4 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.75 for · 12.5 against n 4 Last 5	21.5standard	10.5 for · 13.5 against n 4 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 2.5 against n 4 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 4.25 against n 4 Last 5

Cucuta

Cucuta Goalkeeper

Cucuta — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
F. Abadia	4	90360 min	184.5 /90	71.8 /90	00 /90

Cucuta — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cucuta before kick-off, to 10 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
F. Abadia n 4	90	4.5 4/4

Cucuta Defensive

Cucuta — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
H. Lópes	4	90360 min	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	30.8 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
Brayan Montaño	4	88351 min	82.1 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90	133.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
E. M. Duarte Barajas	3	63189 min	41.9 /90	31.4 /90	00 /90	73.3 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
Y. Abonia	3	48145 min	21.2 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	31.9 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90
J. Quinones	2	85169 min	00 /90	31.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
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Cucuta — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cucuta before kick-off, to 10 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
H. Lópes n 4	90	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0	—
F. Abadia n 4	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/0	—
Brayan Montaño n 4	87.8	0.3 1/0	0.5 1/1	—
J. Peralta n 4	75.8	0.9 2/1	3.3 4/3	—
Neneco n 4	74.3	1.8 3/1	1.2 3/1	—
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Cucuta — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cucuta before kick-off, to 10 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
H. Lópes n 4	90	0.5 2/0
Brayan Montaño n 4	87.8	2.1 4/3
J. Peralta n 4	75.8	0.6 1/1
Neneco n 4	74.3	3 4/4
V. Mejia n 4	72.5	3.1 4/2
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Cucuta Attacking

Cucuta — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Peralta	4	76303 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	226.5 /90	61.8 /90	41.2 /90	10.3 /90
M. A. Orozco	4	38151 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	42.4 /90	21.2 /90
Neneco	4	74297 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90
V. Mejia	4	73290 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90
D. Gelvez	4	71284 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	51.6 /90	10.3 /90
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Cucuta — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cucuta before kick-off, to 10 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
H. Lópes n 4	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
F. Abadia n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Brayan Montaño n 4	87.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Peralta n 4	75.8	6.5 4/3	1.8 3/2
Neneco n 4	74.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Cucuta — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cucuta before kick-off, to 10 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
H. Lópes n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Abadia n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Brayan Montaño n 4	87.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Peralta n 4	75.8	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
Neneco n 4	74.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Jaguares

Jaguares Goalkeeper

Jaguares — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
F. Mosquera	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
D. Martínez	2	85169 min	63.2 /90	63.2 /90	00 /90

Jaguares Defensive

Jaguares — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Lovera	4	90360 min	71.8 /90	41 /90	92.3 /90	102.5 /90	82 /90	10.3 /90
L. Jimenez	4	87349 min	51.3 /90	61.5 /90	00 /90	92.3 /90	41 /90	00 /90
J. Malagón	3	88264 min	20.7 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90	62 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90
Juan Pérez	3	75225 min	31.2 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	62.4 /90	20.8 /90	00 /90
J. Franco	2	68135 min	00 /90	21.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90	32 /90	21.3 /90
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Jaguares — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Jaguares before kick-off, to 10 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Lovera n 4	90	2 4/2	0.3 1/0	—
R. Bustamante n 4	90	0.8 3/0	0.5 1/1	—
L. Jimenez n 4	87.3	1 3/1	0.3 1/0	—
J. Yanez n 4	78.8	1.1 3/1	4.3 4/4	—
C. Álvarez n 4	78.8	0.3 1/0	2 3/2	—
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Jaguares — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Jaguares before kick-off, to 10 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Lovera n 4	90	1.8 3/1
R. Bustamante n 4	90	1.3 3/1
L. Jimenez n 4	87.3	1.3 2/2
C. Álvarez n 4	78.8	0.6 1/1
J. Yanez n 4	78.8	0.6 2/0
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Jaguares Attacking

Jaguares — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Mejia	4	46185 min	00 /90	00 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	31.5 /90	10.5 /90
D. López	4	42167 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.6 /90	10.5 /90	21.1 /90	10.5 /90
A. Rentería	2	90180 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	52.5 /90	21 /90	21 /90	00 /90
E. Beltrán	2	2448 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	23.8 /90	00 /90
D. Rodríguez	2	1733 min	00 /90	00 /90	12.7 /90	12.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Jaguares — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Jaguares before kick-off, to 10 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Bustamante n 4	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
J. Lovera n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Jimenez n 4	87.3	0.8 2/1	0 0/0
C. Álvarez n 4	78.8	1.4 2/2	1.1 2/1
J. Yanez n 4	78.8	0.9 3/0	0.6 2/0
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Jaguares — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Jaguares before kick-off, to 10 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Bustamante n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Lovera n 4	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Jimenez n 4	87.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Álvarez n 4	78.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Yanez n 4	78.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cucuta v Jaguares — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

CucutaWLLWL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

JaguaresLWLLL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Cucuta 1 · 2 draws · Jaguares 1 · 2.25 goals/game

2026-05-02 Jaguares 2–0 Cucuta
2020-03-10 Jaguares 0–3 Cucuta
2019-08-17 Cucuta 1–1 Jaguares
2019-02-23 Jaguares 1–1 Cucuta

League standing · 2026

Cucuta#11 pos24 pts18 pl-7 GD

Jaguares#19 pos13 pts18 pl-18 GD

Goals per game

Cucuta scored1.06

Jaguares scored0.94

Cucuta conceded1.44

Jaguares conceded1.94

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Cucuta v Jaguares?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Cucuta v Jaguares is Home team goals — Home under 2 5.
What is the head-to-head record between Cucuta and Jaguares?: In their last 4 meetings, Cucuta won 1, Jaguares won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cucuta and Jaguares?: Recent form — Cucuta 2W 0D 3L; Jaguares 1W 0D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 11 Nov 2026, 13:29 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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