Deportes Tolima v Millonarios prediction

Primera A · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 23:10 GMT · Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro

Updated 5 Nov 2026, 17:47 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Deportes Tolima · Millonarios

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Deportes Tolima v Millonarios, Primera A on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 23:10 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Deportes Tolima host Millonarios in Primera A on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 23:10 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in two of Deportes Tolima’s last 15 results in all competitions (13%).

Deportes Tolima are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Millonarios are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Five of Deportes Tolima’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). At home, Deportes Tolima have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 0.38. Deportes Tolima have scored 21 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 17 games). Deportes Tolima have conceded 20 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Six of Millonarios’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in nine of Millonarios’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Millonarios have two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 2.00. Millonarios have scored 24 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 17 games). Millonarios have conceded 14 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Deportes Tolima (11th) and Millonarios (sixth) are four points apart, 2026 so far.

Team news

Predicted Deportes Tolima XI (4-3-3): N. Volpi, A. Angulo, C. Arrieta, J. Ángulo, J. Hernandez, S. Guzmán, H. Martínez, C. Trujillo, A. Parra, J. Hurtado, L. Sandoval — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Hernandez (3.4 per match over eight appearances, two goals) and Jersson González (3.2 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Deportes Tolima’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Deportes Tolima (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Hernandez averages 1.1 tackles per 90 over 650 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last eight appearances. Jersson González averages 1.8 shots per 90 over 602 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Millonarios XI (5-3-2): D. Novoa, S. Valencia, J. Arias, A. Llinás, C. Sarabia, S. Mosquera, R. Ureña, M. García, D. Silva, R. Contreras, L. Castro — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Rodrigo Contreras (4.7 per match over eight appearances, five goals) and Rodrigo Ureña (3.4 per match over eight appearances, one assist) have been Millonarios’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Millonarios (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Rodrigo Contreras averages 2.8 shots per 90 over 636 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances. Rodrigo Ureña averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 720 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 23:10 GMT · Primera A · Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Deportes Tolima 1W 1D 3L · Millonarios 1W 3D 1L

Deportes Tolima v Millonarios (Primera A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.25 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.63 / 6.38

Corners

against 4.5 / 5.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 5.88

Shots on target

against 4.75 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 2.25

Cards

against 1.75 / 3.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Deportes Tolima for / against	Line	Millonarios for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.63 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.38 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.63 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	18.63 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.25 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.88 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.88 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5

Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima Goalkeeper

Deportes Tolima — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Neto Volpi	11	91999 min	343.1 /90	111 /90	00 /90

Deportes Tolima — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Deportes Tolima before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Neto Volpi n 8	91.1	3.5 7/5

Deportes Tolima Defensive

Deportes Tolima — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Anderson Angulo	10	91909 min	101 /90	60.6 /90	80.8 /90	383.8 /90	20.2 /90	10.1 /90
Cristian Arrieta	10	90897 min	242.4 /90	121.2 /90	10.1 /90	494.9 /90	60.6 /90	20.2 /90
Jan Ángulo	9	89804 min	101.1 /90	50.6 /90	91 /90	303.4 /90	101.1 /90	00 /90
J. Hernandez	7	80560 min	81.3 /90	30.5 /90	10.2 /90	213.4 /90	61 /90	10.2 /90
Yordan Osorio	4	56223 min	20.8 /90	41.6 /90	31.2 /90	83.2 /90	41.6 /90	00 /90
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Deportes Tolima — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Deportes Tolima before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Neto Volpi n 8	91.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Adrián Parra n 8	74.5	3.5 6/5	0.3 2/0	—
Anderson Angulo n 8	91.1	0.1 1/0	0.4 2/1	—
Cristian Arrieta n 8	90.4	0.7 5/1	0.6 3/2	—
Sebastián Guzmán n 8	75.9	0.7 4/1	1.9 6/4	—
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Deportes Tolima — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Deportes Tolima before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Adrián Parra n 8	74.5	2.1 4/3
Anderson Angulo n 8	91.1	1 4/2
Cristian Arrieta n 8	90.4	2.7 7/5
Sebastián Guzmán n 8	75.9	0.7 4/1
Brayan Rovira n 8	68.6	1.3 5/3
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Deportes Tolima Attacking

Deportes Tolima — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Adrián Parra	11	74809 min	00 /90	00 /90	60.7 /90	50.6 /90	70.8 /90	20.2 /90
Edwar López	8	66524 min	00 /90	00 /90	61 /90	20.3 /90	20.3 /90	30.5 /90
Luis Sandoval	7	74517 min	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	91.6 /90	61 /90	142.4 /90	50.9 /90
Kelvin Florez	7	51358 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	61.5 /90	41 /90	61.5 /90	71.8 /90
J. Hurtado	2	81162 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.7 /90	10.6 /90	42.2 /90	63.3 /90
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Deportes Tolima — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Deportes Tolima before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Neto Volpi n 8	91.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Adrián Parra n 8	74.5	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
Anderson Angulo n 8	91.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Cristian Arrieta n 8	90.4	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Sebastián Guzmán n 8	75.9	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
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Deportes Tolima — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Deportes Tolima before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Neto Volpi n 8	91.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Adrián Parra n 8	74.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Anderson Angulo n 8	91.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Cristian Arrieta n 8	90.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Sebastián Guzmán n 8	75.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Millonarios

Millonarios Goalkeeper

Millonarios — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Diego Novoa	7	90630 min	131.9 /90	81.1 /90	00 /90
Javier Burrai	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Millonarios — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millonarios before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Diego Novoa n 7	90	1.9 5/1

Millonarios Defensive

Millonarios — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Sebastián Valencia	8	81647 min	162.2 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90	365 /90	152.1 /90	10.1 /90
Jorge Arias	6	86517 min	101.7 /90	71.2 /90	30.5 /90	315.4 /90	50.9 /90	20.3 /90
Andrés Llinás	6	81484 min	71.3 /90	50.9 /90	10.2 /90	234.3 /90	61.1 /90	20.4 /90
Sebastián del Castillo	6	65387 min	51.2 /90	40.9 /90	00 /90	163.7 /90	61.4 /90	20.5 /90
Carlos Sarabia	5	78389 min	40.9 /90	30.7 /90	10.2 /90	122.8 /90	40.9 /90	00 /90
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Millonarios — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millonarios before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Rodrigo Ureña n 8	90	1.3 8/2	0.8 5/1	—
Sebastián Valencia n 8	80.9	2.1 7/3	1.4 4/3	—
Rodrigo Contreras n 8	79.5	1.4 6/2	1.7 5/4	—
Mateo García n 8	76.1	1.2 5/2	1.2 5/2	—
Leonardo Castro n 8	74.1	0.9 3/2	1.2 6/2	—
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Millonarios — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millonarios before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Rodrigo Ureña n 8	90	2.1 7/5
Sebastián Valencia n 8	80.9	2.2 6/6
Rodrigo Contreras n 8	79.5	1 5/2
Mateo García n 8	76.1	1.9 7/5
Leonardo Castro n 8	74.1	0.6 4/0
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Millonarios Attacking

Millonarios — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Rodrigo Contreras	8	80636 min	50.7 /90	00 /90	202.8 /90	91.3 /90	101.4 /90	50.7 /90
Leonardo Castro	8	74593 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	111.7 /90	30.5 /90	81.2 /90	20.3 /90
R. Falcao	3	3090 min	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90	11 /90	11 /90
A. Castro	2	3977 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	22.3 /90
J. Hurtado	1	4545 min	00 /90	12 /90	12 /90	00 /90	48 /90	12 /90
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Millonarios — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millonarios before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Rodrigo Ureña n 8	90	0.9 4/2	0.3 1/1
Sebastián Valencia n 8	80.9	1.8 7/4	0.8 5/1
Rodrigo Contreras n 8	79.5	2.8 8/6	1.3 6/2
Mateo García n 8	76.1	1 5/2	0.6 4/0
Leonardo Castro n 8	74.1	1.7 5/4	0.5 3/0
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Millonarios — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millonarios before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Rodrigo Ureña n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Sebastián Valencia n 8	80.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Rodrigo Contreras n 8	79.5	0.7 3/2	0 0/0
Mateo García n 8	76.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Leonardo Castro n 8	74.1	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Deportes Tolima v Millonarios — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Deportes TolimaWLDLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

MillonariosDWDLD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game

League standing · 2026

Deportes Tolima#11 pos23 pts17 pl+1 GD

Millonarios#6 pos27 pts17 pl+10 GD

Goals per game

Deportes Tolima scored1.24

Millonarios scored1.41

Deportes Tolima conceded1.18

Millonarios conceded0.82

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Deportes Tolima v Millonarios?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Deportes Tolima v Millonarios is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Deportes Tolima and Millonarios?: Recent form — Deportes Tolima 1W 1D 3L; Millonarios 1W 3D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 5 Nov 2026, 17:47 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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