Llaneros v Chico prediction

Primera A · Fri, 13 Nov 2026 00:00 GMT · Estadio Bello Horizonte

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 13:29 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home team goals — Home under 2 5 the free pick for Llaneros v Chico, Primera A on Fri, 13 Nov 2026 00:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home team goals — Home under 2 5

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home team goals — Home under 2 5 in the last 90 days, 79.2% of 5215 landed (95% range 78.1–80.3%); it had given them 80.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Predicted on 5 November 2026, before the fixture moved

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Llaneros host Chico in Primera A on Friday 13 November (kick-off 00:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Llaneros team goals — Home under 2 5, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Eight of Llaneros’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Llaneros’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Llaneros have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.57. Llaneros have scored 21 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 18 games). Llaneros have conceded 24 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Chico’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Chico’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Chico have no wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 5 away matches in all competitions — 0.40 points per game, scoring 0.40 and conceding 1.80. Chico have scored 15 goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 18 games). Chico have conceded 29 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Llaneros (12th) and Chico (15th) are four points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Llaneros the stronger side, 34 rating points above Chico (Llaneros 1524, Chico 1491, after at least 77 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Chico 3–0 Llaneros.

Team news

Predicted Llaneros XI (4-1-4-1): J. Loaiza, D. Quintero, J. Escobar, J. Pertúz, F. Meza, M. Zamora, N. Ospina, J. RamÃrez, J. Castilla, F. Castaneda, J. Vasquez — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jhojan Escobar (4.7 per match over three appearances, one goal and one assist) and Jhon Vasquez (4.2 per match over three appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Llaneros’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Llaneros (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Jhojan Escobar averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 270 minutes.

Predicted Chico XI (4-4-2): D. Agudelo, D. Polanco, C. Blanco Betancur, J. Alomía, D. Ramírez, Cardenas, E. Sarria, J. Díaz, S. Mera, A. Maya, J. Pimentel — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, C. Blanco Betancur (3.8 per match over three appearances, one assist) and J. Pimentel (1.7 per match over three appearances) have been Chico’s most influential players 2026, all competitions.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Fri, 13 Nov 2026 00:00 GMT · Primera A · Estadio Bello Horizonte
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 3): Llaneros 1 · draws 1 · Chico 1 · 3.33 goals/game
Recent form: Llaneros 3W 0D 2L · Chico 2W 1D 2L

Llaneros v Chico (Primera A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.63

Goals

against 1.5 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.33 / 6.33

Corners

against 4.67 / 6.67 · 2 of the last 3 over 9.5

over 3 matches

4.33 / 3

Shots on target

against 3 / 4.67 · 1 of the last 3 over 8.5

over 3 matches

3.67 / 2

Cards

against 2.33 / 2 · 2 of the last 3 over 3.5

over 3 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Llaneros for / against	Line	Chico for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	0.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.33 for · 4.67 against n 3 Last 5	9.5standard	6.33 for · 6.67 against n 3 Last 5
Shots	13.33 for · 15 against n 3 Last 5	19.5standard	13 for · 8.67 against n 3 Last 5
Shots on target	4.33 for · 3 against n 3 Last 5	8.5standard	3 for · 4.67 against n 3 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.67 for · 13 against n 3 Last 5	21.5standard	11.67 for · 13.67 against n 3 Last 5
Cards shown	3.67 for · 2.33 against n 3 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2 against n 3 Last 5

Llaneros

Llaneros Goalkeeper

Llaneros — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Loaiza	3	67201 min	31.3 /90	31.3 /90	00 /90
R. Romana Garavito	1	6969 min	22.6 /90	11.3 /90	00 /90

Llaneros — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Llaneros before kick-off, to 9 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Loaiza n 3	67	1.3 1/0

Llaneros Defensive

Llaneros — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Quintero	3	90270 min	00 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	31 /90	51.7 /90	20.7 /90
J. Pertúz	3	90270 min	51.7 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	186 /90	31 /90	10.3 /90
Jhojan Escobar	3	90270 min	51.7 /90	20.7 /90	20.7 /90	124 /90	51.7 /90	00 /90
F. Meza	2	90180 min	21 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	94.5 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90
A. Moralez	1	8282 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.1 /90	33.3 /90	22.2 /90	22.2 /90
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Llaneros — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Llaneros before kick-off, to 9 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Quintero n 3	90	1.7 3/2	0.7 2/0	—
Jhojan Escobar n 3	90	1.7 3/2	1.3 2/1	—
J. Pertúz n 3	90	1 2/1	3 3/3	—
Marlon Ricardo Sierra Zamora n 3	89.7	1.3 2/1	0.7 2/0	—
Jhon Vasquez n 3	86.7	1.4 2/2	2.4 3/2	—
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Llaneros — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Llaneros before kick-off, to 9 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Jhojan Escobar n 3	90	1.7 3/1
J. Pertúz n 3	90	1.7 3/2
D. Quintero n 3	90	0 0/0
Marlon Ricardo Sierra Zamora n 3	89.7	0.3 1/0
Jhon Vasquez n 3	86.7	0 0/0
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Llaneros Attacking

Llaneros — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Jhon Vasquez	3	87260 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	103.5 /90	41.4 /90	51.7 /90	20.7 /90
J. Contreras	3	40119 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90
C. Cortés	2	4182 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.1 /90	22.2 /90
Marlon Ricardo Sierra Zamora	3	90269 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90	41.3 /90	20.7 /90
N. Ospina	3	83250 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	72.5 /90	31.1 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90
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Llaneros — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Llaneros before kick-off, to 9 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Pertúz n 3	90	0.7 1/1	0 0/0
Jhojan Escobar n 3	90	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
D. Quintero n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Marlon Ricardo Sierra Zamora n 3	89.7	0.7 2/0	0 0/0
Jhon Vasquez n 3	86.7	3.5 3/3	1.4 2/1
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Llaneros — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Llaneros before kick-off, to 9 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Jhojan Escobar n 3	90	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
D. Quintero n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Pertúz n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Marlon Ricardo Sierra Zamora n 3	89.7	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jhon Vasquez n 3	86.7	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
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Chico

Chico Goalkeeper

Chico — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
D. Agudelo	3	90270 min	113.7 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90

Chico — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chico before kick-off, to 9 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Agudelo n 3	90	3.7 3/2

Chico Defensive

Chico — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Polanco	3	90270 min	10.3 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90	41.3 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90
C. Blanco Betancur	3	86259 min	51.7 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	93.1 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
J. Alomía	2	81162 min	31.7 /90	21.1 /90	00 /90	52.8 /90	42.2 /90	10.6 /90
C. Mosquera	1	9090 min	00 /90	22 /90	00 /90	77 /90	22 /90	00 /90
J. Mena	1	9090 min	00 /90	11 /90	00 /90	11 /90	11 /90	00 /90
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Chico — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chico before kick-off, to 9 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Cardenas n 3	90	2 3/3	0.7 2/0	—
D. Polanco n 3	90	0.7 2/0	0.7 2/0	—
D. Agudelo n 3	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0	—
E. Sarria n 3	88	1 2/1	1.4 3/1	—
C. Blanco Betancur n 3	86.3	0.7 1/1	0.7 1/1	—
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Chico — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chico before kick-off, to 9 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Polanco n 3	90	0.3 1/0
Cardenas n 3	90	0.3 1/0
E. Sarria n 3	88	1 2/1
C. Blanco Betancur n 3	86.3	1.7 3/1
Alejandro Maya n 3	80	0.4 1/0
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Chico Attacking

Chico — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Alejandro Maya	3	80240 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.5 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90
J. Pimentel	3	75226 min	00 /90	00 /90	52 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90	20.8 /90
Cardenas	3	90270 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90	31 /90	41.3 /90
E. Sarria	3	88264 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.7 /90	20.7 /90	20.7 /90	20.7 /90
Santiago Mera	3	75224 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.6 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	41.6 /90
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Chico — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chico before kick-off, to 9 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Polanco n 3	90	0.7 2/0	0 0/0
Cardenas n 3	90	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
D. Agudelo n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Sarria n 3	88	0.7 2/0	0.7 2/0
C. Blanco Betancur n 3	86.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Chico — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chico before kick-off, to 9 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Agudelo n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Polanco n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Cardenas n 3	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Sarria n 3	88	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Blanco Betancur n 3	86.3	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Llaneros v Chico — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

LlanerosWLLWW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

ChicoLWDLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

Llaneros 1 · 1 draw · Chico 1 · 3.33 goals/game

2026-05-02 Chico 3–0 Llaneros
2025-07-23 Llaneros 2–1 Chico
2025-02-08 Chico 2–2 Llaneros

League standing · 2026

Llaneros#12 pos23 pts18 pl-3 GD

Chico#15 pos19 pts18 pl-14 GD

Goals per game

Llaneros scored1.17

Chico scored0.83

Llaneros conceded1.33

Chico conceded1.61

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Llaneros v Chico?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Llaneros v Chico is Home team goals — Home under 2 5.
What is the head-to-head record between Llaneros and Chico?: In their last 3 meetings, Llaneros won 1, Chico won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Llaneros and Chico?: Recent form — Llaneros 3W 0D 2L; Chico 2W 1D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 11 Nov 2026, 13:29 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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