MillonariosAlianza Valledupar

Millonarios v Alianza Valledupar prediction

Primera A ·

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Millonarios v Alianza Valledupar, Primera A on Thu, 12 Nov 2026 21:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Millonarios host Alianza Valledupar in Primera A on Thursday 12 November (kick-off 21:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

Six of Millonarios’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in nine of Millonarios’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Millonarios have one win, five draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 0.71. Millonarios have scored 24 goals, the sixth-most of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 17 games). Millonarios have conceded 14 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Four of Alianza Valledupar’s last 7 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (57%). Both teams scored in three of Alianza Valledupar’s last 7 results in all competitions (43%). Away from home, Alianza Valledupar have one win, two draws and no defeats in their last 3 away matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.00. Alianza Valledupar have scored 17 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 17 games). Alianza Valledupar have conceded 29 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.

Millonarios are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Millonarios (sixth) and Alianza Valledupar (14th) are nine points apart, 2026 so far.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Rodrigo Contreras (4.7 per match over eight appearances, five goals) and Rodrigo Ureña (3.4 per match over eight appearances, one assist) have been Millonarios’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Millonarios (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Rodrigo Contreras averages 2.8 shots per 90 over 636 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances. Rodrigo Ureña averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 720 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Primera A
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Millonarios 1W 3D 1L · Alianza Valledupar 1W 2D 2L

Millonarios v Alianza Valledupar (Primera A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

246
Markets analysed

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Millonarios v Alianza Valledupar — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MillonariosDWDLD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Alianza ValleduparDLLDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
League standing · 2026
Millonarios#6 pos27 pts17 pl+10 GD
Alianza Valledupar#14 pos18 pts17 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Millonarios scored1.41
Alianza Valledupar scored1
Millonarios conceded0.82
Alianza Valledupar conceded1.71

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Millonarios v Alianza Valledupar?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Millonarios v Alianza Valledupar is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Millonarios and Alianza Valledupar?
Recent form — Millonarios 1W 3D 1L; Alianza Valledupar 1W 2D 2L.

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