MillonariosAlianza Valledupar

Millonarios v Alianza Valledupar prediction

Primera A ·

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Millonarios v Alianza Valledupar, Primera A on Sat, 14 Nov 2026 20:30 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.73 at Betfair
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 492 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Predicted on 5 November 2026, before the fixture moved
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Millonarios host Alianza Valledupar in Primera A on Saturday 14 November (kick-off 20:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

Six of Millonarios’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in 11 of Millonarios’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Millonarios have two wins, four draws and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 0.50. Millonarios have scored 25 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 18 games). Millonarios have conceded 16 goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Nine of Alianza Valledupar’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Alianza Valledupar’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Alianza Valledupar have three wins, no draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 1.50. Alianza Valledupar have scored 18 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 18 games). Alianza Valledupar have conceded 31 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.

Millonarios are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Alianza Valledupar have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Millonarios (seventh) and Alianza Valledupar (16th) are nine points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Millonarios the stronger side, 197 rating points above Alianza Valledupar (Millonarios 1631, Alianza Valledupar 1434, after at least 391 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished Alianza Valledupar 2–2 Millonarios.

Team news

Predicted Millonarios XI (5-3-2): J. Burrai, S. Mosquera, S. Barreiro, S. Martín, S. Valencia, D. Banguero, D. Silva, J. Cuadrado, M. García, R. Contreras, A. Estupiñán — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Rodrigo Contreras (4.4 per match over nine appearances, five goals) and Rodrigo Ureña (3.4 per match over eight appearances, one assist) have been Millonarios’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Millonarios (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Rodrigo Contreras averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 726 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last nine appearances. Rodrigo Ureña averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 720 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Alianza Valledupar XI (3-4-3): E. Beltran, P. Franco, K. Moreno, J. Viveros, J. Lasso, J. Castillo, E. Meza, W. Fernandez, M. Martinez, F. Pardo, J. Munoz — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Lasso (2.8 per match over four appearances, one assist) and M. Martinez (2.5 per match over four appearances, two goals) have been Alianza Valledupar’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Alianza Valledupar (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Lasso averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 360 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Primera A
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Millonarios 1 · draws 2 · Alianza Valledupar 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Millonarios 1W 3D 1L · Alianza Valledupar 2W 0D 3L

Millonarios v Alianza Valledupar (Primera A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

246
Markets analysed

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Millonarios v Alianza Valledupar — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MillonariosDWDDL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Alianza ValleduparWWLLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Millonarios 1 · 2 draws · Alianza Valledupar 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-05-03 Alianza Valledupar 2–2 Millonarios
  • 2025-09-13 Alianza Valledupar 3–0 Millonarios
  • 2025-03-30 Millonarios 2–0 Alianza Valledupar
  • 2024-07-28 Alianza Valledupar 2–1 Millonarios
  • 2024-01-31 Millonarios 1–1 Alianza Valledupar
  • 2023-07-29 Alianza Valledupar 1–0 Millonarios
League standing · 2026
Millonarios#7 pos27 pts18 pl+9 GD
Alianza Valledupar#16 pos18 pts18 pl-13 GD
Goals per game
Millonarios scored1.39
Alianza Valledupar scored1
Millonarios conceded0.89
Alianza Valledupar conceded1.72

See the full prediction

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Millonarios v Alianza Valledupar?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Millonarios v Alianza Valledupar is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.73 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Millonarios and Alianza Valledupar?
In their last 6 meetings, Millonarios won 1, Alianza Valledupar won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Millonarios and Alianza Valledupar?
Recent form — Millonarios 1W 3D 1L; Alianza Valledupar 2W 0D 3L.

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