Universidad de ConcepcionO'Higgins

Universidad de Concepcion v O'Higgins prediction

Primera División – Chile · · Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Under 3.5 goals the free pick for Universidad de Concepcion v O'Higgins, Primera División – Chile on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 23:00 GMT.

Free pick
Under 3.5 goals
Best price: 1.44 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 3.5 goals in the last 90 days, 72.4% of 1751 landed (95% range 70.2–74.4%); it had given them 77.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Predicted on 5 November 2026, before the fixture moved
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Universidad de Concepcion host O'Higgins in the Primera División – Chile on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 23:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Under 3.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Universidad de Concepcion have scored 19 goals, the fewest of the 16 clubs (2026 so far, after 26 games, ranked per game).

Universidad de Concepcion are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Two of Universidad de Concepcion’s last 6 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in three of Universidad de Concepcion’s last 6 results in all competitions (50%). At home, Universidad de Concepcion have one win, two draws and no defeats in their last 3 home matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 2.67 and conceding 2.33. Universidad de Concepcion have conceded 47 goals, the second-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far, after 26 games, ranked per game).

Three of O'Higgins’s last 12 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (25%). Both teams scored in three of O'Higgins’s last 12 results in all competitions (25%). Away from home, O'Higgins have one win, no draws and five defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 0.83 and conceding 1.83. O'Higgins have scored 30 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026 so far, after 26 games, ranked per game). O'Higgins have conceded 39 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 16 clubs.

Universidad de Concepcion (15th) and O'Higgins (12th) are eight points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have O'Higgins the stronger side, 300 rating points above Universidad de Concepcion (O'Higgins 1704, Universidad de Concepcion 1405, after at least six rated matches each).

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Francisco González (5.4 per match over 12 appearances, five goals and four assists) and Martín Sarrafiore (4.3 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been O'Higgins’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for O'Higgins (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Francisco González averages 2.8 key passes per 90 over 1615 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Martín Sarrafiore averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 1937 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Primera División – Chile · Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Universidad de Concepcion 0W 3D 2L · O'Higgins 2W 1D 2L

Universidad de Concepcion v O'Higgins (Primera División – Chile): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

246
Markets analysed

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Universidad de Concepcion v O'Higgins — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Universidad de ConcepcionDDLDL
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
O'HigginsDLWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
League standing · 2026
Universidad de Concepcion#15 pos23 pts26 pl-28 GD
O'Higgins#12 pos31 pts26 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Universidad de Concepcion scored0.73
O'Higgins scored1.15
Universidad de Concepcion conceded1.81
O'Higgins conceded1.5

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Universidad de Concepcion v O'Higgins?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Universidad de Concepcion v O'Higgins is Under 3.5 goals (best price 1.44 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Universidad de Concepcion and O'Higgins?
Recent form — Universidad de Concepcion 0W 3D 2L; O'Higgins 2W 1D 2L.

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