Abha v Al Kholood prediction

Pro League · · Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Abha v Al Kholood, Pro League on Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:20 BST.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1302 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Abha host Al Kholood in the Pro League (Saudi-Arabia) on Monday 19 October (kick-off 16:20 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Al Kholood, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Abha are winless in their last nine matches.

Al Kholood have conceded 18 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Form and the table

11 of Abha’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Abha’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Abha have two wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 6 home matches — 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 1.00. Abha have scored six goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Abha have conceded 15 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Al Kholood have lost their last three matches. Eight of Al Kholood’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Al Kholood’s last 15 results (60%). Away from home, Al Kholood have one win, four draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches — 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.63. Al Kholood have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Abha (18th) and Al Kholood (eighth) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Al Kholood the stronger side, 181 rating points above Abha (Al Kholood 1476, Abha 1295, after at least 77 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Abha XI (4-2-3-1): D. Léon, J. Gaari, A. Al-Hindi, S. Saud, A. Diallo, F. Al Ghamdi, N. Fekir, A. Gory, K. Al-Qahtani, A. Al Fahad, M. Batshuayi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mohammed Al Dossary (7.5 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) and Safwan Saud (3.2 per match over seven appearances) have been Abha’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Abha (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mohammed Al Dossary averages 5.4 tackles per 90 over 347 minutes. Safwan Saud averages 3.0 tackles per 90 over 456 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Al Kholood XI (4-4-2): H. Yousef, M. Camara, S. Pinas, R. Solan, E. Utkus, S. Cissé, Coba, J. Buckley, I. Kortajarena, J. Domingues, A. Al Elewai — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Coba (4.7 per match over nine appearances, two assists) and John Buckley (4.5 per match over eight appearances, one assist) have been Al Kholood’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al Kholood (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Coba averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 786 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last nine appearances. John Buckley averages 3.1 key passes per 90 over 700 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Pro League · Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Abha 0W 1D 4L · Al Kholood 1W 1D 3L

Abha v Al Kholood (Pro League): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.88 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 5
Corners
against 4.13 / 4.25 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 4.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.5 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAbha for / againstLineAl Kholood for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5our book
1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
2.88 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
9.38 for · 12.25 against n 8
19.5standard
12.63 for · 13 against n 8
Shots on target
3 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 12.5 against n 8
21.5standard
12.25 for · 11.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 0.88 against n 8
Abha
Abha — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Fekir n 857.8
3.37/5
3.18/5
—
Faisal Al Subiani n 814.5
1.62/0
00/0
—
K. Al Shamrani n 548.4
1.52/1
2.24/2
—
L. Rosier n 866.6
1.44/1
0.21/0
—
J. Gaari n 890
1.35/4
0.32/0
—
Abha — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Gory n 856.6
2.66/5
1.23/2
N. Fekir n 857.8
2.16/5
0.62/1
M. Batshuayi n 884.4
28/5
0.52/2
G. N'Koudou n 868.4
1.25/1
0.53/0
Nasser Al-Daajani n 552.2
13/0
13/0
Abha — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Gory n 856.6
0.62/1
00/0
Basil Al Sayyali n 832.6
00/0
0.31/0
Mohammed Al Dossary n 878
0.11/0
0.11/0
L. Rosier n 866.6
00/0
0.21/0
N. Fekir n 857.8
0.21/0
00/0
Abha — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Mohammed Al Dossary n 878
4.36/6
K. Al Shamrani n 548.4
3.74/3
Abdulbasit Al-Hindi n 859
2.96/5
Safwan Saud n 868.3
2.85/5
M. Al-Zaid n 850.4
2.56/4
Abha — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Léon n 890
24/4
Al Kholood
Al Kholood — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Mohammed Al-Rashidi n 619.5
3.83/1
1.51/1
—
Yaseen Al Zubaidi n 822
2.64/1
12/0
—
John Buckley n 887.5
1.86/5
1.86/4
—
Ramzi Solan n 884.3
1.77/4
1.38/2
—
Adi n 715.1
1.72/0
00/0
—
Al Kholood — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Iker Kortajarena n 884
28/4
0.96/1
Yaseen Al Zubaidi n 822
22/1
00/0
Coba n 887
1.85/5
0.64/1
Adi n 715.1
1.71/1
00/0
J. Domingues n 879.3
1.66/2
0.74/1
Al Kholood — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Domingues n 879.3
0.43/0
0.32/0
Iker Kortajarena n 884
0.54/0
0.11/0
Muhammad Sawan n 833.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
Shaquille Riley Pinas n 889.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
Guga n 866.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Al Kholood — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ramzi Solan n 884.3
3.18/6
S. Cissé n 890
2.68/6
Muhammad Sawan n 833.5
2.44/2
E. Utkus n 884.4
2.37/6
John Buckley n 887.5
1.97/4
Al Kholood — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Hamed Abdullah Yousef n 890
2.16/4

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Abha v Al Kholood — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AbhaLLLDL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Al KholoodDWLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Abha#18 pos2 pts8 pl-9 GD
Al Kholood#8 pos12 pts9 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Abha scored0.75
Al Kholood scored1.56
Abha conceded1.88
Al Kholood conceded2

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Abha v Al Kholood?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Abha v Al Kholood is Draw or Away.
What is the recent form of Abha and Al Kholood?
Recent form — Abha 0W 1D 4L; Al Kholood 1W 1D 3L.

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