Al-Fateh v Al Riyadh prediction

Pro League · · Al Fateh club stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Al-Fateh v Al Riyadh, Pro League on Thu, 05 Nov 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5066 landed (95% range 76.4–78.7%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,829 of 2,459 times (74.4%), against an average rating of 73.3%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Al-Fateh host Al Riyadh in the Pro League (Saudi-Arabia) on Thursday 5 November (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Al-Fateh or Al Riyadh (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Seven of Al-Fateh’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Al-Fateh’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Al-Fateh have one win, one draw and five defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.57 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.86. Al-Fateh have scored 10 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al-Fateh have conceded 25 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Seven of Al Riyadh’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Al Riyadh’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Al Riyadh have no wins, four draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.50 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 2.38. Al Riyadh have scored 11 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al Riyadh have conceded 25 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Al-Fateh have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Al-Fateh (16th) and Al Riyadh (12th) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Al Riyadh the stronger side, 167 rating points above Al-Fateh (Al Riyadh 1498, Al-Fateh 1330, after at least 113 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Al Riyadh 1–0 Al-Fateh.

Team news

Predicted Al-Fateh XI (5-4-1): A. Šemper, M. Saâdane, A. Al Suwailem, M. Lixandru, K. Boateng, A. Al Khaibari, A. Al Hassan, Z. Youssouf, M. Batna, L. Haraslín, W. Kanga — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, M. Batna (5.2 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and four assists) and Lukáš Haraslín (3.9 per match over 12 appearances, three goals) have been Al-Fateh’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Fateh (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), M. Batna averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 988 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Lukáš Haraslín averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 1295 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Al Riyadh XI (4-4-1-1): M. Borjan, R. Abascal, H. Qasim, H. Majrashi, S. Alessa, V. Lekhal, K. Keita, B. Mensah, T. Okou, E. Bahri, Trézéguet — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, B. Mensah (5.0 per match over eight appearances, two goals and two assists) and Teddy Okou (3.7 per match over 11 appearances, four goals) have been Al Riyadh’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al Riyadh (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), B. Mensah averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 720 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances. Teddy Okou averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 909 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Pro League · Al Fateh club stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Al-Fateh 1 · draws 3 · Al Riyadh 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Al-Fateh 1W 0D 4L · Al Riyadh 2W 1D 2L

Al-Fateh v Al Riyadh (Pro League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 0.75
Goals
against 2.5 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 4.38
Corners
against 7.75 / 5.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAl-Fateh for / againstLineAl Riyadh for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 2.5 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.5 for · 7.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
11.25 for · 17.5 against n 8
19.5standard
13.13 for · 14.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.38 for · 13.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10.63 for · 9.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8

Al-Fateh

Al-Fateh Goalkeeper

Al-Fateh — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Šemper990810 min343.8 /90182 /9000 /90
Waleed Al Anzi390270 min113.7 /9051.7 /9000 /90
Al-Fateh — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al-Fateh before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Šemper n 890
3.26/4
Waleed Al Anzi n 390
3.73/2

Al-Fateh Defensive

Al-Fateh — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Saâdane1085854 min151.6 /90121.3 /9080.8 /90323.4 /9040.4 /9030.3 /90
Abdulelah Al Khaibari1078780 min111.3 /90101.2 /9040.5 /90333.8 /9050.6 /9020.2 /90
K. Boateng990806 min111.2 /9091 /9060.7 /90303.3 /90151.7 /9050.6 /90
Abdulaziz Al Suwailem880639 min101.4 /9050.7 /9050.7 /90253.5 /9050.7 /9000 /90
Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari854432 min142.9 /90102.1 /9010.2 /90245 /9061.3 /9000 /90
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Al-Fateh — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al-Fateh before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Lixandru n 880.1
28/3
0.42/1
—
L. Haraslín n 883
0.43/0
1.67/5
—
W. Kanga n 883.5
0.53/1
0.94/1
—
M. Batna n 889.8
1.98/4
2.37/6
—
Z. Youssouf n 877.5
1.57/2
2.98/5
—
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Al-Fateh — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al-Fateh before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Lixandru n 880.1
1.36/2
L. Haraslín n 883
0.42/1
W. Kanga n 883.5
0.32/0
M. Batna n 889.8
0.94/2
Z. Youssouf n 877.5
26/5
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Al-Fateh Attacking

Al-Fateh — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
W. Kanga1282982 min30.3 /9010.1 /90151.4 /9050.5 /9060.5 /9040.4 /90
Fahad Zubaidi448192 min00 /9000 /9031.4 /9020.9 /9031.4 /9041.9 /90
Ramos Jefferson12727 min00 /9000 /9026.7 /9000 /9000 /9013.3 /90
M. Lixandru1283994 min00 /9000 /9070.6 /9010.1 /9080.7 /9040.4 /90
L. Haraslín1283993 min30.3 /9000 /90222 /90121.1 /90100.9 /90252.3 /90
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Al-Fateh — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al-Fateh before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Lixandru n 880.1
0.43/0
00/0
L. Haraslín n 883
1.56/3
0.95/2
W. Kanga n 883.5
1.36/4
0.43/0
M. Batna n 889.8
2.57/6
1.46/3
Z. Youssouf n 877.5
0.74/1
0.32/0
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Al-Fateh — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al-Fateh before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Lixandru n 880.1
00/0
00/0
L. Haraslín n 883
0.32/0
00/0
W. Kanga n 883.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
M. Batna n 889.8
0.32/0
0.53/1
Z. Youssouf n 877.5
00/0
00/0
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Al Riyadh

Al Riyadh Goalkeeper

Al Riyadh — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Milan Borjan1190990 min484.4 /90181.6 /9000 /90
Al Riyadh — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al Riyadh before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Milan Borjan n 890
4.38/7

Al Riyadh Defensive

Al Riyadh — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Abascal990810 min70.8 /9060.7 /9060.7 /90151.7 /9050.6 /9000 /90
Sultan Alessa978705 min172.2 /90111.4 /9020.3 /90324.1 /90111.4 /9020.3 /90
Sulaiman Hazazi878626 min172.4 /9060.9 /9030.4 /90284 /9030.4 /9000 /90
Mohammed Al-Khaibari790630 min50.7 /9060.9 /90131.9 /90243.4 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90
Hossam Majrashi581406 min81.8 /9040.9 /9030.7 /90112.4 /9040.9 /9010.2 /90
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Al Riyadh — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al Riyadh before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Milan Borjan n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Teddy Okou n 885
1.77/5
1.66/3
—
Victor Lekhal n 886.8
0.54/0
0.32/0
—
R. Abascal n 890
0.54/0
00/0
—
Sultan Alessa n 876.9
1.57/3
0.32/0
—
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Al Riyadh — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al Riyadh before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Teddy Okou n 885
1.56/4
Victor Lekhal n 886.8
0.85/1
R. Abascal n 890
0.43/0
Sultan Alessa n 876.9
26/4
F. Al Jayzani n 852.8
1.56/1
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Al Riyadh Attacking

Al Riyadh — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Trézéguet882653 min20.3 /9010.1 /90182.5 /9040.6 /90141.9 /9071 /90
Hassan Hashim Al-Ali673439 min00 /9010.2 /9051 /9020.4 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
H. Al Ali567333 min00 /9000 /9051.4 /9020.5 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
Leandro Antunes480321 min10.3 /9010.3 /9072 /9030.8 /9051.4 /9010.3 /90
Hussain Al-Raqwani21937 min00 /9000 /9012.4 /9012.4 /9012.4 /9000 /90
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Al Riyadh — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al Riyadh before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Milan Borjan n 890
00/0
00/0
Teddy Okou n 885
1.15/3
0.54/0
Victor Lekhal n 886.8
1.45/3
0.43/0
R. Abascal n 890
16/1
0.53/1
Sultan Alessa n 876.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Al Riyadh — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Al Riyadh before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Milan Borjan n 890
00/0
00/0
Teddy Okou n 885
0.32/0
00/0
Victor Lekhal n 886.8
00/0
00/0
R. Abascal n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Sultan Alessa n 876.9
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Al-Fateh v Al Riyadh — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Al-FatehLWLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.2 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
Al RiyadhWDLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Al-Fateh 1 · 3 draws · Al Riyadh 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-05-10 Al Riyadh 1–0 Al-Fateh
  • 2026-01-13 Al-Fateh 3–1 Al Riyadh
  • 2025-04-23 Al Riyadh 2–2 Al-Fateh
  • 2024-11-28 Al-Fateh 1–2 Al Riyadh
  • 2024-05-02 Al-Fateh 2–2 Al Riyadh
  • 2023-11-09 Al Riyadh 1–1 Al-Fateh
League standing · 2026/27
Al-Fateh#16 pos6 pts12 pl-15 GD
Al Riyadh#12 pos12 pts11 pl-14 GD
Goals per game
Al-Fateh scored0.83
Al Riyadh scored1
Al-Fateh conceded2.08
Al Riyadh conceded2.27

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Al-Fateh v Al Riyadh?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Al-Fateh v Al Riyadh is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Al-Fateh and Al Riyadh?
In their last 6 meetings, Al-Fateh won 1, Al Riyadh won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Al-Fateh and Al Riyadh?
Recent form — Al-Fateh 1W 0D 4L; Al Riyadh 2W 1D 2L.

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