Al-Nassr v NEOM prediction
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Al-Nassr v NEOM, Pro League on Tue, 20 Oct 2026 19:00 BST.
The match
Al-Nassr host NEOM in the Pro League (Saudi-Arabia) on Tuesday 20 October (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Al-Nassr or NEOM (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
12 of Al-Nassr’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).
Form and the table
Both teams scored in 10 of Al-Nassr’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Al-Nassr have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.38 points per game, scoring 2.25 and conceding 0.75. Al-Nassr have scored 19 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al-Nassr have conceded seven goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.
Six of NEOM’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of NEOM’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, NEOM have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.14. NEOM have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). NEOM have conceded eight goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs.
Al-Nassr (third) and NEOM (fifth) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Al-Nassr the stronger side, 259 rating points above NEOM (Al-Nassr 1882, NEOM 1623, after at least 43 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 7 March 2026, finished Al-Nassr 1–0 NEOM.
Team news
Predicted Al-Nassr XI (4-4-2): Bento, N. Boushal, Í. Martínez, M. Simakan, A. Al Amri, S. Mané, S. Costa, Ângelo, K. Coman, J. Félix, C. Ronaldo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, S. Mané (5.2 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and three assists) and Ângelo (4.7 per match over nine appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Al-Nassr’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Nassr (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Mané averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 1285 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Ângelo averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 634 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last nine appearances.
Predicted NEOM XI (4-4-2): M. Bulka, M. Sarr, N. Zézé, I. Hawsawi, K. Al Dawsari, A. Koné, G. Masouras, K. Al-Absi, A. Al Oyayari, A. Lacazette, H. Camara — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Lacazette (4.8 per match over nine appearances, five goals and one assist) and A. Koné (4.8 per match over eight appearances, four goals and one assist) have been NEOM’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for NEOM (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Lacazette averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 723 minutes, with a shot in six of the last nine appearances. A. Koné averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 669 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Pro League · Al-Awwal Park
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): Al-Nassr 2 · draws 0 · NEOM 0 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Al-Nassr 3W 1D 1L · NEOM 3W 1D 1L
Al-Nassr v NEOM (Pro League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Al-Nassr for / against | Line | NEOM for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.5 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 8.5 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.5 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.75 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.75 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.13 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.63 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Al-Nassr
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samú Costa n 8 | 83.5 | 3 | 1.6 | — |
| Abdullah Al Hamdan n 8 | 22 | 2.6 | 2 | — |
| Nader Al Sharari n 8 | 9.8 | 2.3 | 2.3 | — |
| Saad Al Nasser n 8 | 37.3 | 2.1 | 0.9 | — |
| Abdullah Al Khaibari n 8 | 48.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abdullah Al Hamdan n 8 | 22 | 4.1 | 1.5 |
| Cristiano Ronaldo n 8 | 85.9 | 3.7 | 1.7 |
| Sami Al Naji n 8 | 15.9 | 2.1 | 0 |
| S. Mané n 8 | 88.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| João Félix n 8 | 78.3 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abdullah Al Hamdan n 8 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| Ângelo n 8 | 68 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| João Félix n 8 | 78.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Ayman Yahya n 8 | 31 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Sami Al Naji n 8 | 15.9 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| R. Al Ghamdi n 3 | 24.7 | 4.9 |
| Saad Al Nasser n 8 | 37.3 | 3 |
| Abdullah Al Hamdan n 8 | 22 | 2.6 |
| Nawaf Boushal n 8 | 90 | 2.1 |
| Samú Costa n 8 | 83.5 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Nawaf Al Aqidi n 8 | 86.8 | 2.2 |
| Bento n 8 | 80.3 | 1 |
NEOM
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhannad Al Saad n 8 | 48.6 | 2.5 | 0.5 | — |
| Abdulmalik Al Oyayari n 8 | 70.8 | 2.1 | 1.3 | — |
| Haroune Camara n 8 | 60.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 | — |
| A. Koné n 8 | 83.6 | 1.6 | 1.9 | — |
| Khalifah Al Dawsari n 8 | 37.6 | 1.5 | 0 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Benrahma n 8 | 64.9 | 3.6 | 2.3 |
| Muhannad Al Saad n 8 | 48.6 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| Haroune Camara n 8 | 60.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| A. Lacazette n 8 | 80.3 | 1.7 | 1 |
| G. Masouras n 8 | 64.9 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Al Anzi n 5 | 12.4 | 0 | 1.5 |
| S. Benrahma n 8 | 64.9 | 1 | 0.3 |
| A. Lacazette n 8 | 80.3 | 0.7 | 0 |
| A. Koné n 8 | 83.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| Faisal Al Ghamdi n 8 | 18.8 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Al Hassan n 3 | 5.3 | 5.6 |
| Mohannad Abu Taha n 8 | 41 | 4.1 |
| Abbas Al Hassan n 8 | 40.9 | 3.3 |
| Khalifah Al Dawsari n 8 | 37.6 | 3.3 |
| Mohammed Al Burayk n 8 | 36.1 | 3.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Bulka n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Al-Nassr v NEOM — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-07 Al-Nassr 1–0 NEOM
- 2025-11-08 NEOM 1–3 Al-Nassr
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Al-Nassr v NEOM?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Al-Nassr v NEOM is Home or Away (best price 1.17 at William Hill).
- What is the head-to-head record between Al-Nassr and NEOM?
- In their last 2 meetings, Al-Nassr won 2, NEOM won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Al-Nassr and NEOM?
- Recent form — Al-Nassr 3W 1D 1L; NEOM 3W 1D 1L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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