NEOM v Al-Ettifaq prediction

Pro League · · King Khalid Sports City

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq, Pro League on Sat, 17 Oct 2026 16:40 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.29 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.1% of 4297 landed (95% range 75.9–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

NEOM host Al-Ettifaq in the Pro League (Saudi-Arabia) on Saturday 17 October (kick-off 16:40 UK); the model’s free pick is NEOM or Al-Ettifaq (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

NEOM are unbeaten in their last four matches.

Al-Ettifaq are unbeaten in their last four matches.

Form and the table

Seven of NEOM’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of NEOM’s last 15 results (60%). At home, NEOM have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.14. NEOM have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). NEOM have conceded seven goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Eight of Al-Ettifaq’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Al-Ettifaq’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Al-Ettifaq have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 0.86. Al-Ettifaq have scored 12 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Al-Ettifaq have conceded 12 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

NEOM (fifth) and Al-Ettifaq (seventh) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have NEOM the stronger side, 174 rating points above Al-Ettifaq (NEOM 1697, Al-Ettifaq 1522, after at least 42 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 21 May 2026, finished NEOM 1–1 Al-Ettifaq.

Team news

Predicted NEOM XI (4-4-2): M. Bulka, M. Sarr, N. Zézé, I. Hawsawi, M. Al Burayk, A. Koné, G. Masouras, K. Al-Absi, A. Al Oyayari, A. Lacazette, H. Camara — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Lacazette (5.4 per match over eight appearances, five goals and one assist) and A. Koné (4.8 per match over eight appearances, four goals and one assist) have been NEOM’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for NEOM (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Lacazette averages 1.8 shots per 90 over 633 minutes, with a shot in six of the last eight appearances. A. Koné averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 669 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Al-Ettifaq XI (4-4-2): T. Al Jawsh, A. Khateeb, R. Al Otaibi, J. Hendry, M. Al Olayan, Á. Medrán, O. Duda, A. Kanté, B. Celina, M. Dembélé, K. Al Ghannam — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Álvaro Medrán (4.9 per match over eight appearances, two goals and three assists) and M. Dembélé (2.8 per match over eight appearances, three goals) have been Al-Ettifaq’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Ettifaq (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Álvaro Medrán averages 2.8 key passes per 90 over 674 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last eight appearances. M. Dembélé averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 639 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Pro League · King Khalid Sports City
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): NEOM 0 · draws 2 · Al-Ettifaq 0 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: NEOM 3W 1D 1L · Al-Ettifaq 1W 3D 1L

NEOM v Al-Ettifaq (Pro League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 14 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.5
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.63 / 6.25
Corners
against 2.88 / 3.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 5.63
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.88
Cards
against 2 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNEOM for / againstLineAl-Ettifaq for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
3our book
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 2.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
13.25 for · 10.88 against n 8
19.5standard
15.38 for · 10.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
5.63 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 11.25 against n 8
21.5standard
11.38 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
NEOM
NEOM — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Muhannad Al Saad n 850.4
2.26/3
0.73/0
—
Haroune Camara n 861.1
24/3
0.74/0
—
Abdulmalik Al Oyayari n 870.9
1.96/5
1.47/2
—
A. Koné n 883.6
1.65/3
1.97/5
—
Khalifah Al Dawsari n 836.4
1.53/1
00/0
—
NEOM — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Benrahma n 864.8
47/7
2.17/3
Muhannad Al Saad n 850.4
2.26/3
0.72/1
Haroune Camara n 861.1
26/2
0.74/0
A. Lacazette n 879.1
1.86/3
1.16/2
A. Koné n 883.6
1.56/4
0.85/1
NEOM — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Benrahma n 864.8
1.26/1
0.32/0
A. Al Anzi n 512.4
00/0
1.51/0
V. Vada n 870.1
0.32/0
0.52/1
A. Lacazette n 879.1
0.73/2
0.11/0
A. Koné n 883.6
0.54/0
0.11/0
NEOM — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Mohannad Abu Taha n 842.1
4.37/5
Mohammed Al Burayk n 843.9
3.36/5
Abbas Al Hassan n 840.9
3.34/3
Khalifah Al Dawsari n 836.4
2.86/3
Abdulmalik Al Oyayari n 870.9
2.26/3
NEOM — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Bulka n 890
2.55/4
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Ettifaq — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Kanté n 883.3
36/5
0.11/0
—
Meshal Ali Khayrallah n 820.8
2.22/1
0.51/0
—
Yasir Shammari n 846.5
1.95/1
0.73/0
—
Faris Al Ghamdi n 829.3
1.94/1
00/0
—
J. Hendry n 875.9
1.67/2
0.43/0
—
Al-Ettifaq — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Abdullah Al Ghamdi n 814
3.22/1
1.62/0
M. Dembélé n 879.9
3.17/7
1.55/3
Álvaro Medrán n 884.3
2.48/5
0.95/2
B. Celina n 856
2.44/3
1.44/1
R. Messi n 847.5
1.45/1
0.94/0
Al-Ettifaq — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Álvaro Medrán n 884.3
0.32/0
0.43/0
O. Duda n 871.9
0.21/0
0.32/0
M. Dembélé n 879.9
0.41/1
00/0
B. Celina n 856
0.42/0
00/0
Jordan Larsson n 853.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
Al-Ettifaq — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Meshal Al Alaeli n 832.6
3.84/4
Faris Al Ghamdi n 829.3
3.85/3
A. Kanté n 883.3
2.47/7
Madallah Al Olayan n 863.3
2.15/5
Yasir Shammari n 846.5
1.94/2
Al-Ettifaq — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Rodák n 890
3.27/6
Turki Ba Al Jawsh n 790
2.44/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind NEOM v Al-Ettifaq — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NEOMLWWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Al-EttifaqLWDDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
NEOM 0 · 2 draws · Al-Ettifaq 0 · 1 goals/game
  • 2026-05-21 NEOM 1–1 Al-Ettifaq
  • 2026-01-21 Al-Ettifaq 0–0 NEOM
League standing · 2026/27
NEOM#5 pos16 pts8 pl+7 GD
Al-Ettifaq#7 pos12 pts8 pl0 GD
Goals per game
NEOM scored1.75
Al-Ettifaq scored1.5
NEOM conceded0.88
Al-Ettifaq conceded1.5

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq?
TACTIX’s free model pick for NEOM v Al-Ettifaq is Home or Away (best price 1.29 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between NEOM and Al-Ettifaq?
In their last 2 meetings, NEOM won 0, Al-Ettifaq won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of NEOM and Al-Ettifaq?
Recent form — NEOM 3W 1D 1L; Al-Ettifaq 1W 3D 1L.

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