Celta de Vigo II v Tenerife prediction

Segunda División · · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Celta de Vigo II v Tenerife, Segunda División on Mon, 19 Oct 2026 19:30 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 643 landed (95% range 61.9–69.2%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Celta de Vigo II host Tenerife in Segunda División on Monday 19 October (kick-off 19:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Tenerife are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Celta de Vigo II have scored 14 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Celta de Vigo II have conceded 15 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 22 clubs.

Four of Tenerife’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in five of Tenerife’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Tenerife have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.86. Tenerife have scored 11 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Tenerife have conceded 13 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 22 clubs.

Celta de Vigo II (14th) and Tenerife (12th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Celta de Vigo II the stronger side, 13 rating points above Tenerife (Celta de Vigo II 1501, Tenerife 1487, after at least nine rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Celta de Vigo II XI (3-4-3): C. Carrillo, K. Ribes, A. Rodriguez, P. Meixus, A. Capdevila, G. Miller, J. López, H. Cuenca, O. Marcos, A. Marin, Á. Arcos — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Andrés Antañón (4.4 per match over three appearances, one goal) and A. Kibet (4.2 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Celta de Vigo II’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Celta de Vigo II (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Kibet averages 2.5 shots per 90 over 362 minutes, with a shot in six of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Tenerife XI (4-4-2): D. Martín, A. Landazuri, D. Rodríguez, J. León, C. Álvarez, Juanjo, N. Gil, Fabricio, D. Fernández, Enric, V. Moreno — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Nacho Gil (4.9 per match over seven appearances, three assists) and Enric (4.7 per match over eight appearances, six goals) have been Tenerife’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Tenerife (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Nacho Gil averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 528 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last seven appearances. Enric averages 3.6 shots per 90 over 599 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Segunda División · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Tenerife 1W 2D 2L

Celta de Vigo II v Tenerife (Segunda División): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 4.38
Corners
against 5.13 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 2.88
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 2.63
Cards
against 3.13 / 2.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCelta de Vigo II for / againstLineTenerife for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5our book
1 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.88 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 2.88 against n 8
Shots
13 for · 15.25 against n 8
19.5standard
10.88 for · 10.13 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
2.88 for · 2.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.25 for · 15 against n 8
21.5standard
13.75 for · 13.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 3.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2.63 against n 8
Celta de Vigo II
Celta de Vigo II — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Somuah n 337.7
3.22/2
00/0
—
Alexis Olmedo n 340.7
32/1
2.22/1
—
M. Sobral n 465.5
2.43/2
1.74/1
—
H. Burcio n 840.1
24/1
24/1
—
S. M. Ndiaye n 347.7
1.92/1
00/0
—
Celta de Vigo II — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Marin n 866.1
2.98/6
1.24/3
A. Kibet n 751.7
2.56/2
1.75/1
O. Marcos n 874.9
2.36/6
1.55/3
Ángel Arcos n 863.3
2.16/4
0.93/2
B. Somuah n 535
2.13/1
12/0
Celta de Vigo II — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Marin n 866.1
0.93/2
0.21/0
B. Somuah n 535
12/0
00/0
B. Somuah n 337.7
0.81/0
00/0
A. Kibet n 751.7
0.52/0
0.21/0
O. Marcos n 874.9
0.32/0
0.21/0
Celta de Vigo II — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jan Oliveras n 428
42/2
A. Kibet n 751.7
36/5
J. Lopez n 468
2.64/3
P. Gavian n 759.1
2.46/3
Andrés Antañón n 650.8
2.43/2
Celta de Vigo II — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Coke Carrillo n 890
3.57/7
Tenerife
Tenerife — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Enric n 874.9
4.18/7
1.45/4
—
Fabricio n 669.2
2.46/3
0.21/0
—
C. Gomis n 843.1
2.34/3
1.64/1
—
Daniel Fernández n 839.6
23/3
2.85/3
—
Gerard Valentín n 848.8
1.86/2
1.24/1
—
Tenerife — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Enric n 874.9
3.68/8
1.26/2
C. Gomis n 843.1
1.63/2
12/1
Fabricio n 669.2
1.55/2
0.94/0
G. Ranos n 830.6
1.54/0
0.41/0
Noel López n 638.2
1.23/0
0.41/0
Tenerife — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Enric n 874.9
0.95/1
00/0
A. Krdžalić n 718.1
00/0
0.71/0
Nacho Gil n 871.6
00/0
0.53/0
Gerard Valentín n 848.8
00/0
0.52/0
Fabricio n 669.2
0.21/0
0.21/0
Tenerife — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Juanjo n 878.5
3.27/5
David Rodríguez n 888.3
2.86/6
A. Krdžalić n 718.1
2.81/1
Jorge Moreno n 846.5
2.74/2
Iván Chapela n 846
2.76/3
Tenerife — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Dani Martín n 890
1.44/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Celta de Vigo II v Tenerife — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Celta de Vigo II
TenerifeWLDLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Celta de Vigo II#14 pos11 pts9 pl-1 GD
Tenerife#12 pos12 pts9 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Celta de Vigo II scored1.56
Tenerife scored1.22
Celta de Vigo II conceded1.67
Tenerife conceded1.44

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Celta de Vigo II v Tenerife?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Celta de Vigo II v Tenerife is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Celta de Vigo II and Tenerife?
Recent form — Tenerife 1W 2D 2L.

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