Girona v Almeria prediction

Segunda División · · Estadio Municipal de Montilivi

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Girona v Almeria, Segunda División on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Girona host Almeria in Segunda División on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Girona are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Almeria have won their last five matches in all competitions. Almeria have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Four of Girona’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in nine of Girona’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Girona have three wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.44 points per game, scoring 1.44 and conceding 0.89. Girona have scored 17 goals, the fourth-most of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Girona have conceded nine goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 22 clubs.

Eight of Almeria’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Almeria’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Almeria have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 0.86. Almeria have scored 20 goals, the most (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Almeria have conceded seven goals, the third-fewest of the 22 clubs.

Girona (fifth) and Almeria (first) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Almeria the stronger side, 39 rating points above Girona (Almeria 1764, Girona 1724, after at least 148 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Girona are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Almeria. The most recent meeting, on 14 January 2024, finished Almeria 0–0 Girona.

Team news

Predicted Girona XI (4-2-3-1): P. Gazzaniga, Á. Moreno, A. Francés, D. López, J. Boñar, I. Gonzalez, F. Beltrán, C. Pérez, Y. Asprilla, B. Gil, V. Vanat — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Carles Pérez (4.6 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) and Y. Asprilla (4.1 per match over eight appearances, five goals) have been Girona’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Girona (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Carles Pérez averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 509 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last seven appearances. Y. Asprilla averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 483 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Almeria XI (4-2-3-1): A. Fernández, F. Bonini, Á. Muñoz, M. Luna, Chumi, J. Muñoz, S. Džodić, Q. Junyent, B. Cipenga, S. Arribas, M. de la Fuente — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, B. Cipenga (6.1 per match over nine appearances, three goals and four assists) and Javi Muñoz (4.5 per match over seven appearances, two goals and three assists) have been Almeria’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Almeria (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), B. Cipenga averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 800 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Javi Muñoz averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 626 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Segunda División · Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Girona 3 · draws 1 · Almeria 2 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Girona 3W 2D 0L · Almeria 5W 0D 0L

Girona v Almeria (Segunda División): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 11 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 2.13
Goals
against 0.75 / 0.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 3.5
Corners
against 5.25 / 5.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 5
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 3.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 2.38
Cards
against 3 / 3.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameGirona for / againstLineAlmeria for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
2.13 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.13 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
3.5 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
13.38 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13.5 for · 13.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 3.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 14.13 against n 8
21.5standard
14.13 for · 14.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 3 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 3.5 against n 8
Girona
Girona — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Carles Pérez n 867.6
2.37/5
2.86/4
—
Javier Sarasa n 459.3
2.34/1
1.94/1
—
I. Gonzalez n 888.5
27/4
1.96/5
—
Holmes Zamorano n 581.6
1.84/3
1.55/2
—
Oleksandr Pishchur n 829.1
1.53/1
2.73/2
—
Girona — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Asprilla n 850.1
2.96/3
0.94/0
Javier Sarasa n 459.3
2.72/1
0.41/0
Oleksandr Pishchur n 829.1
2.75/2
0.41/0
Bryan Gil n 856.3
2.47/3
0.84/0
V. Vanat n 859.6
2.38/3
1.14/2
Girona — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Carles Pérez n 867.6
0.53/0
0.32/0
Antonino n 857.9
0.42/0
0.21/0
V. Vanat n 859.6
0.42/0
00/0
Abel Ruiz n 858
0.21/0
0.21/0
Iván Morante n 855
0.21/0
0.21/0
Girona — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Mateu Morey n 833.3
4.45/4
Alejandro Francés n 878.5
3.47/6
Bryan Gil n 856.3
2.66/4
Álex Moreno n 888.5
2.58/7
Javier Boñar n 855
2.55/4
Girona — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Gazzaniga n 884.4
4.17/6
V. Krapyvtsov n 572.2
44/2
Almeria
Almeria — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Álex Muñoz n 854.1
2.18/2
13/2
—
D. Chirino n 849.6
27/2
1.14/1
—
Mikel Vesga n 839.6
24/2
1.45/0
—
S. Džodić n 881.5
1.87/3
1.25/3
—
Miguel de la Fuente n 873.5
1.88/2
3.77/5
—
Almeria — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Léo Baptistão n 829.1
3.54/3
1.21/1
Miguel de la Fuente n 873.5
2.97/6
1.25/3
Nico Melamed n 847.6
2.67/3
1.45/1
Adri Embarba n 862.9
2.16/4
0.74/0
Sergio Arribas n 873.3
1.86/5
0.84/1
Almeria — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Cipenga n 870.8
0.53/0
0.62/1
Miguel de la Fuente n 873.5
0.95/1
00/0
Léo Baptistão n 829.1
0.41/0
0.41/0
Javi Muñoz n 881.5
0.32/0
0.43/0
Nico Melamed n 847.6
0.52/0
0.21/0
Almeria — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Álex Sola n 820
3.94/2
Quim Junyent n 857.6
2.77/3
Álex Muñoz n 854.1
2.55/3
Javi Muñoz n 881.5
2.28/4
Adri Embarba n 862.9
25/5
Almeria — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Andrés Fernández n 890
3.15/5

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Girona v Almeria — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GironaWWDDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
AlmeriaWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Girona 3 · 1 draw · Almeria 2 · 4 goals/game
  • 2024-01-14 Almeria 0–0 Girona
  • 2023-10-22 Girona 5–2 Almeria
  • 2023-02-17 Girona 6–2 Almeria
  • 2022-10-20 Almeria 3–2 Girona
  • 2022-03-27 Almeria 0–1 Girona
  • 2021-10-04 Girona 1–2 Almeria
League standing · 2026/27
Girona#5 pos18 pts10 pl+8 GD
Almeria#1 pos24 pts10 pl+13 GD
Goals per game
Girona scored1.7
Almeria scored2
Girona conceded0.9
Almeria conceded0.7

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Girona and Almeria?
In their last 6 meetings, Girona won 3, Almeria won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Girona and Almeria?
Recent form — Girona 3W 2D 0L; Almeria 5W 0D 0L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →