Las Palmas v Castellón result

Full-time · Las Palmas 0–3 Castellón

Segunda División · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 20:00 BST · Estadio de Gran Canaria

Updated 21 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Las Palmas · Castellón · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Las Palmas 0–3 Castellón — Castellón won this Segunda División match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.67 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.7% of 630 landed (95% range 61.9–69.3%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Castellón won 3–0 at Estadio de Gran Canaria in Segunda División on Saturday 17 October. Las Palmas are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Castellón led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Castellón: Israel Suero (18’), A. Sienra (22’, assisted by Pablo Santiago) and Pablo Santiago (54’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Israel Suero’s goal on 18 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Las Palmas 0.23, Castellón 2.70, from 5 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

G. Cid showed eight yellow cards — against 5.1 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Las Palmas: Álex Suárez (17’), Iñaki González Zambrano (19’), Iván Jaime (44’), Juan Herzog (72’), Elías Romero (83’), A. Rodriguez (87’) and Jesé (88’); Castellón: M. Orozco (49’).

What it changes

Las Palmas move down from 14th to 16th (10 league matches played).

Castellón stay second after this result (10 league matches played).

Castellón’s three-goal margin was the biggest of round 10, across 11 matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Pablo Santiago (Castellón) 10.5, A. Sienra (Castellón) 8.6 and E. Loiodice (Las Palmas) 5.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Las Palmas next host Real Sociedad II on 24 October 2026.

Castellón next host Sporting Gijon on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Las Palmas: Las Palmas v Real Sociedad II, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Castellón: Castellón v Sporting Gijon, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Las Palmas 0–3 Castellón · Segunda División
Venue: Estadio de Gran Canaria · Las Palmas
Referee: G. Cid
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 5): Las Palmas 2 · draws 1 · Castellón 2 · 2.4 goals/game
Recent form: Las Palmas 1W 1D 3L · Castellón 3W 1D 1L

Las Palmas 0–3 Castellón (Segunda División): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.75

Goals

against 1.88 / 0.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

4 / 5

Corners

against 5.5 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.63 / 4.88

Shots on target

against 4.75 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.88 / 1.63

Cards

against 2.25 / 3.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5.07 yellows

Referee · G. Cid

2.21 home / 2.86 away

over 14 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Las Palmas for / against	Line	Castellón for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.75 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	9.63 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.75 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.63 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.88 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.13 for · 16.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.5 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.88 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: G. Cid — 5.07 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 25.5 fouls over 14 matches (2.21 to the home side, 2.86 to the away side).

Home 2.21Away 2.86

Las Palmas

Las Palmas — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
I. Medina n 5	8.4	2.1 1/0	0 0/0	—
Iñaki González Zambrano n 8	60.5	1.9 5/4	2.2 6/3	—
Sergio Ruiz n 8	40.5	1.9 4/2	2.8 6/3	—
Valentín Pezzolesi n 8	90	1.8 7/5	1.6 7/3	—
G. Bonfanti n 8	73	1.8 5/4	0.8 4/1	—

Las Palmas — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Iván Jaime n 8	70.9	2.5 6/5	1 4/1
Sandro Ramírez n 8	20.8	2.2 4/0	1.6 3/0
Lucas Pasquoto n 8	32.3	2.1 2/2	0.3 1/0
Jesé n 8	70.3	1.8 7/3	1 6/0
Rafa Cruz n 6	25.3	1.8 2/1	0.6 1/0

Las Palmas — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Elías Romero n 7	21.7	0.6 1/0	1.2 2/0
Sandro Ramírez n 8	20.8	1.1 2/0	0 0/0
Jesé n 8	70.3	0.5 3/0	0.2 1/0
Iván Jaime n 8	70.9	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
T. Miyashiro n 8	84	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0

Las Palmas — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
I. Medina n 5	8.4	4.3 2/0
Rafa Cruz n 6	25.3	3.6 4/1
Valentín Pezzolesi n 8	90	3.4 8/7
Iñaki González Zambrano n 8	60.5	2.8 6/6
A. Rodriguez n 3	33.3	2.7 3/0

Las Palmas — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
José Caro n 8	90	2.9 7/5

Castellón

Castellón — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Raúl Sánchez n 8	44.4	2.5 5/4	1.8 4/2	—
Rodrigo Miguel Ferreira Rêgo n 8	32.3	2.4 4/2	1.7 4/1	—
Alvaro Garcia n 8	18.8	2.4 4/0	2.4 3/1	—
F. Ceccherini n 8	61.9	1.8 5/4	1.5 6/2	—
A. Gala n 6	24.8	1.8 2/1	1.8 2/1	—

Castellón — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Ousmane Camara n 8	87.4	3 7/6	1.8 7/5
F. Castillo n 6	51.5	2.9 5/3	1.2 4/0
Rodrigo Miguel Ferreira Rêgo n 8	32.3	2.4 5/2	0.3 1/0
A. Gala n 6	24.8	2.4 2/2	0.6 1/0
M. Orozco n 6	46	2.3 5/1	1.6 4/1

Castellón — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Alvaro Garcia n 8	18.8	0.6 1/0	0.6 1/0
Israel Suero n 8	60.5	0.6 3/0	0.4 2/0
Pablo Santiago n 8	60.6	0.4 2/0	0.2 1/0
Ousmane Camara n 8	87.4	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
F. Castillo n 6	51.5	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0

Castellón — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Vlak n 8	45.9	4.2 4/3
Raúl Sánchez n 8	44.4	2.8 7/3
Barri n 8	80.6	2.7 7/6
M. Doué n 8	60.1	2.6 5/3
Juanjo Nieto n 8	69.1	2.4 8/4

Castellón — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Matthys n 8	90	3.1 7/5

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Las Palmas		Castellón
37%	Possession	63%
0.23	Expected goals (xG)	2.70
5	Shots	14
1	Shots on target	7
4	Shots off target	4
0	Blocked shots	3
1	Shots inside the box	10
3	Corners	6
4	Offsides	2
14	Fouls	15
7	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	1
322	Passes	567
77%	Pass accuracy	88%

Las Palmas player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
José Caro	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Valentín Pezzolesi	90	0	0	1	1	0	5.9
Álex Suárez	90	0	0	0	2	Y	6
Juan Herzog	90	0	0	0	2	Y	6.7
A. Rodriguez	90	1	0	0	2	Y	6.5
Iván Jaime	90	2	0	0	0	Y	6.9
T. Miyashiro	70	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Jefté Betancor	56	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
A. Bassinga	55	0	0	0	2	0	6
Kirian Rodríguez	45	0	0	0	2	0	6.5
Iñaki González Zambrano	26	0	0	0	2	Y	7
E. Loiodice sub	64	1	0	1	0	0	6.9
Elías Romero sub	45	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
Manu Fuster sub	35	1	1	0	0	0	7.2
M. Acimovic sub	34	0	0	0	1	0	7.2
Jesé sub	20	0	0	0	1	Y	6.3

Castellón player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
R. Matthys	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
J. Mellot	90	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	7.2
A. Sienra	90	1	0	1	1	1	4	0	8.3
Iñigo Córdoba	90	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	7.9
Barri	90	0	0	2	0	1	2	0	6.7
Álvaro Martín	90	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	6.9
Pablo Santiago	83	1	1	2	2	1	2	0	8.9
A. Jakobsen	83	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7
Israel Suero	75	1	0	2	2	1	0	0	8.3
M. Orozco	58	0	0	1	0	0	1	Y	6.7
Alberto Jiménez	45	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.2
I. Kostis sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7
J. Vlak sub	32	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	7
D. Muale Nzanza sub	15	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
Martín Conde sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
M. Willmann sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Las Palmas v Castellón — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Las PalmasWLLDL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

CastellónWWWDL

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 5

Las Palmas 2 · 1 draw · Castellón 2 · 2.4 goals/game

2026-02-21 Las Palmas 1–1 Castellón
2025-11-30 Castellón 1–0 Las Palmas
2021-02-27 Castellón 4–0 Las Palmas
2020-10-21 Las Palmas 2–1 Castellón
2019-12-17 Castellón 0–2 Las Palmas

League standing · 2026/27

Las Palmas#16 pos11 pts10 pl-6 GD

Castellón#2 pos23 pts10 pl+14 GD

Goals per game

Las Palmas scored1.3

Castellón scored1.8

Las Palmas conceded1.9

Castellón conceded0.4

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Las Palmas v Castellón?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Las Palmas v Castellón was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.67 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Las Palmas and Castellón?: In their last 5 meetings, Las Palmas won 2, Castellón won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Las Palmas and Castellón?: Recent form — Las Palmas 1W 1D 3L; Castellón 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 21 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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