Leganes v Cordoba prediction

Segunda División · · Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Leganes vs Cordoba, Segunda División on Fri, 16 Oct 2026 19:30 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.70 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 648 landed (95% range 61.8–69.1%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Leganes host Cordoba in Segunda División on Friday 16 October (kick-off 19:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of Cordoba’s last 15 results (80%).

Form and the table

Leganes have lost their last three matches. Leganes have failed to score in their last three matches. Seven of Leganes’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in four of Leganes’s last 15 results (27%). At home, Leganes have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.43. Leganes have scored six goals, the second-fewest of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Leganes have conceded 14 goals, the eighth-most of the 22 clubs.

11 of Cordoba’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Away from home, Cordoba have two wins, no draws and five defeats in their last 7 away matches — 0.86 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 2.14. Cordoba have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Cordoba have conceded 20 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 22 clubs.

Leganes (16th) and Cordoba (18th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Cordoba the stronger side, 40 rating points above Leganes (Cordoba 1412, Leganes 1373, after at least 177 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished Cordoba 2–1 Leganes.

Team news

Predicted Leganes XI (3-5-2): L. Zidane, Marvel, L. Aguilar, I. Miquel, M. Atienza, Y. Kechta, Z. Buurmeester, N. García, D. Rodríguez, Á. Morata, I. Gharbi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ismaël Gharbi (4.8 per match over eight appearances, two goals and one assist) and L. Zidane (4.1 per match over eight appearances) have been Leganes’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Leganes (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ismaël Gharbi averages 1.7 shots per 90 over 893 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. L. Zidane averages 3.6 saves per 90 over 1148 minutes, with two or more saves in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Cordoba XI (4-3-3): G. Fernandes, R. Alves, D. Tasende, D. Budesca, Á. Martín, I. Ruiz, Y. Diarra, E. Garcia, C. Carracedo, Percan, D. Bri — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cristian Carracedo (4.9 per match over nine appearances, one goal and two assists) and Isma Ruiz (4.0 per match over nine appearances, two goals) have been Cordoba’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cordoba (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Cristian Carracedo averages 0.5 shots per 90 over 731 minutes, with a shot in three of the last nine appearances. Isma Ruiz averages 0.3 key passes per 90 over 810 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Segunda División · Estadio Municipal de Butarque
  • Referee: Eder Mallo Fernandez
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Leganes 0 · draws 1 · Cordoba 1 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Leganes 1W 0D 4L · Cordoba 2W 0D 3L

As of 16 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Leganes v Cordoba across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →

Key stats

0.63 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.63 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
3.38 / 4.75
Corners
against 5.5 / 3.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 4.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 3.5
Cards
against 2.25 / 3.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLeganes for / againstLineCordoba for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
3our book
1.5 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
11.38 for · 17.38 against n 8
19.5standard
14.75 for · 12.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
15.75 for · 12.75 against n 8
21.5standard
17.38 for · 14.63 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
3.5 for · 3.5 against n 8
Leganes
Leganes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Álvaro Morata n 853.1
3.46/5
2.14/4
—
Rubén Pulido n 816.6
3.44/1
00/0
—
Dani Rodríguez n 838.8
3.25/1
3.27/2
—
Y. Kechta n 872.3
2.87/5
0.93/3
—
Álex Millán n 824.8
2.76/0
2.35/0
—
Leganes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Álex Millán n 824.8
3.66/2
2.34/1
Álex Sancris n 841.8
2.26/1
0.83/0
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
Sule n 621.8
2.12/1
00/0
Naim García n 885.5
1.87/5
0.54/0
Leganes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Sule n 621.8
00/0
1.42/0
Álex Millán n 824.8
0.51/0
00/0
Ismaël Gharbi n 879.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
U. del Cura n 862.1
0.41/1
00/0
Naim García n 885.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
Leganes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Rubén Peña n 846
3.46/4
Marvel n 880.6
2.77/5
Y. Kechta n 872.3
2.68/4
Enric Franquesa n 872.8
2.54/3
Álex Sancris n 841.8
2.25/1
Leganes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Zidane n 886.8
47/6
Cordoba
Cordoba — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Egoitz Muñoz n 663.3
3.66/4
0.94/0
—
Damián Cáceres n 636.8
3.34/2
0.41/0
—
Adnane Ghailan n 846.9
2.96/4
0.72/1
—
Enol Rodríguez n 826.9
2.55/1
3.35/2
—
Kevin Villodres n 828.4
2.43/2
24/1
—
Cordoba — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. Sanchez n 347.3
4.43/2
1.92/1
Enol Rodríguez n 826.9
4.25/3
0.82/0
Percan n 871.1
3.27/5
1.36/1
Adnane Ghailan n 846.9
2.45/3
0.73/0
Diego Bri n 865.6
2.17/3
1.25/2
Cordoba — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Enol Rodríguez n 826.9
0.41/0
0.41/0
Percan n 871.1
0.53/0
0.21/0
E. Garcia n 551.6
0.31/0
0.31/0
V. Sanchez n 347.3
0.61/0
00/0
Diego Bri n 865.6
0.21/0
0.32/0
Cordoba — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Damián Cáceres n 636.8
3.75/2
T. Zidane n 819.4
3.52/1
Adnane Ghailan n 846.9
2.97/4
Daniel Budesca n 865.3
2.47/5
Kevin Villodres n 828.4
2.45/1
Cordoba — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Guilherme Fernandes n 890
3.26/5
Iker Álvarez n 890
2.96/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Leganes v Cordoba — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LeganesLWLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
CordobaLWLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Leganes 0 · 1 draw · Cordoba 1 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2026-02-14 Cordoba 2–1 Leganes
  • 2025-12-07 Leganes 0–0 Cordoba
League standing · 2026/27
Leganes#16 pos11 pts9 pl-8 GD
Cordoba#18 pos9 pts9 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Leganes scored0.67
Cordoba scored1.56
Leganes conceded1.56
Cordoba conceded2.22

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Leganes vs Cordoba?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Leganes v Cordoba is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.70 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Leganes and Cordoba?
In their last 2 meetings, Leganes won 0, Cordoba won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Leganes and Cordoba?
Recent form — Leganes 1W 0D 4L; Cordoba 2W 0D 3L.

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