Sporting Gijon v Albacete prediction
Team pages: Sporting Gijon · Albacete · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Sporting Gijon vs Albacete, Segunda División on Sat, 17 Oct 2026 17:30 BST.
The match
Sporting Gijon host Albacete in Segunda División on Saturday 17 October (kick-off 17:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Sporting Gijon or Albacete (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Albacete are winless in their last 10 matches. Albacete have scored five goals, the fewest of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Form and the table
Eight of Sporting Gijon’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Sporting Gijon’s last 15 results (53%). At home, Sporting Gijon have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.14. Sporting Gijon have scored nine goals, the fourth-fewest of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far). Sporting Gijon have conceded eight goals, the fifth-fewest of the 22 clubs.
Nine of Albacete’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Albacete’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Albacete have two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 8 away matches — 0.88 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.75. Albacete have conceded 20 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 22 clubs (2026/27 so far).
Sporting Gijon (sixth) and Albacete (22nd) are 15 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Sporting Gijon the stronger side, 259 rating points above Albacete (Sporting Gijon 1587, Albacete 1328, after at least 349 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Albacete are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Sporting Gijon. The most recent meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Albacete 1–1 Sporting Gijon.
Team news
Predicted Sporting Gijon XI (4-4-2): R. Yáñez, A. Duñabeitia, A. Cuenca, G. Rosas, P. Vázquez, Á. Corredera, M. Rodriguez, N. Iosifov, C. Gelabert, J. Otero, A. Sarco — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Álex Corredera (4.4 per match over nine appearances, one assist) and Guille Rosas (4.0 per match over nine appearances, one goal) have been Sporting Gijon’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sporting Gijon (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Álex Corredera averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 805 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances. Guille Rosas averages 3.5 tackles per 90 over 793 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last nine appearances.
Predicted Albacete XI (4-2-3-1): D. Mariño, C. Neva, L. López, F. Gámez, J. Moreno, J. Corpas, S. Ortu, A. Pacheco, J. Villar, A. Medina, M. Soberón — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Victor San Bartolome (4.3 per match over four appearances, one goal) and Víctor Valverde (4.3 per match over three appearances) have been Albacete’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Albacete (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Victor San Bartolome averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 284 minutes.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Segunda División · Estadio Municipal El Molinón
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Sporting Gijon 2 · draws 2 · Albacete 2 · 4 goals/game
- Recent form: Sporting Gijon 3W 0D 2L · Albacete 0W 1D 4L
Sporting Gijon v Albacete (Segunda División): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 16 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Sporting Gijon for / against | Line | Albacete for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 0.5 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.13 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.13 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.38 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.63 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.63 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.88 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3.13 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
Sporting Gijon
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Conde n 7 | 10.1 | 7.6 | 1.3 | — |
| M. Loum n 8 | 16.8 | 2.7 | 0.7 | — |
| Nacho Martín n 8 | 55.5 | 2.6 | 1 | — |
| Jorge Sáenz n 8 | 72.6 | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| K. de La Fuente n 8 | 47.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Casas n 8 | 31.6 | 3.6 | 2.1 |
| M. Loum n 8 | 16.8 | 2.7 | 2 |
| A. Sarco n 8 | 40.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| J. Otero n 8 | 84.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| César Gelabert n 8 | 78.1 | 1.3 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Casas n 8 | 31.6 | 1.1 | 0 |
| N. Iosifov n 8 | 66.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Pablo García n 8 | 31.1 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Diego Sánchez n 8 | 41.8 | 0 | 0.3 |
| A. Sarco n 8 | 40.9 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Diego Sánchez n 8 | 41.8 | 4.3 |
| B. Rubio n 3 | 16.7 | 3.6 |
| Guille Rosas n 8 | 87.9 | 3.2 |
| Álex Corredera n 8 | 89.4 | 2.8 |
| Nacho Martín n 8 | 55.5 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Rubén Yáñez n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
Albacete
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bernabeu n 8 | 22.5 | 4 | 5 | — |
| Alex Rubio n 7 | 48.9 | 3.2 | 1.1 | — |
| Victor San Bartolome n 8 | 60.5 | 3 | 0.6 | — |
| Higinio Marín n 8 | 18.8 | 3 | 1.2 | — |
| A. Rubio n 8 | 47 | 2.9 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Higinio Marín n 8 | 18.8 | 4.8 | 1.8 |
| Alex Rubio n 7 | 48.9 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| A. Rubio n 8 | 47 | 2.6 | 0.7 |
| Mario Soberón n 8 | 75.5 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| Víctor Valverde n 8 | 56.4 | 2 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bernabeu n 8 | 22.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Higinio Marín n 8 | 18.8 | 0.6 | 0 |
| Victor San Bartolome n 8 | 60.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| M. El Haddadi n 8 | 59 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Alex Rubio n 7 | 48.9 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Bernabeu n 8 | 22.5 | 4 |
| Victor San Bartolome n 8 | 60.5 | 3.9 |
| Antonio Pacheco n 8 | 56.6 | 3.4 |
| Lorenzo Aguado n 8 | 55.8 | 3.2 |
| Fran Gámez n 8 | 65 | 3.1 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Diego Mariño n 8 | 90 | 4 |
| Carlos Marín n 8 | 84.4 | 3.3 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Sporting Gijon v Albacete — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-02-15 Albacete 1–1 Sporting Gijon
- 2025-09-28 Sporting Gijon 3–4 Albacete
- 2025-03-23 Sporting Gijon 0–2 Albacete
- 2024-10-27 Albacete 3–3 Sporting Gijon
- 2024-03-01 Sporting Gijon 2–1 Albacete
- 2023-10-22 Albacete 1–3 Sporting Gijon
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Sporting Gijon vs Albacete?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Sporting Gijon v Albacete is Home or Away (best price 1.30 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Sporting Gijon and Albacete?
- In their last 6 meetings, Sporting Gijon won 2, Albacete won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Sporting Gijon and Albacete?
- Recent form — Sporting Gijon 3W 0D 2L; Albacete 0W 1D 4L.
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