Atletico-MG v Vitoria result

Full-time · Atletico-MG 2–1 Vitoria

Serie A – Brazil · Sat, 29 Aug 2026 22:30 BST · Arena MRV

Updated 14 Oct 2026, 20:49 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Atletico-MG · Vitoria · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Atletico-MG 2–1 Vitoria — Atletico-MG won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick

Home win

Best price: 1.85 at Betano

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 190 landed (95% range 70.9–82.7%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Atletico-MG beat Vitoria 2–1 at Arena MRV in Serie A – Brazil on Saturday 29 August.

Atletico-MG are unbeaten in their last 13 matches.

The goals

Atletico-MG led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Atletico-MG: T. Borbas (25’, assisted by Reinier) and Reinier (63’); Vitoria: Erick (87’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with T. Borbas’s goal on 25 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Atletico-MG 1.46, Vitoria 0.64, from 18 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Edina Alves Batista, Brazil showed three yellow cards — against 5.4 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Atletico-MG: A. Preciado (44’) and Mamady Cisse (59’); Vitoria: D. Tarzia (35’).

What it changes

Vitoria have lost their last three matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Reinier (Atletico-MG) 9.0, Alexsander (Atletico-MG) 7.0 and Erick (Vitoria) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Atletico-MG to win, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Atletico-MG next host Coritiba on 17 October 2026.

Vitoria next travel to Corinthians on 19 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Atletico-MG: Atletico-MG v Coritiba, Saturday 17 October — the preview. Next for Vitoria: Corinthians v Vitoria, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Atletico-MG 2–1 Vitoria · Serie A – Brazil
Venue: Arena MRV · Belo Horizonte
Referee: Edina Alves Batista, Brazil
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Atletico-MG 0 · draws 2 · Vitoria 4 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Atletico-MG 2W 3D 0L · Vitoria 2W 0D 3L

Atletico-MG 2–1 Vitoria (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 14 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 0.63

Goals

against 0.63 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.63 / 5.38

Corners

against 5.25 / 4.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.75 / 3.88

Shots on target

against 3.75 / 5.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 2.75

Cards

against 2.25 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5.44 yellows

Referee · Edina Alves Batista, Brazil

2.22 home / 3.22 away

over 9 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Atletico-MG for / against	Line	Vitoria for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	0.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.63 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.38 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.25 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.25 for · 17.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.75 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.88 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.5 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.13 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.75 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Edina Alves Batista, Brazil — 5.44 yellow cards a game, 0.44 red cards, 24 fouls over 9 matches (2.22 to the home side, 3.22 to the away side).

Home 2.22Away 3.22

Atletico-MG

Atletico-MG — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Borbas n 8	24.9	4.1 6/2	2.7 2/1	—
Igor Gomes n 8	30	2.6 5/1	0.8 2/0	—
K. Castaño n 8	41.1	2.5 5/4	1.1 2/2	—
Mamady Cisse n 8	46	2 5/2	2.7 5/3	D. Tarzia
A. Preciado n 8	47.1	1.9 3/3	1.2 2/1	—

Atletico-MG — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Minda n 8	34.9	2.3 5/2	1.6 4/1
T. Borbas n 8	24.9	1.8 3/1	0.5 1/0
Renan Lodi n 8	87.5	1.5 7/3	0.6 4/1
Cuello n 8	75.4	1.5 6/2	0.7 3/2
Victor Hugo n 8	72.1	1.4 6/3	0.5 3/0

Atletico-MG — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Igor Gomes n 8	30	0.4 1/0	0.8 2/0
Cuello n 8	75.4	0.6 3/1	0.1 1/0
A. Minda n 8	34.9	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
Fred n 8	67.9	0.5 2/1	0 0/0
Vitor Hugo n 8	69.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0

Atletico-MG — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. Castaño n 8	41.1	2.7 5/2
A. Preciado n 8	47.1	2.4 3/2
T. Borbas n 8	24.9	2.3 2/2
Fred n 8	67.9	2.2 8/5
K. Pascini n 8	58	2.1 5/2

Atletico-MG — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Everson n 8	91.5	3.1 6/4

Vitoria

Vitoria — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Marinho n 8	25	2.7 3/2	5.4 7/4	—
Renato Kayzer n 8	42	2.4 6/2	1.9 3/2	—
Fabricio n 8	15.1	2.2 3/0	0.7 1/0	—
Emmanuel Martinez n 8	68	1.8 6/4	1.2 6/1	—
D. Tarzia n 8	50.4	1.8 6/2	2.9 6/4	Mamady Cisse

Vitoria — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Marinho n 8	25	2.7 4/1	0.9 2/0
T. Pochettino n 8	41.4	2.2 4/3	1.1 4/0
Rene n 8	74.8	2.1 7/5	0.9 3/3
Matheuzinho n 8	64.3	1.6 6/2	0.9 4/1
Osvaldo n 8	13.8	1.6 2/0	0 0/0

Vitoria — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Fabricio n 8	15.1	0 0/0	0.7 1/0
Marinho n 8	25	0.5 1/0	0 0/0
Rene n 8	74.8	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
Renato Kayzer n 8	42	0.3 1/0	0 0/0
Matheuzinho n 8	64.3	0.2 1/0	0 0/0

Vitoria — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Ze Vitor n 8	67.1	4 7/6
Marinho n 8	25	3.6 5/2
Edenilson n 8	32.1	3.2 4/3
Jamerson n 8	63.3	3 8/5
Fabricio n 8	15.1	3 4/0

Vitoria — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Lucas Arcanjo n 8	92.5	3.9 8/7

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Atletico-MG		Vitoria
61%	Possession	39%
1.46	Expected goals (xG)	0.64
18	Shots	14
8	Shots on target	3
6	Shots off target	4
4	Blocked shots	7
12	Shots inside the box	7
4	Corners	5
2	Offsides	0
12	Fouls	13
2	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	6
636	Passes	395
91%	Pass accuracy	83%

Atletico-MG player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Gabriel Delfim	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
Natanael	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Vitão	90	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	7.5
A. Preciado	90	0	0	3	1	0	2	Y	7.3
K. Pascini	90	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	6.5
T. Perez	90	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	7.3
Mamady Cisse	90	0	0	0	0	1	4	Y	7.3
Alexsander	89	0	0	3	3	3	2	0	7.2
Reinier	89	1	1	3	1	2	1	0	8.6
A. Minda	75	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
T. Borbas	60	1	0	2	1	1	0	0	7
Gustavo Scarpa sub	30	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.7
Dudu sub	15	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
Vitor Hugo sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
Cauã Campos Soares sub	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	–

Vitoria player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Lucas Arcanjo	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.5
Caca	90	0	1	0	0	5	0	7.3
Luan Candido	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
Jamerson	90	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
T. Pochettino	90	0	0	0	2	3	0	6.7
Marinho	90	0	2	1	0	5	0	6.6
Caique Goncalves	81	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
Emmanuel Martinez	69	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
D. Tarzia	69	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6
Alex Bruno	69	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
E. Brítez	45	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.3
Mateusinho sub	45	0	1	0	3	1	0	6.9
Matheuzinho sub	21	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
Erick sub	21	1	1	1	1	1	0	7.9
Rene sub	21	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
Walace sub	9	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Atletico-MG v Vitoria — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Atletico-MGWWDDD

Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

VitoriaWLWLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Atletico-MG 0 · 2 draws · Vitoria 4 · 3 goals/game

2026-03-14 Vitoria 2–0 Atletico-MG
2025-08-31 Vitoria 1–0 Atletico-MG
2025-04-13 Atletico-MG 2–2 Vitoria
2024-10-05 Atletico-MG 2–2 Vitoria
2024-06-20 Vitoria 4–2 Atletico-MG
2018-08-26 Vitoria 1–0 Atletico-MG

League standing · 2026

Atletico-MG#7 pos47 pts30 pl+6 GD

Vitoria#12 pos36 pts30 pl-11 GD

Goals per game

Atletico-MG scored1.37

Vitoria scored1.1

Atletico-MG conceded1.17

Vitoria conceded1.47

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Atletico-MG vs Vitoria?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Atletico-MG v Vitoria was Home win (best price 1.85 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Atletico-MG and Vitoria?: In their last 6 meetings, Atletico-MG won 0, Vitoria won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Atletico-MG and Vitoria?: Recent form — Atletico-MG 2W 3D 0L; Vitoria 2W 0D 3L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 14 Oct 2026, 20:49 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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