Coritiba v Botafogo result

Full-time · Coritiba 1–1 Botafogo

Serie A – Brazil · · Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Coritiba · Botafogo · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Coritiba 1–1 Botafogo — this Serie A – Brazil match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.30 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Coritiba and Botafogo drew 1–1 at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira in Serie A – Brazil on Monday 12 October. Coritiba are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Botafogo are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Botafogo: an own goal by Marcal (22’) and Danilo (34’, assisted by C. Medina).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Coritiba 1.16, Botafogo 0.93, from 13 shots to 18 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Coritiba: F. Bustos (45+3’), Sebastian Gomez (45+4’), Thiago Santos (52’), Tiago Cóser (66’) and Rodrigo Gelado (88’); Botafogo: Allan (45’) and Marcal (66’).

What it changes

Coritiba move down from ninth to 10th (30 league matches played).

Botafogo move up from 13th to 12th (30 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, C. Medina (Botafogo) 5.7, Danilo (Botafogo) 5.6 and Pedro Luccas (Coritiba) 4.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Coritiba or Botafogo (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Coritiba next host Gremio on 26 October 2026.

Botafogo next travel to Internacional on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Coritiba: Coritiba v Gremio, Monday 26 October — the preview. Next for Botafogo: Internacional v Botafogo, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Coritiba 1–1 Botafogo · Serie A – Brazil
  • Venue: Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira · Curitiba, Paraná
  • Referee: Matheus Delgado Candancan
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Coritiba 1 · draws 2 · Botafogo 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Coritiba 1W 1D 3L · Botafogo 1W 2D 2L

Coritiba 1–1 Botafogo (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1
Goals
against 2.38 / 1.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.13 / 5.75
Corners
against 7.5 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 6.5 / 5.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCoritiba for / againstLineBotafogo for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 2.38 against n 8
2.75our book
1 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 7.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.75 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
12.25 for · 21 against n 8
19.5standard
16.88 for · 13.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.38 for · 6.5 against n 8
8.5standard
5.5 for · 5.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 11.88 against n 8
21.5standard
11.13 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Matheus Delgado Candancan.

Coritiba
Coritiba — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Fonseca n 867.3
37/6
1.24/2
—
Thiago Santos n 871.4
2.76/4
1.45/2
—
João Pedro Chermont n 856.9
1.85/2
0.63/0
—
Paulo Roberto n 830.9
1.84/1
0.41/0
—
Rodrigo Rodrigues n 863.8
1.66/2
0.74/0
—
Coritiba — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Pedro Rocha n 871.6
2.77/4
1.45/2
Rodrigo Rodrigues n 863.8
1.64/3
0.21/0
Fabinho n 828.5
1.63/1
0.41/0
Josué n 874
1.55/4
0.32/0
Paulo Roberto n 830.9
1.53/1
1.13/0
Coritiba — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Paulo Roberto n 830.9
0.72/0
0.41/0
Fabinho n 828.5
0.41/0
0.41/0
Pedro Rocha n 871.6
0.64/0
00/0
Rodrigo Moledo n 863
0.52/1
00/0
João Pedro Chermont n 856.9
00/0
0.41/1
Coritiba — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Fernando Sobral n 830.6
3.74/4
N. Fonseca n 867.3
38/6
Paulo Roberto n 830.9
2.94/4
F. Bustos n 874.3
2.46/5
Thiago Santos n 871.4
1.97/4
Coritiba — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Pedro Luccas n 892.3
37/4
Pedro Rangel n 890
2.96/5
Botafogo
Botafogo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Barria n 825.1
2.75/1
0.92/0
—
Kauan Toledo n 839.3
2.67/2
24/1
—
Huguinho n 872.6
1.97/3
1.97/3
—
Danilo n 861.9
1.55/2
1.56/2
—
Junior Santos n 844.4
1.54/2
1.34/1
—
Botafogo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Arthur Cabral n 876.3
37/4
0.94/2
Junior Santos n 844.4
35/5
13/1
K. Barria n 825.1
2.23/2
0.92/0
Matheus Martins n 854.1
2.18/2
14/1
Danilo n 861.9
1.85/4
0.94/1
Botafogo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Álvaro Montoro n 875.8
0.11/0
0.42/1
Danilo n 861.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
Danilo n 883.6
0.31/1
00/0
Kauan Toledo n 839.3
00/0
0.31/0
Vitinho n 883.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
Botafogo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kauan Toledo n 839.3
3.77/3
N. Ferraresi n 891.8
3.17/7
Allan n 846
2.45/4
M. Ponte n 844.1
2.33/3
Marcal n 857
2.26/3
Botafogo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Gabriel Batista n 886.3
46/6

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CoritibaBotafogo
43%Possession57%
1.16Expected goals (xG)0.93
13Shots18
3Shots on target5
4Shots off target10
6Blocked shots3
8Shots inside the box11
8Corners7
2Offsides0
16Fouls13
5Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves3
347Passes442

Coritiba player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Pedro Luccas9000000007.7
Jacy9000000206.4
Tiago Cóser90001000Y6.8
Sebastian Gomez90001001Y6.5
Paulo Roberto9000311106.4
Pedro Rocha9000110306.3
Josué8400213007
Felipe Jonatan6400001006.2
Joaquín Lavega6400102006.6
F. Bustos56000000Y6
Thiago Santos56000002Y6.9
N. Fonseca3400100106.4
Tinga3400000006.1
Breno Lopes2600001006.7
Rodrigo Gelado26001000Y6
Renato Marques600200006.7

Botafogo player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Gabriel Batista9000000006.8
Alex Telles9000104107.5
Danilo9010322008.2
N. Ferraresi9000111107.1
Marcal90000031Y6
Vitinho9000000006.2
Matheus Martins8600112006.5
Arthur Cabral7700300006.2
C. Medina7701201107.4
Allan74002101Y6.6
H. Ziyech7300301206.5
Domingos Andrade1700001106.1
Junior Santos1600000006.7
Álvaro Montoro1300000005.9
Tiquinho Soares1300100006.6
Paulinho400100006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Coritiba v Botafogo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CoritibaWLDLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 3.2 conceded per game
BotafogoDDWLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Coritiba 1 · 2 draws · Botafogo 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-04-12 Botafogo 2–2 Coritiba
  • 2023-11-30 Coritiba 1–1 Botafogo
  • 2023-07-30 Botafogo 4–1 Coritiba
  • 2022-09-17 Botafogo 2–0 Coritiba
  • 2022-05-29 Coritiba 1–0 Botafogo
  • 2020-12-20 Coritiba 1–2 Botafogo
League standing · 2026
Coritiba#12 pos39 pts31 pl-11 GD
Botafogo#11 pos39 pts31 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Coritiba scored1.23
Botafogo scored1.42
Coritiba conceded1.58
Botafogo conceded1.55

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Coritiba v Botafogo?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Coritiba v Botafogo was Home or Away (best price 1.30 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Coritiba and Botafogo?
In their last 6 meetings, Coritiba won 1, Botafogo won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Coritiba and Botafogo?
Recent form — Coritiba 1W 1D 3L; Botafogo 1W 2D 2L.

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