Gremio v Bahia prediction

Serie A – Brazil · Thu, 19 Nov 2026 00:30 GMT · Arena do Grêmio

Updated 4 Nov 2026, 05:22 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Gremio · Bahia · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Gremio v Bahia, Serie A – Brazil on Thu, 19 Nov 2026 00:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Gremio host Bahia in Serie A – Brazil on Thursday 19 November (kick-off 00:30 UK).

The key numbers

Gremio have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Gremio’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Gremio’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Gremio have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 1.13. Gremio have scored 38 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Gremio have conceded 47 goals, the 10th-most of the 20 clubs.

Eight of Bahia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Bahia’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Bahia have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.50. Bahia have scored 50 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Bahia have conceded 45 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Gremio (18th) and Bahia (sixth) are 16 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bahia the stronger side, 121 rating points above Gremio (Bahia 1653, Gremio 1532, after at least 338 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Bahia 1–1 Gremio.

Team news

Predicted Gremio XI (3-4-3): Weverton, G. Martins, Wallace, W. Kannemann, M. Villasanti, E. Noriega, Dodi, J. Pedro, C. Vinícius, F. Amuzu, M. Braithwaite — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cristian Pavón (4.2 per match over 41 appearances, five goals and five assists) and Marlon (3.8 per match over 21 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Gremio’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Gremio (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Cristian Pavón averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 3178 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last 10 appearances. Marlon averages 3.1 tackles per 90 over 1706 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Bahia XI (4-3-3): Ronaldo, D. Duarte, L. Juba, M. Victor, Kanu, R. Nestor, N. Acevedo, J. Lucas, A. Véliz, E. Pulga, C. Olivera — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Luciano Juba (4.1 per match over 34 appearances, 11 goals and two assists) and Nicolás Acevedo (3.5 per match over 34 appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Bahia’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Bahia (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Luciano Juba averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 2913 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Nicolás Acevedo averages 0.5 key passes per 90 over 2778 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Thu, 19 Nov 2026 00:30 GMT · Serie A – Brazil · Arena do Grêmio
Head-to-head (last 6): Gremio 2 · draws 1 · Bahia 3 · 1.83 goals/game
Recent form: Gremio 3W 0D 2L · Bahia 2W 1D 2L

Gremio v Bahia (Serie A – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 4 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.5 / 5.63

Corners

against 8.25 / 8.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.38 / 3.63

Shots on target

against 6 / 7.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 2.25

Cards

against 2.38 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Gremio for / against	Line	Bahia for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.5 for · 8.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.63 for · 8.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.75 for · 18.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13 for · 17.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.38 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.63 for · 7.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.25 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.25 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5

Gremio

Gremio Goalkeeper

Gremio — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Weverton	45	924121 min	1433.1 /90	420.9 /90	20 /90
Gabriel Grando	3	94282 min	134.1 /90	51.6 /90	00 /90
Thiago Beltrame	1	7575 min	56 /90	33.6 /90	00 /90

Gremio — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gremio before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Weverton n 8	90	4.9 8/6

Gremio Defensive

Gremio — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Cristian Pavón	41	783178 min	621.8 /90	471.3 /90	50.1 /90	1744.9 /90	230.7 /90	100.3 /90
Gustavo Martins	33	822716 min	401.3 /90	351.2 /90	160.5 /90	1444.8 /90	331.1 /90	80.3 /90
Pedro Gabriel	22	781709 min	361.9 /90	130.7 /90	50.3 /90	653.4 /90	221.2 /90	70.4 /90
Viery	20	921839 min	391.9 /90	120.6 /90	180.9 /90	1055.1 /90	371.8 /90	60.3 /90
Marlon	20	831660 min	583.1 /90	191 /90	70.4 /90	1035.6 /90	201.1 /90	40.2 /90
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Gremio — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gremio before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Weverton n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 2/2	—
Carlos Vinícius n 8	78.8	1.4 8/1	1.1 4/4	—
F. Amuzu n 8	72.5	1.2 5/3	2.8 8/4	—
Cristian Pavón n 8	71.8	0.9 5/1	0.9 3/2	—
José Enamorado n 8	41.1	1.1 3/1	3.3 7/3	—
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Gremio — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gremio before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Carlos Vinícius n 8	78.8	0.4 2/1
F. Amuzu n 8	72.5	0.2 1/0
Cristian Pavón n 8	71.8	1.1 4/2
José Enamorado n 8	41.1	0.5 2/0
Erick Noriega n 8	77.4	1.7 6/4
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Gremio Attacking

Gremio — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Carlos Vinícius	42	793304 min	170.5 /90	10 /90	631.7 /90	411.1 /90	120.3 /90	90.2 /90
José Enamorado	38	481808 min	00 /90	40.2 /90	291.4 /90	110.5 /90	251.2 /90	351.7 /90
Tetê	34	511730 min	30.2 /90	10.1 /90	422.2 /90	201 /90	331.7 /90	422.2 /90
Martin Braithwaite	32	481547 min	40.2 /90	10.1 /90	271.6 /90	120.7 /90	150.9 /90	70.4 /90
Gabriel Mec	26	501307 min	30.2 /90	10.1 /90	221.5 /90	90.6 /90	171.2 /90	433 /90
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Gremio — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gremio before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Weverton n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Carlos Vinícius n 8	78.8	1.4 6/2	0.7 5/0
F. Amuzu n 8	72.5	2 7/3	0.8 4/1
Cristian Pavón n 8	71.8	1.7 6/3	1.1 4/2
José Enamorado n 8	41.1	1.9 3/2	0.8 2/1
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Gremio — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gremio before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Weverton n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Carlos Vinícius n 8	78.8	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
F. Amuzu n 8	72.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Cristian Pavón n 8	71.8	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
José Enamorado n 8	41.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Bahia

Bahia Goalkeeper

Bahia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
Ronaldo	25	902238 min	1014.1 /90	251 /90
Leo Vieira	11	87954 min	413.9 /90	171.6 /90
Joao Paulo	2	5099 min	65.5 /90	65.5 /90

Bahia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bahia before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Ronaldo n 8	90	6 8/6
Leo Vieira n 8	85.5	3.6 7/5

Bahia Defensive

Bahia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Luciano Juba	33	852816 min	431.4 /90	331.1 /90	70.2 /90	1023.3 /90	200.6 /90	50.2 /90
David Duarte	28	912544 min	281 /90	331.2 /90	230.8 /90	1405 /90	220.8 /90	50.2 /90
Santiago Ramos Mingo	25	922301 min	120.5 /90	321.3 /90	281.1 /90	783.1 /90	180.7 /90	30.1 /90
Román Gómez	17	711209 min	282.1 /90	261.9 /90	60.4 /90	806 /90	231.7 /90	40.3 /90
Marcos Victor	9	76688 min	192.5 /90	81 /90	50.7 /90	415.4 /90	121.6 /90	20.3 /90
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Bahia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bahia before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Erick Pulga n 8	65.8	1.2 6/1	1.5 5/3	—
Luciano Juba n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.4 3/0	—
Nicolás Acevedo n 8	64.8	2.8 7/5	1.9 6/3	—
Jean Lucas n 8	60.8	2.4 6/4	1.3 5/2	—
Cristian Olivera n 8	83.4	0.9 5/2	1.3 8/1	—
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Bahia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bahia before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Erick Pulga n 8	65.8	1.2 4/2
Luciano Juba n 8	90	1 5/2
Nicolás Acevedo n 8	64.8	2.8 6/5
Jean Lucas n 8	60.8	0.9 3/2
Cristian Olivera n 8	83.4	1.6 5/3
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Bahia Attacking

Bahia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Erick Pulga	35	692407 min	40.1 /90	20.1 /90	391.5 /90	170.6 /90	250.9 /90	491.8 /90
Cristian Olivera	29	681986 min	20.1 /90	20.1 /90	331.5 /90	231 /90	361.6 /90	281.3 /90
Ademir	28	411134 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	181.4 /90	80.6 /90	90.7 /90	181.4 /90
Willian Jose	20	601207 min	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	181.3 /90	90.7 /90	211.6 /90	50.4 /90
Everaldo	17	47795 min	40.5 /90	00 /90	171.9 /90	80.9 /90	70.8 /90	30.3 /90
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Bahia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bahia before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Erick Pulga n 8	65.8	1.9 7/4	0.5 3/0
Luciano Juba n 8	90	0.9 5/2	0.5 3/1
Nicolás Acevedo n 8	64.8	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Jean Lucas n 8	60.8	0.7 3/1	0.2 1/0
Cristian Olivera n 8	83.4	1.2 5/2	0.8 3/2
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Bahia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bahia before kick-off, to 6 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Erick Pulga n 8	65.8	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Luciano Juba n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Nicolás Acevedo n 8	64.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jean Lucas n 8	60.8	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Cristian Olivera n 8	83.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Gremio v Bahia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

GremioLWWWL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

BahiaWLDWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Gremio 2 · 1 draw · Bahia 3 · 1.83 goals/game

2026-05-17 Bahia 1–1 Gremio
2025-10-19 Bahia 4–0 Gremio
2025-05-25 Gremio 1–0 Bahia
2024-08-17 Gremio 0–2 Bahia
2024-04-28 Bahia 1–0 Gremio
2023-11-04 Gremio 1–0 Bahia

League standing · 2026

Gremio#18 pos37 pts34 pl-9 GD

Bahia#6 pos53 pts34 pl+5 GD

Goals per game

Gremio scored1.12

Bahia scored1.47

Gremio conceded1.38

Bahia conceded1.32

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Gremio and Bahia?: In their last 6 meetings, Gremio won 2, Bahia won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Gremio and Bahia?: Recent form — Gremio 3W 0D 2L; Bahia 2W 1D 2L.

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