SantosGremio

Santos v Gremio prediction

Serie A – Brazil · · Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Santos · Gremio · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Santos v Gremio, Serie A – Brazil on Tue, 24 Nov 2026 00:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Santos host Gremio in Serie A – Brazil on Tuesday 24 November (kick-off 00:00 UK).

The key numbers

Gremio have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Santos’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Santos’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Santos have two wins, four draws and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 0.67. Santos have scored 50 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Santos have conceded 49 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs.

Six of Gremio’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Gremio’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Gremio have one win, two draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.71 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 1.29. Gremio have scored 38 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Gremio have conceded 47 goals, the 10th-most of the 20 clubs.

Santos are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Santos (ninth) and Gremio (18th) are 10 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Santos the stronger side, 167 rating points above Gremio (Santos 1700, Gremio 1532, after at least 338 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Gremio are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Santos. The most recent meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Gremio 3–2 Santos.

Team news

Predicted Santos XI (4-2-3-1): Diogenes, Rodinei, L. Peres, J. Alencar, Á. Barreal, G. Pereira, G. Bontempo, Everton, C. Oliva, Coutinho, G. Barbosa — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Neymar (5.0 per match over 25 appearances, 10 goals and seven assists) and Everton (3.7 per match over seven appearances, one assist) have been Santos’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Santos (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Neymar averages 3.0 key passes per 90 over 2060 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Everton averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 1008 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Gremio XI (4-1-4-1): Weverton, G. Martins, Wallace, W. Kannemann, F. Balbuena, M. Villasanti, E. Noriega, Dodi, J. Pedro, Marlon, C. Vinícius — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cristian Pavón (4.2 per match over 41 appearances, five goals and five assists) and Marlon (4.0 per match over 20 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Gremio’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Gremio (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Cristian Pavón averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 3178 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last 10 appearances. Marlon averages 3.1 tackles per 90 over 1660 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A – Brazil · Estadio Urbano Caldeira
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Santos 2 · draws 1 · Gremio 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Santos 1W 2D 2L · Gremio 3W 0D 2L

Santos v Gremio (Serie A – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 4 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 5.5
Corners
against 7.25 / 8.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 6 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.5 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSantos for / againstLineGremio for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 7.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 8.25 against n 8
Shots
14.75 for · 14.88 against n 8
19.5standard
12.75 for · 18.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.13 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 6 against n 8
Fouls committed
12 for · 15 against n 8
21.5standard
14.25 for · 13.5 against n 8
Cards shown
3.5 for · 2.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2.38 against n 8

Santos

Santos Goalkeeper

Santos — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Gabriel Brazão40913634 min1092.7 /90501.2 /9010 /90
Diogenes1191996 min343.1 /9070.6 /9000 /90
Santos — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Santos before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Gabriel Brazão n 891
2.88/4
Diogenes n 890
3.46/6

Santos Defensive

Santos — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Gonzalo Escobar37883274 min892.4 /90722 /9090.2 /901875.1 /90471.3 /90140.4 /90
Luan Peres37853149 min641.8 /90501.4 /90250.7 /901574.5 /90411.2 /90100.3 /90
Lucas Veríssimo30862592 min281 /90511.8 /90130.5 /901003.5 /90321.1 /9080.3 /90
Igor Vinícius30832478 min662.4 /90301.1 /9030.1 /901314.8 /90311.1 /9050.2 /90
Adonis Frías15851280 min201.4 /90181.3 /90110.8 /90604.2 /90130.9 /9040.3 /90
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Santos — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Santos before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Gabriel Bontempo n 879.5
0.64/0
2.47/5
—
Christian Oliva n 868.9
0.73/1
0.72/2
—
Gabriel Brazão n 891
00/0
0.22/0
—
Álvaro Barreal n 860.4
1.14/2
1.54/3
—
Gabriel Barbosa n 889.4
0.31/1
0.95/2
—
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Santos — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Santos before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Gabriel Bontempo n 879.5
15/2
Christian Oliva n 868.9
1.66/3
Álvaro Barreal n 860.4
2.46/3
Gabriel Barbosa n 889.4
00/0
Gonzalo Escobar n 888.4
2.28/4
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Santos Attacking

Santos — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Gabriel Barbosa38793005 min200.6 /9080.2 /90862.6 /90401.2 /90471.4 /90190.6 /90
Rony34521776 min30.2 /9000 /90331.7 /90110.6 /90241.2 /90110.6 /90
Benjamín Rollheiser33541770 min40.2 /9050.3 /90201 /9090.5 /90532.7 /90271.4 /90
Moisés1342552 min20.3 /9010.2 /9061 /9050.8 /9061 /9040.7 /90
G. Caballero953474 min00 /9000 /9071.3 /9020.4 /9081.5 /9040.8 /90
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Santos — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Santos before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Gabriel Bontempo n 879.5
1.76/3
0.42/1
Christian Oliva n 868.9
0.84/1
0.21/0
Gabriel Brazão n 891
00/0
00/0
Álvaro Barreal n 860.4
0.74/0
0.42/0
Gabriel Barbosa n 889.4
4.28/7
2.17/4
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Santos — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Santos before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Gabriel Bontempo n 879.5
00/0
0.11/0
Christian Oliva n 868.9
00/0
00/0
Gabriel Brazão n 891
00/0
00/0
Álvaro Barreal n 860.4
00/0
00/0
Gabriel Barbosa n 889.4
0.64/1
0.32/0
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Gremio

Gremio Goalkeeper

Gremio — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Weverton45924121 min1433.1 /90420.9 /9020 /90
Gabriel Grando394282 min134.1 /9051.6 /9000 /90
Thiago Beltrame17575 min56 /9033.6 /9000 /90
Gremio — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gremio before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Weverton n 890
4.98/6

Gremio Defensive

Gremio — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Cristian Pavón41783178 min621.8 /90471.3 /9050.1 /901744.9 /90230.7 /90100.3 /90
Gustavo Martins33822716 min401.3 /90351.2 /90160.5 /901444.8 /90331.1 /9080.3 /90
Pedro Gabriel22781709 min361.9 /90130.7 /9050.3 /90653.4 /90221.2 /9070.4 /90
Viery20921839 min391.9 /90120.6 /90180.9 /901055.1 /90371.8 /9060.3 /90
Marlon20831660 min583.1 /90191 /9070.4 /901035.6 /90201.1 /9040.2 /90
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Gremio — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gremio before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Weverton n 890
00/0
0.52/2
—
Carlos Vinícius n 878.8
1.48/1
1.14/4
—
F. Amuzu n 872.5
1.25/3
2.88/4
—
Cristian Pavón n 871.8
0.95/1
0.93/2
—
José Enamorado n 841.1
1.13/1
3.37/3
—
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Gremio — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gremio before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Carlos Vinícius n 878.8
0.42/1
F. Amuzu n 872.5
0.21/0
Cristian Pavón n 871.8
1.14/2
José Enamorado n 841.1
0.52/0
Erick Noriega n 877.4
1.76/4
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Gremio Attacking

Gremio — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Carlos Vinícius42793304 min170.5 /9010 /90631.7 /90411.1 /90120.3 /9090.2 /90
José Enamorado38481808 min00 /9040.2 /90291.4 /90110.5 /90251.2 /90351.7 /90
Tetê34511730 min30.2 /9010.1 /90422.2 /90201 /90331.7 /90422.2 /90
Martin Braithwaite32481547 min40.2 /9010.1 /90271.6 /90120.7 /90150.9 /9070.4 /90
Gabriel Mec26501307 min30.2 /9010.1 /90221.5 /9090.6 /90171.2 /90433 /90
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Gremio — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gremio before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Weverton n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Carlos Vinícius n 878.8
1.46/2
0.75/0
F. Amuzu n 872.5
27/3
0.84/1
Cristian Pavón n 871.8
1.76/3
1.14/2
José Enamorado n 841.1
1.93/2
0.82/1
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Gremio — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Gremio before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Weverton n 890
00/0
0.11/0
Carlos Vinícius n 878.8
0.32/0
00/0
F. Amuzu n 872.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Cristian Pavón n 871.8
0.21/0
00/0
José Enamorado n 841.1
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Santos v Gremio — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SantosLWDDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
GremioLWWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Santos 2 · 1 draw · Gremio 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-05-23 Gremio 3–2 Santos
  • 2025-10-02 Santos 1–1 Gremio
  • 2025-05-04 Gremio 1–0 Santos
  • 2023-08-20 Santos 2–1 Gremio
  • 2023-04-16 Gremio 1–0 Santos
  • 2021-10-10 Santos 1–0 Gremio
League standing · 2026
Santos#9 pos47 pts34 pl+1 GD
Gremio#18 pos37 pts34 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Santos scored1.47
Gremio scored1.12
Santos conceded1.44
Gremio conceded1.38

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Santos and Gremio?
In their last 6 meetings, Santos won 2, Gremio won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Santos and Gremio?
Recent form — Santos 1W 2D 2L; Gremio 3W 0D 2L.

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