Santos v RB Bragantino result

Full-time · Santos 2–0 RB Bragantino

Serie A – Brazil · · Estádio Urbano Caldeira

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Santos · RB Bragantino · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Santos 2–0 RB Bragantino — Santos won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Santos beat RB Bragantino 2–0 at Estádio Urbano Caldeira in Serie A – Brazil on Sunday 10 May. It is Santos’s first win over RB Bragantino since 17 October 2022, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Santos led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Santos: Neymar (45’, assisted by Gabriel Bontempo) and Adonis Frías (76’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Neymar’s goal on 45 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Santos 1.26, RB Bragantino 0.68, from 9 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Alex Gomes Stefano, Brazil showed five yellow cards — against 5.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Santos: Neymar (79’); RB Bragantino: Lucas Barbosa (7’), Isidro Pitta (16’), Gabriel Girotto (45’) and Alix Vinicius (75’).

What it changes

Santos move up from 14th to 13th (15 league matches played).

RB Bragantino move down from seventh to eighth (15 league matches played).

Santos’s two-goal margin was the biggest of round 15, across 10 matches. Santos are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Santos have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Gabriel Bontempo (Santos) 7.2, Adonis Frías (Santos) 5.7 and Álvaro Barreal (Santos) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Santos or RB Bragantino (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).

Next up

Santos next host Bahia on 25 October 2026.

RB Bragantino next travel to Palmeiras on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Santos: Santos v Bahia, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for RB Bragantino: Palmeiras v RB Bragantino, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Santos 2–0 RB Bragantino · Serie A – Brazil
  • Venue: Estádio Urbano Caldeira · Santos
  • Referee: Alex Gomes Stefano, Brazil
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Santos 1 · draws 2 · RB Bragantino 3 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Santos 0W 5D 0L · RB Bragantino 2W 1D 2L

Santos 2–0 RB Bragantino (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 4.88
Corners
against 5 / 3.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 7
Shots on target
against 3 / 4.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 2.88
Cards
against 2.38 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.25 yellows
Referee · Alex Gomes Stefano, Brazil
2.17 home / 3.08 away
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 May 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSantos for / againstLineRB Bragantino for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
13.25 for · 11.38 against n 8
19.5standard
17.13 for · 11.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.38 for · 3 against n 8
8.5standard
7 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.13 for · 15.88 against n 8
21.5standard
13.75 for · 12.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.88 for · 2.88 against n 8

Referee: Alex Gomes Stefano, Brazil — 5.25 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 27.33 fouls over 12 matches (2.17 to the home side, 3.08 to the away side).

Santos
Santos — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
João Schmidt n 850.6
3.88/5
0.72/1
Ignacio Sosa
Christian Oliva n 871.3
2.17/3
1.35/3
Ignacio Sosa
Rafael Gonzaga n 347
1.92/1
00/0
—
Miguelito n 850.4
1.65/2
0.92/1
—
Gustavo Henrique Pereira n 873.8
1.55/3
1.56/4
—
Santos — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Thaciano n 818.8
34/1
0.61/0
Neymar n 889.9
2.18/4
0.85/1
Gabriel Barbosa n 872.1
1.66/3
0.53/0
Miguelito n 850.4
1.65/2
0.21/0
Benjamín Rollheiser n 849.9
1.64/2
1.12/2
Santos — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Benjamín Rollheiser n 849.9
0.72/1
0.52/0
Gabriel Barbosa n 872.1
0.32/0
0.32/0
Neymar n 889.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
Moisés n 833.8
0.31/0
00/0
L. Díaz n 833
0.31/0
00/0
Santos — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Gustavo Henrique Pereira n 873.8
4.47/6
Igor Vinícius n 879.8
3.58/6
Gonzalo Escobar n 886.3
3.18/6
Rafael Gonzaga n 347
2.62/1
Christian Oliva n 871.3
2.57/5
Santos — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Diogenes n 372.7
2.92/2
Gabriel Brazão n 890
1.43/2
RB Bragantino
RB Bragantino — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Matheus Fernandes n 864.8
2.68/5
0.72/2
—
Gustavo Neves n 842.8
2.66/3
0.52/0
—
Ignacio Sosa n 845.5
2.55/3
1.55/1
Christian Oliva
Juninho Capixaba n 881.9
1.86/3
1.47/3
—
Lucas Barbosa n 874.4
1.88/3
1.55/4
—
RB Bragantino — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Lucas Barbosa n 874.4
3.58/6
1.56/3
Isidro Pitta n 874
3.28/6
1.86/2
Eduardo Sasha n 855
2.36/2
1.43/1
Fernando n 829.4
2.33/2
1.53/1
Marcelinho Braz n 757.1
26/2
0.72/1
RB Bragantino — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Fernando n 829.4
0.82/0
0.81/1
Isidro Pitta n 874
0.82/2
0.21/0
Rodriguinho n 847.4
0.51/1
0.21/0
Gustavo Neves n 842.8
0.31/0
0.31/0
Marcelinho Braz n 757.1
00/0
0.52/0
RB Bragantino — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Eric Ramires n 829.5
2.73/1
Ryan Augusto n 656.7
2.64/2
Gustavo Neves n 842.8
2.45/2
José Herrera n 855.6
2.26/4
Juninho Capixaba n 881.9
2.16/4
RB Bragantino — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 8 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Cleiton n 891
2.86/5
Tiago Volpi n 893.5
2.56/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
SantosRB Bragantino
53%Possession47%
1.26Expected goals (xG)0.68
9Shots11
3Shots on target3
5Shots off target5
1Blocked shots3
8Shots inside the box6
7Corners3
3Offsides2
13Fouls18
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
3Saves1
446Passes387
82%Pass accuracy79%

Santos player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Diogenes9600000007.2
Igor Vinícius9600001106.9
Adonis Frías9610110208
Lucas Veríssimo9600000107.3
Gonzalo Escobar9600000407
João Schmidt9600000207.5
Benjamín Rollheiser8700103006.9
Álvaro Barreal8700110407.3
Neymar82103110Y8.3
Christian Oliva7000100107
Gabriel Bontempo7001101407.5
Willian Arão sub2600000006.6
Rony sub2600000006.5
Gabriel Barbosa sub1400000006.5
Miguelito sub900000106.6
Moisés sub900000006.7

RB Bragantino player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Tiago Volpi9600000006.6
Alix Vinicius96000001Y6
Gustavo Marques9600110206.3
Juninho Capixaba9600101206.3
Lucas Barbosa96000020Y6.2
Isidro Pitta96001011Y6.2
José Andrés Hurtado7800100106.5
Henry Mosquera7400213306.7
Gabriel Girotto67000012Y6.9
Ignacio Sosa4500000306.6
José Herrera4500110106.3
Eric Ramires sub5100000006.3
Eduardo Sasha sub5100100006.9
Rodriguinho sub2900000006.5
Fernando sub2200000006.7
A. Sant'Anna sub1800001007.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Santos v RB Bragantino — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SantosDDDDD
Last 5: 0W 5D 0L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
RB BragantinoDLLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Santos 1 · 2 draws · RB Bragantino 3 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2025-09-28 RB Bragantino 2–2 Santos
  • 2025-04-27 Santos 1–2 RB Bragantino
  • 2023-10-19 Santos 1–3 RB Bragantino
  • 2023-05-28 RB Bragantino 2–0 Santos
  • 2022-10-17 RB Bragantino 0–2 Santos
  • 2022-06-19 Santos 2–2 RB Bragantino
League standing · 2026
Santos#8 pos45 pts31 pl+2 GD
RB Bragantino#10 pos41 pts31 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Santos scored1.55
RB Bragantino scored1.26
Santos conceded1.48
RB Bragantino conceded1.16

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Santos v RB Bragantino?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Santos v RB Bragantino was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Santos and RB Bragantino?
In their last 6 meetings, Santos won 1, RB Bragantino won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Santos and RB Bragantino?
Recent form — Santos 0W 5D 0L; RB Bragantino 2W 1D 2L.

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