Sao Paulo v Fluminense prediction

Serie A – Brazil · Fri, 20 Nov 2026 00:30 GMT · Estadio Do MorumBIS

Updated 4 Nov 2026, 05:22 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Sao Paulo · Fluminense · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Sao Paulo v Fluminense, Serie A – Brazil on Fri, 20 Nov 2026 00:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Sao Paulo host Fluminense in Serie A – Brazil on Friday 20 November (kick-off 00:30 UK).

The key numbers

Fluminense have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Five of Sao Paulo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in seven of Sao Paulo’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Sao Paulo have six wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 2.22 points per game, scoring 1.44 and conceding 0.67. Sao Paulo have scored 39 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Sao Paulo have conceded 39 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

10 of Fluminense’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Fluminense’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Fluminense have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.63. Fluminense have scored 52 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games, ranked per game). Fluminense have conceded 42 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Sao Paulo are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Sao Paulo (10th) and Fluminense (fourth) are 10 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Fluminense the stronger side, 63 rating points above Sao Paulo (Fluminense 1624, Sao Paulo 1561, after at least 375 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 16 May 2026, finished Fluminense 2–1 Sao Paulo.

Team news

Predicted Sao Paulo XI (3-4-2-1): Rafael, R. Arboleda, Newton, R. Toloi, D. Bobadilla, P. Lima, I. Borduchi, P. Maia, D. Ferreira, M. Antônio, J. Calleri — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Pedro Lima (4.3 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) and Domingos Duarte (4.0 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Sao Paulo’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Sao Paulo (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Pedro Lima averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 712 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances. Domingos Duarte averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 676 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Fluminense XI (4-2-3-1): Fabio, Guga, G. Arana, T. Silva, Rene, Nonato, Hercules, P. Ganso, A. Canobbio, J. Savarino, Hulk — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Hulk (4.1 per match over 22 appearances, seven goals and six assists) and Igor Rabello (4.0 per match over seven appearances, one assist) have been Fluminense’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Fluminense (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Hulk averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 2427 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. Igor Rabello averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 533 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Fri, 20 Nov 2026 00:30 GMT · Serie A – Brazil · Estadio Do MorumBIS
Head-to-head (last 6): Sao Paulo 2 · draws 0 · Fluminense 4 · 3.17 goals/game
Recent form: Sao Paulo 2W 2D 1L · Fluminense 2W 0D 3L

Sao Paulo v Fluminense (Serie A – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 4 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

7.25 / 4.29

Corners

against 5 / 4.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.25 / 5.14

Shots on target

against 3.75 / 4.43 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.5 / 2.29

Cards

against 2.88 / 2.14 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Sao Paulo for / against	Line	Fluminense for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	7.25 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.29 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	15.13 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.57 for · 12.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.25 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.14 for · 4.43 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.25 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.71 for · 15.86 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.5 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.29 for · 2.14 against n 7 Last 5

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo Goalkeeper

Sao Paulo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Rafael	40	913659 min	922.3 /90	370.9 /90	00 /90
Carlos Coronel	5	90450 min	204 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90

Sao Paulo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sao Paulo before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Rafael n 8	90	1.9 4/2

Sao Paulo Defensive

Sao Paulo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Sabino	28	822309 min	501.9 /90	341.3 /90	200.8 /90	1345.2 /90	311.2 /90	30.1 /90
Lucas Ramon	28	772144 min	421.8 /90	301.3 /90	00 /90	1275.3 /90	241 /90	10 /90
Wendell	24	681643 min	351.9 /90	160.9 /90	20.1 /90	663.6 /90	432.4 /90	50.3 /90
R. Arboleda	21	871824 min	391.9 /90	180.9 /90	80.4 /90	1015 /90	110.5 /90	10 /90
Alan Javier Franco	19	851618 min	160.9 /90	140.8 /90	170.9 /90	623.4 /90	140.8 /90	30.2 /90
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Sao Paulo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sao Paulo before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Rafael n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0	—
Jonathan Calleri n 8	73	1.1 5/1	2.5 7/6	—
Danielzinho n 8	50.6	1.8 4/3	0.7 3/0	—
Luciano n 8	74.8	0.6 3/1	2.4 7/5	—
Artur n 8	72.3	0.3 1/1	2.2 7/5	—
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Sao Paulo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sao Paulo before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Jonathan Calleri n 8	73	0.9 4/1
Danielzinho n 8	50.6	2.4 4/3
Luciano n 8	74.8	0.6 3/1
Artur n 8	72.3	0.9 4/2
D. Bobadilla n 8	81.8	2.1 8/5
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Sao Paulo Attacking

Sao Paulo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Jonathan Calleri	35	812836 min	110.3 /90	40.1 /90	531.7 /90	220.7 /90	321 /90	140.4 /90
Luciano	34	752543 min	130.5 /90	20.1 /90	612.2 /90	250.9 /90	331.2 /90	70.2 /90
Ferreirinha	27	441183 min	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	262 /90	141.1 /90	231.7 /90	413.1 /90
Andre Silva	17	47804 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	91 /90	50.6 /90	91 /90	50.6 /90
Lucas Moura	11	54598 min	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	121.8 /90	71.1 /90	91.4 /90	60.9 /90
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Sao Paulo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sao Paulo before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Rafael n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jonathan Calleri n 8	73	2 6/4	0.6 3/1
Danielzinho n 8	50.6	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Luciano n 8	74.8	2.7 8/5	0.8 5/0
Artur n 8	72.3	3 7/7	1.6 5/4
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Sao Paulo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sao Paulo before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Rafael n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jonathan Calleri n 8	73	0.5 2/1	0.2 1/0
Danielzinho n 8	50.6	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Luciano n 8	74.8	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Artur n 8	72.3	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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Fluminense

Fluminense Goalkeeper

Fluminense — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Fabio	47	924308 min	1483.1 /90	531.1 /90	00 /90

Fluminense — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fluminense before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Fabio n 8	91.9	3.2 6/6

Fluminense Defensive

Fluminense — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Guga	29	832393 min	632.4 /90	281.1 /90	20.1 /90	1345 /90	311.2 /90	60.2 /90
Rene	27	862309 min	702.7 /90	391.5 /90	90.4 /90	1445.6 /90	271.1 /90	20.1 /90
J. Freytes	26	892307 min	210.8 /90	190.7 /90	120.5 /90	843.3 /90	190.7 /90	50.2 /90
Guilherme Arana	26	772006 min	311.4 /90	160.7 /90	40.2 /90	673 /90	231 /90	50.2 /90
Ignacio	24	892133 min	371.6 /90	291.2 /90	160.7 /90	1315.5 /90	291.2 /90	80.3 /90
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Fluminense — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fluminense before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Fabio n 8	91.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Hercules n 8	66	1.5 7/2	0.5 3/0	—
A. Canobbio n 8	72.3	2 7/4	3.6 8/6	—
L. Acosta n 8	45	1 3/1	0.5 2/0	—
K. Serna n 8	51.5	0.9 4/0	2 5/3	—
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Fluminense — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fluminense before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Hercules n 8	66	2 5/4
A. Canobbio n 8	72.3	2.5 7/5
L. Acosta n 8	45	1.3 4/1
K. Serna n 8	51.5	1.1 3/2
Jefferson Savarino n 8	50	0.7 3/0
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Fluminense Attacking

Fluminense — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
R. Castillo	25	501253 min	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	292.1 /90	171.2 /90	120.9 /90	60.4 /90
John Kennedy	24	701689 min	80.4 /90	10.1 /90	502.7 /90	301.6 /90	201.1 /90	311.7 /90
Hulk	18	711270 min	70.5 /90	60.4 /90	443.1 /90	201.4 /90	261.8 /90	181.3 /90
G. Cano	8	23184 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	104.9 /90	42 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90
Riquelme Felipe	5	23116 min	00 /90	00 /90	32.3 /90	00 /90	32.3 /90	53.9 /90
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Fluminense — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fluminense before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Fabio n 8	91.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Hercules n 8	66	1.5 4/3	0.3 2/0
A. Canobbio n 8	72.3	1.2 4/2	0.5 2/1
L. Acosta n 8	45	1.5 4/2	1 3/1
K. Serna n 8	51.5	1.5 4/1	1.1 3/1
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Fluminense — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fluminense before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Fabio n 8	91.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Hercules n 8	66	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
A. Canobbio n 8	72.3	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
L. Acosta n 8	45	0.5 2/0	0.3 1/0
K. Serna n 8	51.5	0.2 1/0	0.4 2/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Sao Paulo v Fluminense — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Sao PauloWWDLD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game

FluminenseLLWLW

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Sao Paulo 2 · 0 draws · Fluminense 4 · 3.17 goals/game

2026-05-16 Fluminense 2–1 Sao Paulo
2025-11-27 Fluminense 6–0 Sao Paulo
2025-07-27 Sao Paulo 3–1 Fluminense
2024-09-01 Fluminense 2–0 Sao Paulo
2024-05-13 Sao Paulo 2–1 Fluminense
2023-11-23 Fluminense 1–0 Sao Paulo

League standing · 2026

Sao Paulo#10 pos44 pts34 pl0 GD

Fluminense#4 pos54 pts33 pl+10 GD

Goals per game

Sao Paulo scored1.15

Fluminense scored1.58

Sao Paulo conceded1.15

Fluminense conceded1.27

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Sao Paulo and Fluminense?: In their last 6 meetings, Sao Paulo won 2, Fluminense won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sao Paulo and Fluminense?: Recent form — Sao Paulo 2W 2D 1L; Fluminense 2W 0D 3L.

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