Vasco DA Gama v Cruzeiro result

Full-time · Vasco DA Gama 3–1 Cruzeiro

Serie A – Brazil · · São Januário

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Vasco DA Gama · Cruzeiro · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Vasco DA Gama 3–1 Cruzeiro — Vasco DA Gama won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.36 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Vasco DA Gama beat Cruzeiro 3–1 at São Januário in Serie A – Brazil on Sunday 30 August. Cruzeiro have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Vasco DA Gama led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Vasco DA Gama: Tchê Tchê (33’), Lucas Freitas (55’, assisted by Lucas Piton) and David (90’, assisted by Ramon Rique); Cruzeiro: Felipe Morais (90’, assisted by Matheus Pereira).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Tchê Tchê’s goal on 33 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Vasco DA Gama 3.24, Cruzeiro 0.63, from 21 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Vasco DA Gama: Adson (27’) and Cauan Barros (90+4’); Cruzeiro: João Marcelo (24’).

What it changes

Vasco DA Gama move up from 19th to 17th (24 league matches played).

Cruzeiro stay fifth after this result (25 league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lucas Piton (Vasco DA Gama) 7.0, William Furtado (Cruzeiro) 6.1 and Tchê Tchê (Vasco DA Gama) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Vasco DA Gama or Cruzeiro (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.2% of the time in the last 90 days (3501 of 4535).

Next up

Vasco DA Gama next host Boca Juniors on 21 October 2026.

Cruzeiro next host Remo on 23 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Vasco DA Gama: Vasco DA Gama v Boca Juniors, Wednesday 21 October — the preview. Next for Cruzeiro: Cruzeiro v Remo, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Vasco DA Gama 3–1 Cruzeiro · Serie A – Brazil
  • Venue: São Januário · Rio de Janeiro
  • Referee: F. Mendes
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Vasco DA Gama 1 · draws 4 · Cruzeiro 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Vasco DA Gama 2W 1D 2L · Cruzeiro 2W 2D 1L

Vasco DA Gama 3–1 Cruzeiro (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 5.75
Corners
against 3.38 / 3.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 4
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.63 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameVasco DA Gama for / againstLineCruzeiro for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5our book
1.5 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 3.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.75 for · 3.13 against n 8
Shots
14.5 for · 11.63 against n 8
19.5standard
16.13 for · 13.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
14 for · 10.88 against n 8
21.5standard
12.13 for · 13.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: F. Mendes.

Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ramon Rique n 843.1
2.98/3
0.31/0
—
Cuiabano n 873.6
2.16/4
1.45/4
—
Claudio Spinelli n 843.1
2.15/3
1.34/1
—
Paulo Henrique n 876.3
1.97/3
1.66/3
João Marcelo
Tchê Tchê n 864.3
1.95/3
1.64/2
—
Vasco DA Gama — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Claudio Spinelli n 843.1
3.15/5
1.34/1
F. Colidio n 864.5
36/5
0.94/1
Andrés Gómez n 884.6
2.37/5
0.84/2
Johan Rojas n 857.4
2.24/3
13/2
David n 855
1.84/2
0.42/0
Vasco DA Gama — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Colidio n 864.5
0.53/0
0.32/0
Puma Rodríguez n 858.6
0.21/0
0.41/1
Thiago Mendes n 881.9
0.32/0
0.32/0
Brenner n 843.8
0.51/1
00/0
Andrés Gómez n 884.6
0.32/0
0.11/0
Vasco DA Gama — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Riquelme Avellar n 735.7
46/3
Ramon Rique n 843.1
3.76/4
Cuiabano n 873.6
3.27/4
Alan Saldivia n 876.9
2.86/4
Adson n 852.8
2.66/3
Vasco DA Gama — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Léo Jardim n 890.6
2.76/3
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Felipe Morais n 438.5
3.52/2
1.22/0
—
Wesley Gassova n 839.1
2.66/2
2.65/2
—
Lucas Silva n 826.8
2.56/0
1.74/0
—
Lucas Romero n 881.4
2.17/4
1.44/3
—
João Marcelo n 857.9
1.95/3
0.62/1
Paulo Henrique
Cruzeiro — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Rodríguez n 855.9
2.28/2
1.25/1
Keny Arroyo n 873.6
2.17/3
0.84/1
Wanderson n 826.5
2.14/1
1.33/0
Felipe Morais n 438.5
1.82/1
00/0
Wesley Gassova n 839.1
1.74/2
0.62/0
Cruzeiro — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lucas Villalba n 860
00/0
0.63/0
Bruno Rodrigues n 837.6
0.31/0
0.31/0
Keny Arroyo n 873.6
0.53/0
00/0
Fagner n 876
00/0
0.42/1
Matheus Henrique n 856.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Cruzeiro — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Fagner n 876
2.77/6
Wanderson n 826.5
2.53/2
Lucas Romero n 881.4
2.47/5
Gabriel Rojas n 866.8
2.25/4
Marquinhos n 820.5
2.24/0
Cruzeiro — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Otávio Costa n 890.9
3.17/4

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Vasco DA GamaCruzeiro
46%Possession54%
3.24Expected goals (xG)0.63
21Shots11
9Shots on target6
6Shots off target1
6Blocked shots4
17Shots inside the box4
11Corners2
1Offsides0
15Fouls12
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Saves7
386Passes470
81%Pass accuracy85%

Vasco DA Gama player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Léo Jardim9000001006.3
Paulo Henrique9000100006.6
Carlos Cuesta9000001106.6
Lucas Freitas90101102Y7.3
Lucas Piton9001005109.2
Thiago Mendes9000005007.7
Tchê Tchê8510111208.3
Andrés Gómez8500112307.7
Santiago Sosa7900100107.3
F. Colidio7900530106.5
Adson70004201Y5.6
Puma Rodríguez sub2000000106.3
Marino Hinestroza sub1200000006.3
Ramon Rique sub1201001007.3
Cauan Barros sub1100000206.3
David sub1110110006.9

Cruzeiro player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Otávio Costa9000000007.6
William Furtado9000002606
João Marcelo90000004Y7.5
Jonathan Jesus9000000307.5
Gabriel Rojas9000001305.9
Matheus Henrique9000000006.5
Néiser Villarreal8500001006.2
Zé Lucas7900001507.3
Kaique Kenji7900111106.3
João Gabriel e Costa Cesco6200221106.3
L. Rodríguez6200110206.3
Matheus Pereira sub2801112007.3
Wesley Gassova sub2800000106.7
Wanderson sub1200000006.3
Felipe Morais sub1110210007.2
Lucas Silva sub1100000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Vasco DA Gama v Cruzeiro — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Vasco DA GamaDLWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
CruzeiroDWLWD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Vasco DA Gama 1 · 4 draws · Cruzeiro 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-03-15 Cruzeiro 3–3 Vasco DA Gama
  • 2025-09-27 Vasco DA Gama 2–0 Cruzeiro
  • 2025-04-27 Cruzeiro 1–0 Vasco DA Gama
  • 2024-09-29 Cruzeiro 1–1 Vasco DA Gama
  • 2024-06-16 Vasco DA Gama 0–0 Cruzeiro
  • 2023-11-22 Cruzeiro 2–2 Vasco DA Gama
League standing · 2026
Vasco DA Gama#15 pos35 pts30 pl-7 GD
Cruzeiro#4 pos51 pts31 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Vasco DA Gama scored1.2
Cruzeiro scored1.61
Vasco DA Gama conceded1.43
Cruzeiro conceded1.48

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Vasco DA Gama v Cruzeiro?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Vasco DA Gama v Cruzeiro was Home or Away (best price 1.36 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Vasco DA Gama and Cruzeiro?
In their last 6 meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 1, Cruzeiro won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Vasco DA Gama and Cruzeiro?
Recent form — Vasco DA Gama 2W 1D 2L; Cruzeiro 2W 2D 1L.

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