Vitoria v Cruzeiro result

Full-time · Vitoria 1–3 Cruzeiro

Serie A – Brazil · · Estádio Manoel Barradas

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Vitoria 1–3 Cruzeiro — Cruzeiro won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.31 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.1% of 4297 landed (95% range 75.9–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Cruzeiro won 3–1 at Estádio Manoel Barradas in Serie A – Brazil on Sunday 20 September.

Cruzeiro have scored in 12 consecutive matches.

The goals

Cruzeiro came from behind: Vitoria led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Vitoria: Rene (39’, assisted by Matheuzinho); Cruzeiro: Keny Arroyo (46’, assisted by Kaio Jorge), Lucas Villalba (66’, assisted by Keny Arroyo) and Matheus Pereira (90’, assisted by Keny Arroyo).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lucas Villalba’s goal on 66 minutes.

Discipline

Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil showed three yellow cards — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 16 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cruzeiro: Jonathan Jesus (40’), Gerson (78’) and Felipe Morais (87’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Keny Arroyo (Cruzeiro) 11.7, Kaio Jorge (Cruzeiro) 6.7 and Matheus Pereira (Cruzeiro) 6.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Vitoria or Cruzeiro (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.1% of the time in the last 90 days (3315 of 4297).

Next up

Vitoria next travel to Corinthians on 19 October 2026.

Cruzeiro next travel to Gremio on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Vitoria: Corinthians v Vitoria, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Cruzeiro: Gremio v Cruzeiro, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Vitoria 1–3 Cruzeiro · Serie A – Brazil
  • Venue: Estádio Manoel Barradas · Salvador, Bahia
  • Referee: Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Vitoria 0 · draws 2 · Cruzeiro 4 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Vitoria 1W 1D 3L · Cruzeiro 1W 1D 3L

Vitoria 1–3 Cruzeiro (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 14 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.63 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.63 / 4.38
Corners
against 5 / 5.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 5.88 / 6.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.63 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.13 yellows
Referee · Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil
1.13 home / 2 away
over 16 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameVitoria for / againstLineCruzeiro for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.75our book
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
13.63 for · 18.38 against n 8
19.5standard
14.5 for · 20.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 5.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 6.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.75 for · 14.5 against n 8
21.5standard
12.88 for · 14.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil — 3.13 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 23.88 fouls over 16 matches (1.13 to the home side, 2 to the away side).

Vitoria
Vitoria — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Fabricio n 814.3
3.24/0
00/0
—
Marinho n 835
2.94/2
5.57/5
—
Ze Vitor n 882.5
2.78/6
1.86/5
—
Renato Kayzer n 842.5
2.46/3
2.14/2
—
D. Tarzia n 858.9
2.16/4
2.56/4
—
Vitoria — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Rene n 863.1
2.96/4
1.43/3
Osvaldo n 813
2.63/0
00/0
Fabricio n 814.3
2.43/0
0.81/0
Marinho n 835
2.34/2
0.62/0
Ze Vitor n 882.5
1.66/3
0.32/0
Vitoria — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Fabricio n 814.3
00/0
0.81/0
Rene n 863.1
0.52/1
00/0
Erick n 862.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Matheuzinho n 870.4
0.21/0
00/0
Mateusinho n 855.4
00/0
0.21/0
Vitoria — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Marinho n 835
4.57/3
Ze Vitor n 882.5
4.28/8
Jamerson n 864
3.27/4
Fabricio n 814.3
3.24/0
T. Pochettino n 836.1
3.17/2
Vitoria — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lucas Arcanjo n 891.4
4.38/8
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Felipe Morais n 533
3.32/2
1.63/0
—
João Gabriel e Costa Cesco n 832.9
3.17/1
0.72/0
—
Lucas Silva n 817
2.64/0
23/0
—
Lucas Romero n 883.4
2.27/5
1.34/3
—
William Furtado n 859.5
1.94/3
0.42/0
—
Cruzeiro — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Felipe Morais n 533
2.73/2
0.51/0
Keny Arroyo n 876.3
2.27/4
1.26/2
Matheus Pereira n 872.8
2.26/5
1.15/2
Wanderson n 822.4
23/1
1.53/0
L. Rodríguez n 839
1.76/0
0.93/0
Cruzeiro — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Matheus Pereira n 872.8
0.53/0
0.53/0
L. Rodríguez n 839
00/0
0.62/0
Bruno Rodrigues n 837.6
0.31/0
0.31/0
Felipe Morais n 533
0.51/0
00/0
Wanderson n 822.4
0.51/0
00/0
Cruzeiro — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Fagner n 877
3.48/7
Lucas Silva n 817
3.33/2
Lucas Romero n 883.4
3.18/7
Wanderson n 822.4
2.52/2
William Furtado n 859.5
2.33/3
Cruzeiro — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Otávio Costa n 890.9
5.28/6

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
VitoriaCruzeiro
43%Possession57%
21Shots13
8Shots on target5
7Shots off target4
6Blocked shots4
8Shots inside the box8
8Corners2
4Offsides2
10Fouls19
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves6
398Passes522

Vitoria player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Caca9000201106.7
Emmanuel Martinez9000203006.8
Jamerson9000202006.4
Luan Candido9000110106.2
D. Tarzia9000203106.4
Lucas Arcanjo9000000005.9
Matheuzinho8301213107.1
Rene8310112007.5
Erick6900210105.5
E. Brítez4500210005.4
Caique Goncalves4500001206.7
Mateusinho4500110106.1
Ze Vitor4500210306.8
Lucas Silva2100001206.5
Alex Bruno700110006.6
Renato Kayzer700100006.3

Cruzeiro player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Keny Arroyo9012312209
João Marcelo9000000006.9
Jonathan Jesus90000016Y6.8
Kaio Jorge9001114107.7
Matheus Pereira9010212208.2
Otávio Costa9000000107.6
Gerson81000011Y6.9
Gabriel Rojas5600000206.6
Zé Lucas5600110106.4
Fagner4500001006.2
Wesley Gassova4500200006.3
Felipe Morais45002003Y6.2
William Furtado4500001006.5
Matheus Henrique3400000006.3
Lucas Villalba3410210107.5
Fabrício Bruno900000006.4

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Vitoria v Cruzeiro — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
VitoriaLLLWD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
CruzeiroDLLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Vitoria 0 · 2 draws · Cruzeiro 4 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-04-01 Cruzeiro 3–0 Vitoria
  • 2025-11-01 Cruzeiro 3–1 Vitoria
  • 2025-06-12 Vitoria 0–0 Cruzeiro
  • 2024-08-19 Vitoria 2–2 Cruzeiro
  • 2024-04-28 Cruzeiro 3–1 Vitoria
  • 2018-11-21 Cruzeiro 3–0 Vitoria
League standing · 2026
Vitoria#12 pos36 pts30 pl-11 GD
Cruzeiro#6 pos48 pts30 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Vitoria scored1.1
Cruzeiro scored1.53
Vitoria conceded1.47
Cruzeiro conceded1.47

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Vitoria vs Cruzeiro?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Vitoria v Cruzeiro was Home or Away (best price 1.31 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Vitoria and Cruzeiro?
In their last 6 meetings, Vitoria won 0, Cruzeiro won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Vitoria and Cruzeiro?
Recent form — Vitoria 1W 1D 3L; Cruzeiro 1W 1D 3L.

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