Vitoria v Fluminense prediction

Serie A – Brazil · Fri, 06 Nov 2026 23:00 GMT · Barradao

Updated 28 Oct 2026, 21:06 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Vitoria · Fluminense · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Vitoria v Fluminense, Serie A – Brazil on Fri, 06 Nov 2026 23:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Vitoria host Fluminense in Serie A – Brazil on Friday 6 November (kick-off 23:00 UK).

The key numbers

Vitoria have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Vitoria’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Vitoria’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Vitoria have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.00. Vitoria have scored 35 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Vitoria have conceded 46 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

10 of Fluminense’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Fluminense’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Fluminense have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.63. Fluminense have scored 50 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Fluminense have conceded 41 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Vitoria are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Vitoria (14th) and Fluminense (fifth) are 13 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Fluminense the stronger side, 99 rating points above Vitoria (Fluminense 1597, Vitoria 1498, after at least 184 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Fluminense are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Vitoria. The most recent meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished Fluminense 2–2 Vitoria.

Team news

Predicted Vitoria XI (4-2-3-1): L. Arcanjo, L. Candido, Jamerson, Mateusinho, E. Brítez, Erick, C. Goncalves, Matheuzinho, E. Martinez, D. Tarzia, Rene — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ze Vitor (3.8 per match over 27 appearances, one goal) and Gabriel Baralhas (3.5 per match over 21 appearances, two goals and four assists) have been Vitoria’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Vitoria (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Ze Vitor averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 1764 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances. Gabriel Baralhas averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 1858 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Fluminense XI (4-2-3-1): Fabio, G. Arana, Guga, Ignacio, T. Silva, Nonato, Hercules, P. Ganso, A. Canobbio, K. Serna, Hulk — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Hulk (4.1 per match over 22 appearances, seven goals and six assists) and Igor Rabello (3.9 per match over seven appearances, one assist) have been Fluminense’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Fluminense (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Hulk averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 2427 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Igor Rabello averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 533 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Fri, 06 Nov 2026 23:00 GMT · Serie A – Brazil · Barradao
Head-to-head (last 6): Vitoria 2 · draws 3 · Fluminense 1 · 1.83 goals/game
Recent form: Vitoria 1W 2D 2L · Fluminense 1W 0D 4L

Vitoria v Fluminense (Serie A – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.38 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.5 / 3.14

Corners

against 5.5 / 5.29 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5 / 4.43

Shots on target

against 4.63 / 4.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.25 / 2.29

Cards

against 3.38 / 2.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Vitoria for / against	Line	Fluminense for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.5 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.14 for · 5.29 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	13 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.29 for · 13 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	5 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.43 for · 4.57 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.13 for · 16.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14 for · 15.57 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.29 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5

Vitoria

Vitoria Goalkeeper

Vitoria — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Lucas Arcanjo	34	923142 min	1323.8 /90	341 /90	20.1 /90
Gabriel Vasconcelos	4	90360 min	41 /90	102.5 /90	00 /90

Vitoria — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitoria before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Lucas Arcanjo n 8	90	3.4 7/6

Vitoria Defensive

Vitoria — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Luan Candido	30	862569 min	281 /90	281 /90	200.7 /90	963.4 /90	240.8 /90	40.1 /90
Caca	29	892572 min	260.9 /90	90.3 /90	311.1 /90	782.7 /90	180.6 /90	70.2 /90
Ramon	26	872263 min	391.6 /90	241 /90	60.2 /90	873.5 /90	321.3 /90	50.2 /90
Jamerson	20	731467 min	392.4 /90	201.2 /90	50.3 /90	1056.4 /90	80.5 /90	10.1 /90
Nathan Mendes	15	841260 min	282 /90	191.4 /90	40.3 /90	584.1 /90	161.1 /90	30.2 /90
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Vitoria — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitoria before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Erick n 8	80.5	1.1 5/3	1.1 5/3	—
Lucas Arcanjo n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 2/1	—
Matheuzinho n 8	73.8	0.9 3/1	2.9 7/4	—
Caique Goncalves n 8	77.1	1.3 3/3	1.6 6/3	—
Luan Candido n 8	90	1.3 4/3	0.3 2/0	—
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Vitoria — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitoria before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Erick n 8	80.5	0.6 3/1
Matheuzinho n 8	73.8	1.2 6/2
Caique Goncalves n 8	77.1	2 8/5
Luan Candido n 8	90	1.4 7/3
Rene n 8	68.4	0.7 3/1
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Vitoria Attacking

Vitoria — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Rene	30	702092 min	120.5 /90	10 /90	532.3 /90	311.3 /90	160.7 /90	170.7 /90
Renato Kayzer	21	551148 min	50.4 /90	10.1 /90	221.7 /90	110.9 /90	131 /90	40.3 /90
Marinho	17	35595 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	91.4 /90	30.5 /90	30.5 /90	40.6 /90
Fabricio	11	26284 min	00 /90	20.6 /90	51.6 /90	31 /90	20.6 /90	31 /90
Lucas Silva	5	32162 min	00 /90	00 /90	52.8 /90	21.1 /90	31.7 /90	21.1 /90
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Vitoria — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitoria before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Erick n 8	80.5	1.3 5/3	0.4 2/1
Lucas Arcanjo n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Matheuzinho n 8	73.8	1.4 5/3	0.8 4/1
Caique Goncalves n 8	77.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Luan Candido n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.5 3/1
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Vitoria — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vitoria before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Erick n 8	80.5	0.3 1/1	0.3 2/0
Lucas Arcanjo n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Matheuzinho n 8	73.8	0.3 1/1	0.5 2/1
Caique Goncalves n 8	77.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Luan Candido n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Fluminense

Fluminense Goalkeeper

Fluminense — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Fabio	46	924210 min	1443.1 /90	501.1 /90	00 /90

Fluminense — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fluminense before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Fabio n 8	91.6	3.3 6/6

Fluminense Defensive

Fluminense — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Guga	28	822295 min	582.3 /90	271.1 /90	10 /90	1244.9 /90	291.1 /90	60.2 /90
J. Freytes	26	892307 min	210.8 /90	190.7 /90	120.5 /90	843.3 /90	190.7 /90	50.2 /90
Rene	26	862229 min	672.7 /90	391.6 /90	90.4 /90	1405.7 /90	251 /90	10 /90
Guilherme Arana	26	771998 min	311.4 /90	160.7 /90	40.2 /90	673 /90	231 /90	50.2 /90
Ignacio	23	882035 min	371.6 /90	291.3 /90	150.7 /90	1285.7 /90	261.1 /90	70.3 /90
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Fluminense — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fluminense before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Fabio n 8	91.6	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Hercules n 8	60.4	1.7 7/2	0.4 2/0	—
A. Canobbio n 8	74.3	2 7/4	3.3 8/5	—
L. Acosta n 8	44	1.5 4/2	0.5 2/0	—
K. Serna n 8	59.6	0.6 3/0	1.3 4/2	—
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Fluminense — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fluminense before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Hercules n 8	60.4	2.2 5/4
A. Canobbio n 8	74.3	2 6/4
L. Acosta n 8	44	0.8 3/0
K. Serna n 8	59.6	0.9 3/2
Jefferson Savarino n 8	46.5	0.7 3/0
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Fluminense Attacking

Fluminense — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
John Kennedy	24	701689 min	80.4 /90	10.1 /90	502.7 /90	301.6 /90	201.1 /90	311.7 /90
R. Castillo	23	521202 min	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	261.9 /90	141 /90	120.9 /90	60.4 /90
Hulk	17	711212 min	70.5 /90	60.4 /90	443.3 /90	201.5 /90	251.9 /90	181.3 /90
G. Cano	8	23184 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	104.9 /90	42 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90
Riquelme Felipe	5	22108 min	00 /90	00 /90	32.5 /90	00 /90	32.5 /90	43.3 /90
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Fluminense — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fluminense before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Fabio n 8	91.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Hercules n 8	60.4	1.1 4/2	0.4 2/0
A. Canobbio n 8	74.3	1.2 4/2	0.6 2/1
L. Acosta n 8	44	2.6 4/3	1 3/1
K. Serna n 8	59.6	1.3 4/1	0.9 3/1
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Fluminense — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fluminense before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Fabio n 8	91.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Hercules n 8	60.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Canobbio n 8	74.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
L. Acosta n 8	44	0.5 2/0	0.3 1/0
K. Serna n 8	59.6	0.2 1/0	0.4 2/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Vitoria v Fluminense — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

VitoriaLWLDD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

FluminenseLLLWL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Vitoria 2 · 3 draws · Fluminense 1 · 1.83 goals/game

2026-05-09 Fluminense 2–2 Vitoria
2025-09-20 Vitoria 0–1 Fluminense
2025-04-20 Fluminense 1–1 Vitoria
2024-10-26 Vitoria 2–1 Fluminense
2024-06-27 Fluminense 0–1 Vitoria
2018-09-06 Fluminense 0–0 Vitoria

League standing · 2026

Vitoria#14 pos38 pts32 pl-11 GD

Fluminense#5 pos51 pts32 pl+9 GD

Goals per game

Vitoria scored1.09

Fluminense scored1.56

Vitoria conceded1.44

Fluminense conceded1.28

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Vitoria and Fluminense?: In their last 6 meetings, Vitoria won 2, Fluminense won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Vitoria and Fluminense?: Recent form — Vitoria 1W 2D 2L; Fluminense 1W 0D 4L.

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