AC Milan v Inter prediction

Serie A · Sat, 31 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 08:03 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: AC Milan · Inter · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for AC Milan v Inter, Serie A on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.65 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.1% of 586 landed (95% range 63.2–70.7%); it had given them 76.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 479 of 729 times (65.7%), against an average rating of 68.1%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

AC Milan host Inter in Serie A on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Inter have scored 25 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Inter have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. AC Milan are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Inter, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

10 of AC Milan’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in nine of AC Milan’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, AC Milan have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.86. AC Milan have scored 18 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). AC Milan have conceded 11 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

10 of Inter’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Inter’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Inter have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.14. Inter have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Inter have won their last four matches in all competitions. AC Milan (fifth) and Inter (first) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Inter the stronger side, 342 rating points above AC Milan (Inter 2021, AC Milan 1679, after at least 351 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished AC Milan 1–0 Inter.

Team news

Predicted AC Milan XI (3-4-2-1): M. Maignan, S. Pavlović, K. De Winter, S. Bocoum, A. Jashari, Y. Musah, L. Modrić, D. Bartesaghi, A. Cissè, D. Moreira, G. Ramos — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Rabiot (4.6 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and four assists) and Diego Moreira (4.6 per match over seven appearances, three goals and one assist) have been AC Milan’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AC Milan (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Rabiot averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 1442 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Diego Moreira averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 695 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Inter XI (3-5-2): J. Martínez, A. Bastoni, M. Akanji, Y. Bisseck, A. Diouf, N. Barella, P. Zieliński, F. Dimarco, H. Çalhanoğlu, M. Thuram, A. Bonny — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lautaro Martínez (5.8 per match over seven appearances, six goals and one assist) and Carlos Augusto (4.9 per match over nine appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Inter’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Inter (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lautaro Martínez averages 3.7 shots per 90 over 1203 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Carlos Augusto averages 0.9 tackles per 90 over 618 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 31 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT · Serie A · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): AC Milan 4 · draws 2 · Inter 0 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: AC Milan 3W 0D 2L · Inter 4W 0D 1L

AC Milan v Inter (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 2.63

Goals

against 1.5 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

3.88 / 5.25

Corners

against 3.25 / 2.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5 / 7.63

Shots on target

against 4.25 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.75 / 2

Cards

against 2 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	AC Milan for / against	Line	Inter for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	2.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.88 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.25 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.75 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	21.38 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	7.63 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.88 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.63 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

AC Milan

AC Milan Goalkeeper

AC Milan — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Maignan	12	851017 min	322.8 /90	70.6 /90	00 /90
L. Torriani	1	5858 min	11.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90

AC Milan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Maignan n 8	82.1	3 8/4

AC Milan Defensive

AC Milan — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
S. Pavlović	12	891071 min	272.3 /90	80.7 /90	40.3 /90	816.8 /90	110.9 /90	30.3 /90
K. De Winter	12	881060 min	211.8 /90	131.1 /90	60.5 /90	494.2 /90	191.6 /90	20.2 /90
Mario Gila	8	81650 min	131.8 /90	81.1 /90	10.1 /90	344.7 /90	71 /90	10.1 /90
F. Tomori	4	63251 min	93.2 /90	41.4 /90	00 /90	155.4 /90	20.7 /90	10.4 /90
S. Bocoum	3	49146 min	31.8 /90	31.8 /90	00 /90	74.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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AC Milan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Pavlović n 8	88.9	1.1 5/2	1.5 6/3	—
K. De Winter n 8	87.5	1.5 7/4	0.8 4/2	—
M. Maignan n 8	82.1	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0	—
Gonçalo Ramos n 8	81.4	1.8 6/3	1.8 5/4	—
Y. Musah n 8	71.9	1.1 5/1	1.4 6/3	—
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AC Milan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Pavlović n 8	88.9	1.9 8/5
K. De Winter n 8	87.5	1.7 6/4
Gonçalo Ramos n 8	81.4	0.8 4/2
Y. Musah n 8	71.9	0.8 3/2
A. Rabiot n 8	68	2 7/2
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AC Milan Attacking

AC Milan — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Gonçalo Ramos	11	84921 min	30.3 /90	10.1 /90	262.5 /90	111.1 /90	50.5 /90	30.3 /90
A. Cissè	8	66528 min	71.2 /90	00 /90	132.2 /90	91.5 /90	30.5 /90	40.7 /90
A. Saelemaekers	5	44218 min	00 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	62.5 /90	20.8 /90
F. Camarda	2	4487 min	00 /90	00 /90	22.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	22.1 /90
Y. Musah	10	76755 min	00 /90	00 /90	30.4 /90	00 /90	40.5 /90	50.6 /90
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AC Milan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Pavlović n 8	88.9	0.6 5/0	0.3 2/0
K. De Winter n 8	87.5	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
M. Maignan n 8	82.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Gonçalo Ramos n 8	81.4	2.2 6/5	1 4/2
Y. Musah n 8	71.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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AC Milan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AC Milan before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Pavlović n 8	88.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
K. De Winter n 8	87.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Maignan n 8	82.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Gonçalo Ramos n 8	81.4	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Y. Musah n 8	71.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Inter

Inter Goalkeeper

Inter — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Josep Martínez	10	90900 min	313.1 /90	151.5 /90	00 /90
I. Provedel	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90

Inter — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Josep Martínez n 8	90	3.6 8/5

Inter Defensive

Inter — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Bastoni	11	82897 min	202 /90	70.7 /90	60.6 /90	393.9 /90	121.2 /90	40.4 /90
M. Akanji	10	82818 min	141.5 /90	182 /90	40.4 /90	444.8 /90	70.8 /90	30.3 /90
Y. Bisseck	10	80796 min	192.1 /90	121.4 /90	60.7 /90	414.6 /90	40.5 /90	10.1 /90
Carlos Augusto	9	69618 min	60.9 /90	111.6 /90	10.1 /90	355.1 /90	50.7 /90	10.1 /90
B. Pavard	4	63253 min	72.5 /90	31.1 /90	00 /90	134.6 /90	31.1 /90	00 /90
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Inter — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Barella n 8	78.5	0.6 4/0	1.1 6/2	—
A. Bastoni n 8	79.8	1.4 8/2	0.4 3/0	—
Andy Diouf n 8	71.9	0.8 4/1	0.8 3/2	—
M. Thuram n 8	79	2.3 8/5	2 5/5	—
Josep Martínez n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
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Inter — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Barella n 8	78.5	1.3 3/3
A. Bastoni n 8	79.8	1.7 6/4
Andy Diouf n 8	71.9	1.6 5/2
M. Thuram n 8	79	1.9 6/5
M. Akanji n 8	84.4	1.7 5/3
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Inter Attacking

Inter — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Thuram	11	69762 min	50.6 /90	20.2 /90	333.9 /90	151.8 /90	111.3 /90	91.1 /90
F. Esposito	9	58521 min	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	142.4 /90	91.6 /90	81.4 /90	10.2 /90
A. Bonny	8	39313 min	20.6 /90	00 /90	123.5 /90	92.6 /90	41.2 /90	41.2 /90
Lautaro Martínez	7	76532 min	61 /90	10.2 /90	305.1 /90	122 /90	122 /90	50.8 /90
Luis Henrique	6	38226 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.2 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90	52 /90
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Inter — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. Barella n 8	78.5	1.7 7/4	0.6 3/1
A. Bastoni n 8	79.8	0.8 4/2	0.3 2/0
Andy Diouf n 8	71.9	0.9 4/2	0.5 2/1
M. Thuram n 8	79	3.4 8/7	1.9 7/3
Josep Martínez n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Inter — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Barella n 8	78.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
A. Bastoni n 8	79.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Andy Diouf n 8	71.9	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
M. Thuram n 8	79	0.6 4/0	0.3 2/0
Josep Martínez n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind AC Milan v Inter — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

AC MilanWWLWL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

InterLWWWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

AC Milan 4 · 2 draws · Inter 0 · 2.33 goals/game

2026-03-08 AC Milan 1–0 Inter
2025-11-23 Inter 0–1 AC Milan
2025-04-23 Inter 0–3 AC Milan
2025-04-02 AC Milan 1–1 Inter
2025-02-02 AC Milan 1–1 Inter
2025-01-06 Inter 2–3 AC Milan

League standing · 2026/27

AC Milan#5 pos18 pts9 pl+7 GD

Inter#1 pos25 pts9 pl+15 GD

Goals per game

AC Milan scored2

Inter scored2.78

AC Milan conceded1.22

Inter conceded1.11

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win AC Milan v Inter?: TACTIX’s free model pick for AC Milan v Inter is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.65 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between AC Milan and Inter?: In their last 6 meetings, AC Milan won 4, Inter won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of AC Milan and Inter?: Recent form — AC Milan 3W 0D 2L; Inter 4W 0D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Oct 2026, 08:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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