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AS RomaSassuolo

AS Roma v Sassuolo prediction

Serie A · · Stadio Olimpico

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for AS Roma v Sassuolo, Serie A on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.32 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 274 landed (95% range 73.2–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 177 of 265 times (66.8%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

AS Roma host Sassuolo in Serie A on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is AS Roma to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

AS Roma have scored 28 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

AS Roma have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Sassuolo are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of AS Roma’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in eight of AS Roma’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, AS Roma have five wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.29 points per game, scoring 3.00 and conceding 1.29. AS Roma have conceded 10 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games).

11 of Sassuolo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 12 of Sassuolo’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). Away from home, Sassuolo have no wins, one draw and six defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.14 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 2.14. Sassuolo have scored 16 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Sassuolo have conceded 26 goals, the most of the 20 clubs.

AS Roma (third) and Sassuolo (17th) are 16 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AS Roma the stronger side, 543 rating points above Sassuolo (AS Roma 1947, Sassuolo 1403, after at least 314 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

AS Roma are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Sassuolo. The most recent meeting, on 10 January 2026, finished AS Roma 2–0 Sassuolo.

Team news

Predicted AS Roma XI (3-4-2-1): P. Gollini, E. Ndicka, Hermoso, G. Mancini, M. de Roon, B. Cristante, Wesley, N. Pisilli, N. Molina, M. Soulé, D. Malen — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Donyell Malen (6.4 per match over 13 appearances, 12 goals and three assists) and M. Soulé (4.9 per match over 14 appearances, four goals and five assists) have been AS Roma’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AS Roma (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Donyell Malen averages 3.9 shots per 90 over 1296 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. M. Soulé averages 2.8 shots per 90 over 984 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Sassuolo have five names on the availability list: D. Boloca (out, Muscle Bruise), E. Pieragnolo (out, Jumpers Knee), Fali Candé (out, Jumpers Knee), I. Koné (out, Broken Leg) and Y. Paz (out, Jumpers Knee) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-11-05. Predicted Sassuolo XI (4-2-3-1): S. Turati, J. Doig, D. Ćaleta-Car, C. Odenthal, S. Cinquegrano, N. Matić, D. Bakola, V. Adžić, L. Lipani, K. Thorstvedt, A. Laurienté — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Darryl Bakola (4.5 per match over 11 appearances, three assists) and Vasilije Adžić (3.7 per match over nine appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Sassuolo’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sassuolo (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Darryl Bakola averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 757 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances. Vasilije Adžić averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 771 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A · Stadio Olimpico
  • Referee: Marco Di Bello
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): AS Roma 4 · draws 1 · Sassuolo 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: AS Roma 3W 1D 1L · Sassuolo 0W 1D 4L

AS Roma v Sassuolo (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.88 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.75 / 2.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 4.13
Corners
against 4.88 / 5.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.13 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 6.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.63
Cards
against 2 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAS Roma for / againstLineSassuolo for / against
Goals scored
2.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5our book
1.63 for · 2.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 5.88 against n 8
Shots
16.13 for · 13.63 against n 8
19.5standard
11.5 for · 16.5 against n 8
Shots on target
6.13 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 6.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.75 for · 8.75 against n 8
21.5standard
9.38 for · 13.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8

AS Roma

AS Roma Goalkeeper

AS Roma — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
P. Gollini790630 min253.6 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Svilar690540 min172.8 /9030.5 /9000 /90
D. Vásquez19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
AS Roma — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Gollini n 890
3.15/5
M. Svilar n 890
2.87/5

AS Roma Defensive

AS Roma — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Hermoso1375972 min191.8 /90282.6 /9050.5 /90484.4 /90131.2 /9020.2 /90
G. Mancini1178860 min181.9 /90111.2 /9010.1 /90394.1 /90181.9 /9010.1 /90
E. Ndicka1082817 min50.6 /90161.8 /9030.3 /90404.4 /90161.8 /9010.1 /90
L. Balerdi1055554 min203.2 /90203.2 /9030.5 /90426.8 /90111.8 /9010.2 /90
D. Ghilardi656337 min123.2 /9061.6 /9010.3 /90338.8 /9071.9 /9010.3 /90
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AS Roma — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Soulé n 873.3
00/0
1.26/2
—
Hermoso n 868
1.24/2
0.84/1
—
D. Malen n 868.4
0.84/1
14/1
—
Wesley n 879.1
1.48/2
1.16/2
—
G. Mancini n 877.3
26/5
0.43/0
—
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AS Roma — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Soulé n 873.3
0.63/1
Hermoso n 868
1.56/2
D. Malen n 868.4
0.21/0
Wesley n 879.1
2.67/3
G. Mancini n 877.3
27/3
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AS Roma Attacking

AS Roma — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Soulé1467939 min40.4 /9050.5 /90302.9 /90141.3 /90232.2 /90272.6 /90
D. Malen1368889 min121.2 /9030.3 /90454.6 /90232.3 /90191.9 /90212.1 /90
S. Castro938345 min10.3 /9020.5 /90164.2 /9020.5 /9061.6 /9030.8 /90
P. Dybala879631 min00 /9040.6 /90223.1 /9081.1 /90273.9 /9050.7 /90
Wesley1280963 min00 /9030.3 /9050.5 /9000 /90262.4 /9060.6 /90
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AS Roma — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Soulé n 873.3
2.67/5
0.95/1
Hermoso n 868
14/1
0.32/0
D. Malen n 868.4
4.48/7
2.37/4
Wesley n 879.1
0.62/1
00/0
G. Mancini n 877.3
0.43/0
0.32/0
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AS Roma — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AS Roma before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Soulé n 873.3
0.32/0
0.62/2
Hermoso n 868
0.21/0
00/0
D. Malen n 868.4
15/1
0.32/0
Wesley n 879.1
00/0
0.32/0
G. Mancini n 877.3
00/0
0.11/0
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Sassuolo

Sassuolo Goalkeeper

Sassuolo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Murić890720 min374.6 /90131.6 /9000 /90
S. Turati390270 min82.7 /9020.7 /9000 /90
Sassuolo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Murić n 890
4.68/8
S. Turati n 889.1
2.77/3

Sassuolo Defensive

Sassuolo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Josh Doig1178854 min171.8 /90111.2 /9020.2 /90283 /9050.5 /9000 /90
S. Cinquegrano690540 min61 /9061 /9030.5 /90172.8 /9071.2 /9000 /90
F. Leysen667402 min92 /9040.9 /9051.1 /90235.1 /9040.9 /9010.2 /90
D. Ćaleta-Car588442 min71.4 /9071.4 /9051 /90193.9 /9040.8 /9000 /90
C. Odenthal585424 min71.5 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90132.8 /9030.6 /9000 /90
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Sassuolo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Laurienté n 878.9
1.14/2
2.37/6
—
Josh Doig n 876.6
0.43/0
0.42/1
—
Kieron Bowie n 843.1
1.85/2
2.13/3
—
N. Matić n 877.8
0.63/1
0.94/2
—
D. Bakola n 870.9
0.83/2
1.46/2
—
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Sassuolo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Laurienté n 878.9
14/1
Josh Doig n 876.6
1.67/4
Kieron Bowie n 843.1
0.83/0
N. Matić n 877.8
2.26/6
D. Bakola n 870.9
2.77/4
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Sassuolo Attacking

Sassuolo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Laurienté1182901 min20.2 /9010.1 /90262.6 /9090.9 /90161.6 /90222.2 /90
Kieron Bowie1152571 min10.2 /9000 /90142.2 /9060.9 /90121.9 /9010.2 /90
D. Berardi969620 min20.3 /9000 /90111.6 /9091.3 /90101.5 /9040.6 /90
B. Domínguez728193 min00 /9000 /9031.4 /9010.5 /9020.9 /9073.3 /90
S. Esposito670421 min20.4 /9010.2 /9051.1 /9030.6 /90102.1 /9030.6 /90
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Sassuolo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Laurienté n 878.9
1.96/3
0.63/1
Josh Doig n 876.6
0.64/0
0.11/0
Kieron Bowie n 843.1
1.86/1
0.83/0
N. Matić n 877.8
0.11/0
00/0
D. Bakola n 870.9
15/1
0.32/0
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Sassuolo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Laurienté n 878.9
0.31/1
0.11/0
Josh Doig n 876.6
0.11/0
00/0
Kieron Bowie n 843.1
0.31/0
00/0
N. Matić n 877.8
00/0
0.32/0
D. Bakola n 870.9
00/0
0.32/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind AS Roma v Sassuolo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AS RomaWDWWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 3.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
SassuoloDLLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 1.4 scored / 3.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
AS Roma 4 · 1 draw · Sassuolo 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-01-10 AS Roma 2–0 Sassuolo
  • 2025-10-26 Sassuolo 0–1 AS Roma
  • 2024-03-17 AS Roma 1–0 Sassuolo
  • 2023-12-03 Sassuolo 1–2 AS Roma
  • 2023-03-12 AS Roma 3–4 Sassuolo
  • 2022-11-09 Sassuolo 1–1 AS Roma
League standing · 2026/27
AS Roma#3 pos24 pts10 pl+18 GD
Sassuolo#17 pos8 pts10 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
AS Roma scored2.8
Sassuolo scored1.6
AS Roma conceded1
Sassuolo conceded2.6

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
Pro
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win AS Roma v Sassuolo?
TACTIX’s free model pick for AS Roma v Sassuolo is Home win (best price 1.32 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between AS Roma and Sassuolo?
In their last 6 meetings, AS Roma won 4, Sassuolo won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of AS Roma and Sassuolo?
Recent form — AS Roma 3W 1D 1L; Sassuolo 0W 1D 4L.

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