Atalanta v Napoli prediction
Team pages: Atalanta · Napoli · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Atalanta v Napoli, Serie A on Sun, 20 Dec 2026 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Atalanta host Napoli in Serie A on Sunday 20 December (kick-off 17:30 UK).
Form and the table
Eight of Atalanta’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Atalanta’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Atalanta have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 0.75. Atalanta have scored 10 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Atalanta have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-most of the 20 clubs.
Eight of Napoli’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Napoli’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Napoli have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.14. Napoli have scored 10 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Napoli have conceded seven goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Atalanta (11th) and Napoli (ninth) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Napoli the stronger side, 112 rating points above Atalanta (Napoli 1699, Atalanta 1587, after at least 349 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Atalanta 2–1 Napoli.
Team news
Predicted Atalanta XI (4-3-3): M. Carnesecchi, G. Scalvini, R. Bellanova, O. Kossounou, D. Zappacosta, Éderson, L. Samardžić, G. Gaetano, C. De Ketelaere, N. Krstović, G. Scamacca — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lazar Samardžić (3.3 per match over 10 appearances, one goal) and Marco Carnesecchi (3.3 per match over 10 appearances) have been Atalanta’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Atalanta (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lazar Samardžić averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 694 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Marco Carnesecchi averages 4.2 saves per 90 over 900 minutes, with two or more saves in 10 of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Napoli XI (4-3-3): A. Meret, A. Rrahmani, R. Marín, G. Di Lorenzo, L. Spinazzola, S. Lobotka, K. De Bruyne, B. Gilmour, R. Højlund, M. Politano, A. Santos — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Kevin De Bruyne (3.9 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and two assists) and Scott McTominay (3.9 per match over six appearances, two goals) have been Napoli’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Napoli (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Kevin De Bruyne averages 3.3 key passes per 90 over 1538 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Scott McTominay averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 871 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A · New Balance Arena
- Head-to-head (last 6): Atalanta 3 · draws 0 · Napoli 3 · 3.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Atalanta 2W 0D 3L · Napoli 2W 1D 2L
Atalanta v Napoli (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Atalanta for / against | Line | Napoli for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.5 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.13 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.5 for · 16.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.88 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.13 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 9.88 for · 8.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Atalanta
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Cassa n 4 | 11.3 | 6 | 2 | — |
| E. Elmas n 8 | 76.9 | 1.8 | 0.3 | — |
| F. Kessie n 8 | 74 | 1.8 | 0.5 | — |
| G. Raspadori n 8 | 49.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 | — |
| Éderson n 8 | 77.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Krstović n 8 | 76.4 | 3.8 | 2.1 |
| Gianluca Scamacca n 8 | 38.5 | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| G. Raspadori n 8 | 49.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| J. Rowe n 8 | 66.8 | 1.9 | 1 |
| L. Samardžić n 8 | 53.6 | 1.9 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Krstović n 8 | 76.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Gianluca Scamacca n 8 | 38.5 | 0.9 | 0 |
| G. Raspadori n 8 | 49.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| N. Zalewski n 8 | 57.5 | 0 | 0.6 |
| C. De Ketelaere n 8 | 72.4 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Samardžić n 8 | 53.6 | 2.3 |
| G. Gaetano n 8 | 64.1 | 1.8 |
| G. Scalvini n 8 | 79 | 1.6 |
| O. Kossounou n 8 | 90 | 1.5 |
| F. Kessie n 8 | 74 | 1.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Carnesecchi n 8 | 90 | 3.9 |
Napoli
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Lucca n 8 | 23.6 | 3.8 | 0.5 | — |
| K. De Bruyne n 8 | 74.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 | — |
| A. Vergara n 8 | 41.1 | 1.6 | 1.4 | — |
| B. Badiashile n 8 | 67 | 1.5 | 0.3 | — |
| Rafa Marín n 8 | 87.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Lang n 8 | 55.4 | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| S. McTominay n 8 | 74.4 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| Alisson Santos n 8 | 56.8 | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| R. Højlund n 8 | 77.3 | 2 | 1.2 |
| K. De Bruyne n 8 | 74.9 | 2 | 1.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. De Bruyne n 8 | 74.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| M. Politano n 8 | 51.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| A. Vergara n 8 | 41.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| R. Højlund n 8 | 77.3 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Billy Gilmour n 8 | 70.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Vergara n 8 | 41.1 | 5.2 |
| C. Favasuli n 8 | 57.4 | 3.9 |
| M. Olivera n 8 | 55.4 | 2.4 |
| Rafa Marín n 8 | 87.8 | 2.2 |
| B. Badiashile n 8 | 67 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| V. Milinković-Savić n 8 | 84.4 | 3.6 |
| A. Meret n 8 | 83.1 | 3.1 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Atalanta v Napoli — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-02-22 Atalanta 2–1 Napoli
- 2025-11-22 Napoli 3–1 Atalanta
- 2025-01-18 Atalanta 2–3 Napoli
- 2024-11-03 Napoli 0–3 Atalanta
- 2024-03-30 Napoli 0–3 Atalanta
- 2023-11-25 Atalanta 1–2 Napoli
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Atalanta and Napoli?
- In their last 6 meetings, Atalanta won 3, Napoli won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Atalanta and Napoli?
- Recent form — Atalanta 2W 0D 3L; Napoli 2W 1D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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