Atletico-MG v Vitoria result

Full-time · Atletico-MG 2–1 Vitoria

Serie A – Brazil · · Arena MRV

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Atletico-MG · Vitoria · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Atletico-MG 2–1 Vitoria — Atletico-MG won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.85 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 190 landed (95% range 70.9–82.7%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Atletico-MG beat Vitoria 2–1 at Arena MRV in Serie A – Brazil on Saturday 29 August.

Atletico-MG are unbeaten in their last 13 matches.

The goals

Atletico-MG led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Atletico-MG: T. Borbas (25’, assisted by Reinier) and Reinier (63’); Vitoria: Erick (87’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with T. Borbas’s goal on 25 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Atletico-MG 1.46, Vitoria 0.64, from 18 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Edina Alves Batista, Brazil showed three yellow cards — against 5.4 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Atletico-MG: A. Preciado (44’) and Mamady Cisse (59’); Vitoria: D. Tarzia (35’).

What it changes

Vitoria have lost their last three matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Reinier (Atletico-MG) 9.0, Alexsander (Atletico-MG) 7.0 and Erick (Vitoria) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Atletico-MG to win, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Atletico-MG next host Atletico Torque on 14 October 2026.

Vitoria next travel to Corinthians on 19 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Atletico-MG: Atletico-MG v Atletico Torque, Wednesday 14 October — the preview. Next for Vitoria: Corinthians v Vitoria, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Atletico-MG 2–1 Vitoria · Serie A – Brazil
  • Venue: Arena MRV · Belo Horizonte
  • Referee: Edina Alves Batista, Brazil
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Atletico-MG 0 · draws 2 · Vitoria 4 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Atletico-MG 2W 3D 0L · Vitoria 2W 0D 3L

Atletico-MG 2–1 Vitoria (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 14 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 0.63
Goals
against 0.63 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 5.38
Corners
against 5.25 / 4.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 5.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 2.75
Cards
against 2.25 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.44 yellows
Referee · Edina Alves Batista, Brazil
2.22 home / 3.22 away
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAtletico-MG for / againstLineVitoria for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 0.63 against n 8
2.5our book
0.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
12.25 for · 15.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13.25 for · 17.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 13.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.13 for · 14.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: Edina Alves Batista, Brazil — 5.44 yellow cards a game, 0.44 red cards, 24 fouls over 9 matches (2.22 to the home side, 3.22 to the away side).

Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Borbas n 824.9
4.16/2
2.72/1
—
Igor Gomes n 830
2.65/1
0.82/0
—
K. Castaño n 841.1
2.55/4
1.12/2
—
Mamady Cisse n 846
25/2
2.75/3
D. Tarzia
A. Preciado n 847.1
1.93/3
1.22/1
—
Atletico-MG — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Minda n 834.9
2.35/2
1.64/1
T. Borbas n 824.9
1.83/1
0.51/0
Renan Lodi n 887.5
1.57/3
0.64/1
Cuello n 875.4
1.56/2
0.73/2
Victor Hugo n 872.1
1.46/3
0.53/0
Atletico-MG — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Igor Gomes n 830
0.41/0
0.82/0
Cuello n 875.4
0.63/1
0.11/0
A. Minda n 834.9
0.31/0
0.31/0
Fred n 867.9
0.52/1
00/0
Vitor Hugo n 869.4
0.32/0
00/0
Atletico-MG — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Castaño n 841.1
2.75/2
A. Preciado n 847.1
2.43/2
T. Borbas n 824.9
2.32/2
Fred n 867.9
2.28/5
K. Pascini n 858
2.15/2
Atletico-MG — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Everson n 891.5
3.16/4
Vitoria
Vitoria — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Marinho n 825
2.73/2
5.47/4
—
Renato Kayzer n 842
2.46/2
1.93/2
—
Fabricio n 815.1
2.23/0
0.71/0
—
Emmanuel Martinez n 868
1.86/4
1.26/1
—
D. Tarzia n 850.4
1.86/2
2.96/4
Mamady Cisse
Vitoria — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Marinho n 825
2.74/1
0.92/0
T. Pochettino n 841.4
2.24/3
1.14/0
Rene n 874.8
2.17/5
0.93/3
Matheuzinho n 864.3
1.66/2
0.94/1
Osvaldo n 813.8
1.62/0
00/0
Vitoria — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Fabricio n 815.1
00/0
0.71/0
Marinho n 825
0.51/0
00/0
Rene n 874.8
0.31/1
00/0
Renato Kayzer n 842
0.31/0
00/0
Matheuzinho n 864.3
0.21/0
00/0
Vitoria — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ze Vitor n 867.1
47/6
Marinho n 825
3.65/2
Edenilson n 832.1
3.24/3
Jamerson n 863.3
38/5
Fabricio n 815.1
34/0
Vitoria — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lucas Arcanjo n 892.5
3.98/7

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Atletico-MGVitoria
61%Possession39%
1.46Expected goals (xG)0.64
18Shots14
8Shots on target3
6Shots off target4
4Blocked shots7
12Shots inside the box7
4Corners5
2Offsides0
12Fouls13
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves6
636Passes395
91%Pass accuracy83%

Atletico-MG player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Gabriel Delfim9000000007
Natanael9000000006.6
Vitão9000101007.5
A. Preciado90003102Y7.3
K. Pascini9000003106.5
T. Perez9000000507.3
Mamady Cisse90000014Y7.3
Alexsander8900333207.2
Reinier8911312108.6
A. Minda7500000106.6
T. Borbas6010211007
Gustavo Scarpa sub3000111006.7
Dudu sub1500001006.9
Vitor Hugo sub10000000–
Cauã Campos Soares sub10011000–

Vitoria player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Lucas Arcanjo9000000007.5
Caca9000100507.3
Luan Candido9000000206.3
Jamerson9000001006.2
T. Pochettino9000002306.7
Marinho9000210506.6
Caique Goncalves8100000206.3
Emmanuel Martinez6900000106.3
D. Tarzia69000000Y6
Alex Bruno6900000006.2
E. Brítez4500101106.3
Mateusinho sub4500103106.9
Matheuzinho sub2100001106.9
Erick sub2110111107.9
Rene sub2100001006.3
Walace sub900110006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Atletico-MG v Vitoria — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Atletico-MGWWDDD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
VitoriaWLWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Atletico-MG 0 · 2 draws · Vitoria 4 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-03-14 Vitoria 2–0 Atletico-MG
  • 2025-08-31 Vitoria 1–0 Atletico-MG
  • 2025-04-13 Atletico-MG 2–2 Vitoria
  • 2024-10-05 Atletico-MG 2–2 Vitoria
  • 2024-06-20 Vitoria 4–2 Atletico-MG
  • 2018-08-26 Vitoria 1–0 Atletico-MG
League standing · 2026
Atletico-MG#7 pos47 pts30 pl+6 GD
Vitoria#12 pos36 pts30 pl-11 GD
Goals per game
Atletico-MG scored1.37
Vitoria scored1.1
Atletico-MG conceded1.17
Vitoria conceded1.47

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Atletico-MG vs Vitoria?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Atletico-MG v Vitoria was Home win (best price 1.85 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Atletico-MG and Vitoria?
In their last 6 meetings, Atletico-MG won 0, Vitoria won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Atletico-MG and Vitoria?
Recent form — Atletico-MG 2W 3D 0L; Vitoria 2W 0D 3L.

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