This Matchweek

BolognaSassuolo

Bologna v Sassuolo result

Full-time · Bologna 2–2 Sassuolo

Serie A · · Renato Dall'Ara

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Bologna 2–2 Sassuolo — this Serie A match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.00 at Betfair
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 577 of 895 times (64.5%), against an average rating of 67.5%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Bologna: 3.05 to 1.85 in expected goals, from 21 shots to 15, ahead on xG from the 83rd minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Bologna and Sassuolo drew 2–2 at Renato Dall'Ara in Serie A on Sunday 6 September.

The goals

Sassuolo led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Sassuolo: Josh Doig (19’) and Vasilije Adžić (56’); Bologna: Roberto Piccoli (50’, assisted by Juan Miranda) and Artem Dovbyk (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Artem Dovbyk’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

M. Di Bello showed four yellow cards — against 2.1 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Bologna: Emil Holm (51’), Roberto Piccoli (53’) and Artem Dovbyk (90+1’); Sassuolo: Jay Idzes (54’).

What it changes

Bologna stay 15th after this result (three league matches played).

Sassuolo move up from 12th to 10th (three league matches played).

Bologna are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Sassuolo are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Sassuolo have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Vasilije Adžić (Sassuolo) 7.7, Josh Doig (Sassuolo) 6.2 and Emil Holm (Bologna) 5.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Bologna are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Sassuolo, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Bologna next host Udinese on 22 November 2026.

Sassuolo next host Genoa on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bologna: Bologna v Udinese, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Sassuolo: Sassuolo v Genoa, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Bologna 2–2 Sassuolo · Serie A
  • Venue: Renato Dall'Ara · Bologna
  • Referee: M. Di Bello
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bologna 3 · draws 3 · Sassuolo 0 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bologna 2W 1D 2L · Sassuolo 2W 1D 2L

Bologna 2–2 Sassuolo (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 20 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 3.14
Corners
against 4.38 / 4.43 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.25 / 5.86
Shots on target
against 3 / 4.29 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.38 / 1.71
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.57 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2.13 yellows
Referee · M. Di Bello
24.13 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBologna for / againstLineSassuolo for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5our book
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
3.14 for · 4.43 against n 7
Shots
11.38 for · 10 against n 8
19.5standard
15.14 for · 12.14 against n 7
Shots on target
3.25 for · 3 against n 8
8.5standard
5.86 for · 4.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.5 for · 13.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10.57 for · 11.57 against n 7
Cards shown
1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.71 for · 2.57 against n 7

Referee: M. Di Bello — 2.13 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 24.13 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Bologna

Bologna Goalkeeper

Bologna — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Ł. Skorupski290180 min31.5 /9021 /9000 /90
Bologna — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ł. Skorupski n 890
1.65/1

Bologna Defensive

Bologna — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Helland290180 min73.5 /9042 /9000 /90115.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
T. Heggem290180 min10.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9052.5 /9021 /9010.5 /90
Emil Holm24793 min43.9 /9000 /9000 /9076.8 /9000 /9000 /90
N. Zortea24487 min33.1 /9000 /9000 /9044.1 /9000 /9000 /90
Juan Miranda19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
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Bologna — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Ferguson n 881.5
1.86/4
0.84/2
—
E. Helland n 883.5
1.15/3
0.32/0
—
T. Heggem n 879.6
15/2
0.85/1
Josh Doig
Ł. Skorupski n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Nicolo Cambiaghi n 861.8
2.46/4
4.67/6
A. Laurienté
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Bologna — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Helland n 883.5
1.95/4
L. Ferguson n 881.5
1.76/4
T. Heggem n 879.6
1.35/2
Nicolo Cambiaghi n 861.8
1.85/3
J. Odgaard n 860.1
1.34/3
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Bologna Attacking

Bologna — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
R. Piccoli260120 min00 /9000 /9043 /9010.8 /9000 /9021.5 /90
R. Orsolini24080 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9022.3 /9000 /90
A. Dovbyk23060 min00 /9000 /9011.5 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Rowe13030 min00 /9000 /9013 /9013 /9000 /9013 /90
L. Ferguson290180 min00 /9000 /9021 /9010.5 /9042 /9010.5 /90
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Bologna — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Ferguson n 881.5
0.64/0
0.11/0
E. Helland n 883.5
0.42/1
0.11/0
T. Heggem n 879.6
0.11/0
00/0
Ł. Skorupski n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Odgaard n 860.1
1.75/3
0.74/0
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Bologna — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bologna before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ł. Skorupski n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Helland n 883.5
00/0
00/0
L. Ferguson n 881.5
00/0
00/0
T. Heggem n 879.6
00/0
00/0
J. Odgaard n 860.1
0.21/0
00/0
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Sassuolo

Sassuolo Goalkeeper

Sassuolo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Murić390270 min134.3 /9031 /9000 /90
Sassuolo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Murić n 890
3.98/5

Sassuolo Defensive

Sassuolo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Cinquegrano387262 min31 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9093.1 /9041.4 /9000 /90
Josh Doig380241 min62.2 /9020.7 /9000 /90103.7 /9020.7 /9000 /90
C. Odenthal290180 min10.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9021 /9021 /9000 /90
S. Cinquegrano290180 min21 /9021 /9010.5 /9052.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
T. Macchioni278156 min21.2 /9000 /9000 /9042.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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Sassuolo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Laurienté n 885.8
1.67/3
2.15/4
Nicolo Cambiaghi
D. Bakola n 663
13/1
1.73/3
—
A. Murić n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
S. Cinquegrano n 387.3
1.43/1
0.71/1
—
Josh Doig n 859.9
0.83/1
0.83/1
T. Heggem
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Sassuolo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Bakola n 663
4.36/5
A. Laurienté n 885.8
16/1
S. Cinquegrano n 387.3
13/0
Josh Doig n 859.9
2.15/3
C. Volpato n 859.9
1.56/2
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Sassuolo Attacking

Sassuolo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Laurienté390270 min00 /9000 /90134.3 /9051.7 /9093 /9041.3 /90
C. Volpato379238 min20.8 /9000 /9051.9 /9051.9 /90134.9 /9020.8 /90
Kieron Bowie375226 min00 /9000 /9072.8 /9031.2 /9052 /9000 /90
B. Domínguez32370 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /9045.1 /90
D. Berardi11818 min15 /9000 /9015 /9015 /90210 /9000 /90
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Sassuolo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Laurienté n 885.8
2.97/5
1.36/4
D. Bakola n 663
13/1
0.51/1
A. Murić n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Cinquegrano n 387.3
1.43/1
0.31/0
Josh Doig n 859.9
0.42/0
0.21/0
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Sassuolo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sassuolo before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Bakola n 663
00/0
0.52/0
A. Laurienté n 885.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Murić n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Cinquegrano n 387.3
00/0
0.31/0
Josh Doig n 859.9
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BolognaSassuolo
62%Possession38%
1.88Expected goals (xG)1.62
21Shots15
5Shots on target6
7Shots off target1
9Blocked shots8
14Shots inside the box9
10Corners7
0Offsides2
14Fouls8
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves3
556Passes356
93%Pass accuracy86%

Bologna Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Ferguson9000101408.2
T. Heggem9000000006.5
Emil Holm90000005Y7.9
R. Piccoli90102110Y7.2
A. Theate9000200106.3
Ł. Skorupski9000000006.6
F. Bernardeschi8600323007
Nicolo Cambiaghi6600002007
R. Alhassane4500100206.2
J. Odgaard4500000106.3
T. Pobega4500001006.3
N. Moro sub4500000006.9
Juan Miranda sub4501002107
M. Libra sub4500111206.3
A. Dovbyk sub24102110Y7.2
S. Mbangula sub1000000006.3

Sassuolo Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Leysen9000000407.5
A. Laurienté9000100007.2
J. Idzes90000010Y6.3
S. Cinquegrano9000000006.6
Kieron Bowie9000111106.9
A. Murić9000000007.3
N. Matić8000004207
Josh Doig8010110207.2
L. Lipani6000000106.2
Vasilije Adžić6010114107.9
C. Volpato3800000106.7
D. Berardi sub5200220107.2
I. Sulemana sub3000000007
K. Thorstvedt sub3000110106.3
A. Ghion sub1000000106.7
Rafael Obrador sub1000000106.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bologna v Sassuolo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BolognaWWDLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
SassuoloLWLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bologna 3 · 3 draws · Sassuolo 0 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-03-15 Sassuolo 0–1 Bologna
  • 2025-12-28 Bologna 1–1 Sassuolo
  • 2024-02-03 Bologna 4–2 Sassuolo
  • 2023-10-28 Sassuolo 1–1 Bologna
  • 2023-05-08 Sassuolo 1–1 Bologna
  • 2022-11-12 Bologna 3–0 Sassuolo
League standing · 2026/27
Bologna#8 pos17 pts11 pl+2 GD
Sassuolo#17 pos8 pts11 pl-13 GD
Goals per game
Bologna scored1.45
Sassuolo scored1.45
Bologna conceded1.27
Sassuolo conceded2.64

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Bologna 3.05 xG from 21 shots, Sassuolo 1.85 from 15. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Roberto Piccoli 84' · 0.43 xGFederico Bernardeschi 83' · 0.39 xGArmand Lauriente 9' · 0.36 xGArtem Dovbyk 73' · 0.34 xGKristian Thorstvedt 77' · 0.33 xGRahim Alhassane 46' · 0.31 xGArmand Lauriente 57' · 0.23 xGJens Odgaard 8' · 0.11 xGTorbjørn Heggem 66' · 0.09 xGVasilije Adzic 55' · 0.08 xGSimone Cinquegrano 63' · 0.08 xGEmil Holm 56' · 0.08 xGDomenico Berardi 63' · 0.07 xGKieron Bowie 37' · 0.07 xGMarco Libra 90' · 0.06 xGArthur Theate 66' · 0.06 xGRahim Alhassane 8' · 0.05 xGNicolò Cambiaghi 12' · 0.05 xGRoberto Piccoli 5' · 0.05 xGDomenico Berardi 41' · 0.04 xGNicolò Cambiaghi 12' · 0.04 xGFederico Bernardeschi 25' · 0.04 xGArthur Theate 25' · 0.03 xGVasilije Adzic 15' · 0.03 xGTommaso Pobega 17' · 0.03 xGLewis Ferguson 61' · 0.02 xGKieron Bowie 48' · 0.02 xGArmand Lauriente 35' · 0.02 xGDomenico Berardi 58' · 0.02 xGNicolò Cambiaghi 24' · 0.02 xGFederico Bernardeschi 32' · 0.02 xGNemanja Matic 3' · 0.01 xGArtem Dovbyk 90' · 0.54 xG · goalVasilije Adzic 55' · 0.37 xG · goalRoberto Piccoli 49' · 0.31 xG · goalJosh Doig 18' · 0.11 xG · goal
Bologna (attacking right)Sassuolo (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Bologna2123.05
Sassuolo1521.85

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Bologna 0.43, Sassuolo 0.65. At full time, Bologna led on xG, 3.05 to 1.85. The widest gap was 1.20 xG to Bologna, in the 90th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.01.500′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Sassuolo 18 minGoal - Bologna 49 minGoal - Sassuolo 55 minGoal - Bologna 90 min
Bologna 3.05 xGSassuolo 1.85 xGdots = goals · 36 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bologna v Sassuolo?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bologna v Sassuolo was Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.00 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Bologna and Sassuolo?
In their last 6 meetings, Bologna won 3, Sassuolo won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bologna and Sassuolo?
Recent form — Bologna 2W 1D 2L; Sassuolo 2W 1D 2L.

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