Cagliari v AC Milan prediction

Serie A · · Unipol Domus

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Cagliari · AC Milan · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Cagliari v AC Milan, Serie A on Sun, 29 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Cagliari host AC Milan in Serie A on Sunday 29 November (kick-off 17:30 UK).

The key numbers

AC Milan are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Cagliari’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Cagliari’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Cagliari have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.13. Cagliari have scored six goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Cagliari have conceded seven goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Eight of AC Milan’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of AC Milan’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, AC Milan have four wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.00. AC Milan have scored 14 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). AC Milan have conceded seven goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Cagliari (seventh) and AC Milan (fourth) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AC Milan the stronger side, 164 rating points above Cagliari (AC Milan 1754, Cagliari 1590, after at least 311 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished AC Milan 1–2 Cagliari.

Team news

Cagliari have one name on the availability list: Riyad Idrissi (out, Jumpers Knee) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-21. Predicted Cagliari XI (4-3-2-1): E. Caprile, A. Obert, Z. Pedro, J. Rodríguez, A. Deiola, A. Romano, H. Winks, M. Adopo, D. Maldini, J. Fazzini, P. Mendy — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Elia Caprile (4.1 per match over eight appearances) and Daniel Maldini (3.9 per match over nine appearances, four goals) have been Cagliari’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cagliari (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Elia Caprile averages 4.1 saves per 90 over 730 minutes, with two or more saves in eight of the last eight appearances. Daniel Maldini averages 1.3 shots per 90 over 703 minutes, with a shot in four of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted AC Milan XI (3-4-2-1): M. Maignan, S. Pavlović, K. De Winter, M. Gila, S. Chukwueze, Y. Musah, L. Modrić, A. Rabiot, P. Estupiñán, D. Moreira, G. Ramos — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Rabiot (4.9 per match over nine appearances, four goals and four assists) and Diego Moreira (4.6 per match over six appearances, three goals and one assist) have been AC Milan’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AC Milan (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Rabiot averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1397 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Diego Moreira averages 1.2 shots per 90 over 619 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A · Unipol Domus
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Cagliari 1 · draws 2 · AC Milan 3 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cagliari 3W 1D 1L · AC Milan 3W 1D 1L

Cagliari v AC Milan (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 2
Goals
against 1.13 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 3.63
Corners
against 5.75 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 3.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.25 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCagliari for / againstLineAC Milan for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
3.63 for · 3 against n 8
Shots
11 for · 18.38 against n 8
19.5standard
12.38 for · 10.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.13 for · 9.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10.25 for · 12.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
Cagliari
Cagliari — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Borrelli n 834.5
2.33/2
25/1
—
P. Mendy n 876.3
2.18/5
15/2
—
A. Fadera n 833.3
23/2
2.75/1
—
J. Liteta n 752.1
1.73/2
0.21/0
—
Kevin Carlos n 820.3
1.73/0
2.85/0
—
Cagliari — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Borrelli n 834.5
3.35/3
23/1
Kevin Carlos n 820.3
2.22/2
1.11/1
M'Bala Nzola n 843.9
1.84/2
13/1
A. Fadera n 833.3
1.73/2
0.31/0
P. Mendy n 876.3
1.66/4
0.75/0
Cagliari — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Maldini n 858.1
0.84/0
00/0
G. Borrelli n 834.5
0.72/0
00/0
M'Bala Nzola n 843.9
0.31/0
0.31/0
P. Mendy n 876.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Adopo n 882.1
00/0
0.32/0
Cagliari — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Fadera n 833.3
4.17/5
J. Liteta n 752.1
2.54/3
A. Obert n 888.3
2.36/5
A. Romano n 875.6
2.16/5
A. Deiola n 862.9
26/3
Cagliari — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Caprile n 891.3
4.18/6
B. Radunović n 884.4
2.56/5
AC Milan
AC Milan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Camarda n 818
3.12/2
1.32/0
—
A. Saelemaekers n 831.1
1.83/2
3.34/3
—
K. De Winter n 887.5
1.77/4
0.53/1
—
P. Estupiñán n 854.4
1.75/2
0.82/1
—
A. Cissè n 847.3
1.76/1
2.45/2
—
AC Milan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Cissè n 847.3
2.97/2
1.74/1
Gonçalo Ramos n 871.9
2.77/6
1.97/4
A. Rabiot n 866.3
27/5
0.85/0
F. Camarda n 818
1.93/0
00/0
Diego Moreira n 860.9
1.56/1
0.73/1
AC Milan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Cissè n 847.3
1.23/1
00/0
Gonçalo Ramos n 871.9
0.85/0
0.32/0
A. Rabiot n 866.3
0.53/0
0.32/0
Diego Moreira n 860.9
0.62/1
0.21/0
A. Saelemaekers n 831.1
0.41/0
0.41/0
AC Milan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Saelemaekers n 831.1
3.65/2
S. Pavlović n 878.1
2.68/6
A. Rabiot n 866.3
2.57/4
R. Loftus-Cheek n 841.4
2.43/1
D. Bartesaghi n 868.5
2.15/4
AC Milan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 19 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Maignan n 890
2.37/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Cagliari v AC Milan — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CagliariWWWDL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
AC MilanLWDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Cagliari 1 · 2 draws · AC Milan 3 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2026-05-24 AC Milan 1–2 Cagliari
  • 2026-01-02 Cagliari 0–1 AC Milan
  • 2025-01-11 AC Milan 1–1 Cagliari
  • 2024-11-09 Cagliari 3–3 AC Milan
  • 2024-05-11 AC Milan 5–1 Cagliari
  • 2024-01-02 AC Milan 4–1 Cagliari
League standing · 2026/27
Cagliari#7 pos13 pts7 pl-1 GD
AC Milan#4 pos15 pts7 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
Cagliari scored0.86
AC Milan scored2
Cagliari conceded1
AC Milan conceded1

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Cagliari and AC Milan?
In their last 6 meetings, Cagliari won 1, AC Milan won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cagliari and AC Milan?
Recent form — Cagliari 3W 1D 1L; AC Milan 3W 1D 1L.

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