Cagliari v Atalanta prediction
Team pages: Cagliari · Atalanta · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Cagliari v Atalanta, Serie A on Sun, 11 Apr 2027 17:30 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Cagliari host Atalanta in Serie A on Sunday 11 April (kick-off 17:30 UK).
Form and the table
Seven of Cagliari’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Cagliari’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Cagliari have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.13. Cagliari have scored six goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Cagliari have conceded seven goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Eight of Atalanta’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Atalanta’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Atalanta have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.86. Atalanta have scored 10 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Atalanta have conceded 11 goals, the ninth-most of the 20 clubs.
Cagliari (seventh) and Atalanta (11th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Atalanta the stronger side, 43 rating points above Cagliari (Atalanta 1633, Cagliari 1590, after at least 311 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 12 September 2026, finished Atalanta 1–2 Cagliari.
Team news
Predicted Cagliari XI (4-3-2-1): E. Caprile, A. Obert, Z. Pedro, J. Rodríguez, A. Deiola, A. Romano, H. Winks, M. Adopo, D. Maldini, J. Fazzini, P. Mendy — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Elia Caprile (4.1 per match over eight appearances) and Daniel Maldini (3.9 per match over nine appearances, four goals) have been Cagliari’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cagliari (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Elia Caprile averages 4.1 saves per 90 over 730 minutes, with two or more saves in eight of the last eight appearances. Daniel Maldini averages 1.3 shots per 90 over 703 minutes, with a shot in four of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Atalanta XI (4-3-3): M. Carnesecchi, G. Scalvini, R. Bellanova, O. Kossounou, D. Zappacosta, Éderson, L. Samardžić, G. Gaetano, C. De Ketelaere, N. Krstović, G. Scamacca — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lazar Samardžić (3.3 per match over 10 appearances, one goal) and Marco Carnesecchi (3.3 per match over 10 appearances) have been Atalanta’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Atalanta (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lazar Samardžić averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 694 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Marco Carnesecchi averages 4.2 saves per 90 over 900 minutes, with two or more saves in 10 of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A · Unipol Domus
- Head-to-head (last 6): Cagliari 3 · draws 1 · Atalanta 2 · 2.5 goals/game
- Recent form: Cagliari 3W 1D 1L · Atalanta 2W 0D 3L
Cagliari v Atalanta (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Cagliari for / against | Line | Atalanta for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.25 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11 for · 18.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14.13 for · 15.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.13 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.13 for · 9 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
Cagliari
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Borrelli n 8 | 34.5 | 2.3 | 2 | — |
| P. Mendy n 8 | 76.3 | 2.1 | 1 | — |
| A. Fadera n 8 | 33.3 | 2 | 2.7 | — |
| J. Liteta n 7 | 52.1 | 1.7 | 0.2 | — |
| Kevin Carlos n 8 | 20.3 | 1.7 | 2.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Borrelli n 8 | 34.5 | 3.3 | 2 |
| Kevin Carlos n 8 | 20.3 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| M'Bala Nzola n 8 | 43.9 | 1.8 | 1 |
| A. Fadera n 8 | 33.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| P. Mendy n 8 | 76.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Maldini n 8 | 58.1 | 0.8 | 0 |
| G. Borrelli n 8 | 34.5 | 0.7 | 0 |
| M'Bala Nzola n 8 | 43.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| P. Mendy n 8 | 76.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| M. Adopo n 8 | 82.1 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Fadera n 8 | 33.3 | 4.1 |
| J. Liteta n 7 | 52.1 | 2.5 |
| A. Obert n 8 | 88.3 | 2.3 |
| A. Romano n 8 | 75.6 | 2.1 |
| A. Deiola n 8 | 62.9 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Caprile n 8 | 91.3 | 4.1 |
| B. Radunović n 8 | 84.4 | 2.5 |
Atalanta
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Cassa n 4 | 11.3 | 6 | 2 | — |
| E. Elmas n 8 | 76.9 | 1.8 | 0.3 | — |
| F. Kessie n 8 | 74 | 1.8 | 0.5 | — |
| G. Raspadori n 8 | 49.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 | — |
| Éderson n 8 | 77.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Krstović n 8 | 76.4 | 3.8 | 2.1 |
| Gianluca Scamacca n 8 | 38.5 | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| G. Raspadori n 8 | 49.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| J. Rowe n 8 | 66.8 | 1.9 | 1 |
| L. Samardžić n 8 | 53.6 | 1.9 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Krstović n 8 | 76.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Gianluca Scamacca n 8 | 38.5 | 0.9 | 0 |
| G. Raspadori n 8 | 49.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| N. Zalewski n 8 | 57.5 | 0 | 0.6 |
| C. De Ketelaere n 8 | 72.4 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Samardžić n 8 | 53.6 | 2.3 |
| G. Gaetano n 8 | 64.1 | 1.8 |
| G. Scalvini n 8 | 79 | 1.6 |
| O. Kossounou n 8 | 90 | 1.5 |
| F. Kessie n 8 | 74 | 1.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Carnesecchi n 8 | 90 | 3.9 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Cagliari v Atalanta — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-09-12 Atalanta 1–2 Cagliari
- 2026-04-27 Cagliari 3–2 Atalanta
- 2025-12-13 Atalanta 2–1 Cagliari
- 2025-02-15 Atalanta 0–0 Cagliari
- 2024-12-14 Cagliari 0–1 Atalanta
- 2024-04-07 Cagliari 2–1 Atalanta
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Cagliari and Atalanta?
- In their last 6 meetings, Cagliari won 3, Atalanta won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Cagliari and Atalanta?
- Recent form — Cagliari 3W 1D 1L; Atalanta 2W 0D 3L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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