Cagliari v Fiorentina result

Full-time · Cagliari 1–1 Fiorentina

Serie A · Sun, 24 Aug 2025 17:30 BST · Unipol Domus

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Cagliari · Fiorentina · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Cagliari 1–1 Fiorentina — this Serie A match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Cagliari: 1.52 to 1.14 in expected goals, from 14 shots to 4, ahead on xG from the 84th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Cagliari and Fiorentina drew 1–1 at Unipol Domus in Serie A on Sunday 24 August.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Fiorentina: Rolando Mandragora (68’, assisted by Albert Guðmundsson); Cagliari: S. Luperto (90’, assisted by Gianluca Gaetano).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with S. Luperto’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

Simone Sozza, Italy showed six yellow cards — against 4.7 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Cagliari: Adam Obert (43’), Gennaro Borrelli (45+1’), L. Mazzitelli (82’) and Semih Kılıçsoy (90+7’); Fiorentina: Marin Pongračić (71’) and Pablo Marí (79’).

What it changes

Cagliari are fourth (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Fiorentina are fourth (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Cagliari are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Fiorentina are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. Fiorentina have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina) 7.0, S. Luperto (Cagliari) 4.8 and Gianluca Gaetano (Cagliari) 3.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Cagliari next travel to Monza on 19 October 2026.

Fiorentina next travel to Inter on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Cagliari: Monza v Cagliari, Monday 19 October — the preview. Next for Fiorentina: Inter v Fiorentina, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Cagliari 1–1 Fiorentina · Serie A
Venue: Unipol Domus · Cagliari
Referee: Simone Sozza, Italy
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Cagliari 0 · draws 1 · Fiorentina 5 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: Cagliari 1W 1D 3L · Fiorentina 3W 1D 1L

Cagliari 1–1 Fiorentina (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.88

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.13 / 4.63

Corners

against 4.88 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3 / 5.13

Shots on target

against 3.38 / 4.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.25 / 3.63

Cards

against 1.88 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.71 yellows

Referee · Simone Sozza, Italy

2.29 home / 2.43 away

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Cagliari for / against	Line	Fiorentina for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.13 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.63 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	9.25 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.88 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.13 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.75 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.88 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	3.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Simone Sozza, Italy — 4.71 yellow cards a game, 0.29 red cards, 24.43 fouls over 7 matches (2.29 to the home side, 2.43 to the away side).

Home 2.29Away 2.43

Cagliari

Cagliari — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Pavoletti n 8	20.5	5.5 6/2	2.2 2/1	—
M. Folorunsho n 8	45.4	2.7 7/2	2.2 4/2	M. Folorunsho
F. Coman n 8	29.6	2.7 5/1	2.7 5/2	—
K. Mutandwa n 8	37.3	2.4 4/3	0.6 2/0	—
A. Deiola n 8	50.9	2 4/3	0.4 2/0	—

Cagliari — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Piccoli n 8	86.4	2.5 7/6	1.4 7/3
L. Pavoletti n 8	20.5	2.2 3/1	1.1 2/0
K. Mutandwa n 8	37.3	1.8 4/2	0.3 1/0
G. Gaetano n 8	23.3	1.5 2/1	1 1/1
N. Viola n 8	53	1.3 4/2	0.4 2/0

Cagliari — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
G. Gaetano n 8	23.3	0.5 1/0	1 2/0
K. Mutandwa n 8	37.3	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
R. Piccoli n 8	86.4	0.5 4/0	0 0/0
N. Zortea n 8	72.6	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
L. Pavoletti n 8	20.5	0.5 1/0	0 0/0

Cagliari — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Riyad Idrissi n 4	63	2.9 3/3
Y. Mina n 8	86.1	2.4 7/6
A. Obert n 8	50	2.3 5/3
J. L. Palomino n 8	75.5	2.2 6/5
M. Folorunsho n 8	45.4	2.2 5/3

Cagliari — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Sherri n 8	88.1	2.7 6/4
E. Caprile n 8	91.1	1.5 4/0

Fiorentina

Fiorentina — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Colpani n 8	30.5	3.3 5/2	3 5/3	—
N. Zaniolo n 8	30	3 5/1	2.3 3/2	—
M. Folorunsho n 8	45.4	2.7 7/2	2.2 4/2	M. Folorunsho
L. Beltrán n 8	52.6	2.6 6/3	3 7/4	—
F. Parisi n 8	43.8	2.3 6/2	1.3 5/0	—

Fiorentina — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Kean n 8	82.4	3 7/7	1.8 4/4
E. Džeko n 8	52.5	3 5/3	1.1 3/2
Rolando Mandragora n 8	92.6	1.8 7/4	0.9 5/1
J. Fazzini n 8	74.1	1.8 6/3	0.9 5/1
N. Zaniolo n 8	30	1.5 4/0	0.8 2/0

Fiorentina — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Y. Adli n 8	34.8	0.3 1/0	1 3/0
J. Fazzini n 8	74.1	0.6 4/0	0.2 1/0
R. Gosens n 8	82.6	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
A. Guðmundsson n 8	69.9	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
Rolando Mandragora n 8	92.6	0.2 2/0	0.2 2/0

Fiorentina — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Sabiri n 8	42	3.5 4/3
F. Parisi n 8	43.8	3.3 5/3
A. Richardson n 8	56	2.2 4/2
M. Folorunsho n 8	45.4	2.2 5/3
R. Gosens n 8	82.6	1.9 7/3

Fiorentina — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
David de Gea n 8	93.8	3 6/5

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Cagliari		Fiorentina
45%	Possession	55%
1.13	Expected goals (xG)	0.98
14	Shots	4
6	Shots on target	1
7	Shots off target	2
1	Blocked shots	1
10	Shots inside the box	2
3	Corners	2
1	Offsides	4
18	Fouls	14
4	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
0	Saves	4
356	Passes	439
82%	Pass accuracy	83%

Cagliari player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
E. Caprile	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
G. Zappa	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.6
Y. Mina	90	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	7.7
S. Luperto	90	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	7.6
M. Adopo	90	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	6.9
M. Folorunsho	90	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	6.2
G. Borrelli	81	0	0	2	1	0	2	Y	6.3
A. Obert	75	0	0	0	0	1	3	Y	6.9
A. Deiola	74	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.3
M. Prati	61	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
S. Esposito	61	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	6.6
L. Mazzitelli sub	29	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.6
Zito Luvumbo sub	29	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	6.3
G. Gaetano sub	16	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	7.2
Riyad Idrissi sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
S. Kılıçsoy sub	9	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.3

Fiorentina player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
David de Gea	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
M. Pongračić	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	Y	6.9
Dodô	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
S. Sohm	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.2
N. Fagioli	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	7.5
M. Kean	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
R. Gosens	77	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
A. Guðmundsson	72	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	6.3
P. Comuzzo	62	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
L. Ranieri	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.2
C. Ndour	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
M. Viti sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	6.3
Rolando Mandragora sub	45	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	7.6
Pablo Marí sub	28	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	5.9
J. Fazzini sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
F. Parisi sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Cagliari v Fiorentina — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

CagliariLLWLD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

FiorentinaDLWWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Cagliari 0 · 1 draw · Fiorentina 5 · 2.83 goals/game

2025-04-23 Cagliari 1–2 Fiorentina
2024-12-08 Fiorentina 1–0 Cagliari
2024-05-23 Cagliari 2–3 Fiorentina
2023-10-02 Fiorentina 3–0 Cagliari
2022-01-23 Cagliari 1–1 Fiorentina
2021-10-24 Fiorentina 3–0 Cagliari

League standing · 2025/26

Cagliari#14 pos43 pts38 pl-13 GD

Fiorentina#15 pos42 pts38 pl-9 GD

Goals per game

Cagliari scored1.05

Fiorentina scored1.08

Cagliari conceded1.39

Fiorentina conceded1.32

Shot map and expected goals

Cagliari 1.52 xG from 14 shots, Fiorentina 1.14 from 4. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Cagliari (attacking right)Fiorentina (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Cagliari	14	1	1.52
Fiorentina	4	1	1.14

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Cagliari v Fiorentina?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Cagliari v Fiorentina was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Cagliari and Fiorentina?: In their last 6 meetings, Cagliari won 0, Fiorentina won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cagliari and Fiorentina?: Recent form — Cagliari 1W 1D 3L; Fiorentina 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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