Monza v Cagliari prediction
TACTIX’s free model pick for Monza vs Cagliari, Serie A on Mon, 19 Oct 2026 17:30 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Monza host Cagliari in Serie A on Monday 19 October (kick-off 17:30 UK).
The key numbers
Monza have scored in eight consecutive matches.
Cagliari have scored in five consecutive matches. Cagliari are unbeaten in their last four matches.
Form and the table
10 of Monza’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Monza’s last 15 results (67%). At home, Monza have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.29. Monza have scored nine goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Monza have conceded 15 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.
Six of Cagliari’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Cagliari’s last 15 results (40%). Away from home, Cagliari have four wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 6 away matches — 2.17 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 0.83. Cagliari have scored six goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Cagliari have conceded three goals, the fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.
Monza (16th) and Cagliari (fourth) are nine points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Cagliari the stronger side, 404 rating points above Monza (Cagliari 1744, Monza 1339, after at least 120 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 30 March 2025, finished Cagliari 3–0 Monza.
Team news
Predicted Monza XI (3-4-2-1): D. Thiam, E. Kouadio, A. Carboni, L. Lucchesi, S. Birindelli, E. Akinsanmiro, R. Mangas, M. Folorunsho, M. Ondoa, M. Mout, G. Varela — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Gustavo Varela (5.6 per match over six appearances, six goals) and Jay Robinson (4.1 per match over five appearances, one goal) have been Monza’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Monza (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Gustavo Varela averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 509 minutes, with a shot in six of the last six appearances. Jay Robinson averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 314 minutes, with a shot in four of the last five appearances.
Cagliari have one name on the availability list: Riyad Idrissi (out, Jumpers Knee) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-12. Predicted Cagliari XI (5-3-2): E. Caprile, A. Obert, Z. Pedro, J. Rodríguez, A. Deiola, Y. Mina, A. Romano, H. Winks, M. Adopo, P. Mendy, A. Fadera — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Daniel Maldini (4.1 per match over eight appearances, four goals) and Elia Caprile (4.1 per match over seven appearances) have been Cagliari’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cagliari (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Daniel Maldini averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 636 minutes, with a shot in five of the last 10 appearances. Elia Caprile averages 4.4 saves per 90 over 640 minutes, with two or more saves in seven of the last seven appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Serie A
- Head-to-head (last 4): Monza 1 · draws 1 · Cagliari 2 · 2.25 goals/game
- Recent form: Monza 2W 1D 2L · Cagliari 3W 1D 1L
TACTIX runs Monza v Cagliari (Serie A) through its calibrated model across every major market, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 13 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Monza for / against | Line | Cagliari for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.13 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.75 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15.88 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10.88 for · 18.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6.13 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.75 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.38 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.38 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Monza
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bakoune n 8 | 45.3 | 2.7 | 0.7 | — |
| C. Ngonge n 8 | 46.9 | 2.2 | 2.2 | — |
| L. Lucchesi n 8 | 69.1 | 2.1 | 0.8 | — |
| P. Cutrone n 8 | 55.6 | 2 | 1.8 | — |
| E. Akinsanmiro n 8 | 68.8 | 1.6 | 1.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| P. Cutrone n 8 | 55.6 | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| Y. Maye n 4 | 32.8 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| Dany Mota n 8 | 51 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| A. Colpani n 8 | 49.5 | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| E. Zeballos n 8 | 46.4 | 2.4 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Varela n 8 | 80.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| Ricardo Mangas n 8 | 75.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| P. Cutrone n 8 | 55.6 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Dany Mota n 8 | 51 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| E. Zeballos n 8 | 46.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Bakoune n 8 | 45.3 | 5 |
| M. Mout n 6 | 39.5 | 3.4 |
| E. Kouadio n 8 | 88.9 | 3.2 |
| Jay Robinson n 8 | 44 | 3.1 |
| Y. Maye n 4 | 32.8 | 2.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Törnqvist n 8 | 90 | 3 |
| S. Pizzignacco n 8 | 89.1 | 2.1 |
| D. Thiam n 8 | 91.1 | 1.5 |
Cagliari
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Fadera n 8 | 30.6 | 2.6 | 2.6 | — |
| P. Mendy n 8 | 70.6 | 2.2 | 1 | — |
| G. Borrelli n 8 | 40.4 | 2 | 2.5 | — |
| J. Liteta n 6 | 59.3 | 1.8 | 0 | — |
| Y. Trepy n 8 | 18.3 | 1.8 | 1.8 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Borrelli n 8 | 40.4 | 3.1 | 2 |
| Y. Trepy n 8 | 18.3 | 2.5 | 0.6 |
| D. Maldini n 8 | 53.1 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Kevin Carlos n 8 | 17.5 | 1.9 | 0 |
| P. Mendy n 8 | 70.6 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. Maldini n 8 | 53.1 | 0.8 | 0 |
| G. Borrelli n 8 | 40.4 | 0.6 | 0 |
| P. Mendy n 8 | 70.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| A. Fadera n 8 | 30.6 | 0 | 0.4 |
| M. Adopo n 8 | 83.4 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Fadera n 8 | 30.6 | 4 |
| J. Liteta n 6 | 59.3 | 2.5 |
| A. Obert n 8 | 82.6 | 2.2 |
| A. Romano n 8 | 71.1 | 2.1 |
| A. Deiola n 8 | 68.5 | 1.8 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Caprile n 8 | 91.3 | 4.1 |
| B. Radunović n 8 | 84.4 | 2.5 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Monza v Cagliari — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-03-30 Cagliari 3–0 Monza
- 2025-01-05 Monza 1–2 Cagliari
- 2024-03-16 Monza 1–0 Cagliari
- 2023-11-26 Cagliari 1–1 Monza
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Monza and Cagliari?
- In their last 4 meetings, Monza won 1, Cagliari won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.25 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Monza and Cagliari?
- Recent form — Monza 2W 1D 2L; Cagliari 3W 1D 1L.
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Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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