Corinthians v Gremio prediction

Serie A – Brazil · · Neo Quimica Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Corinthians v Gremio, Serie A – Brazil on Sun, 29 Nov 2026 21:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Corinthians host Gremio in Serie A – Brazil on Sunday 29 November (kick-off 21:00 UK).

The key numbers

Corinthians are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions. Gremio are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Corinthians are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Gremio, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Eight of Corinthians’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Corinthians’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Corinthians have two wins, no draws and five defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.86 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.43. Corinthians have scored 31 goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Corinthians have conceded 38 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Six of Gremio’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Gremio’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Gremio have no wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.43 points per game, scoring 0.57 and conceding 1.43. Gremio have scored 32 goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Gremio have conceded 40 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Corinthians (16th) and Gremio (18th) are one point apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Gremio the stronger side, 18 rating points above Corinthians (Gremio 1440, Corinthians 1421, after at least 334 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 30 May 2026, finished Gremio 1–3 Corinthians.

Team news

Predicted Corinthians XI (4-2-3-1): H. Souza, G. Henrique, M. Bidu, Matheuzinho, G. Paulista, Raniele, R. Garro, K. César, B. Bidon, Allan, G. Negão — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Matheus Bidu (3.7 per match over 36 appearances, three goals and two assists) and Kaio César (3.6 per match over 29 appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Corinthians’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Corinthians (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Matheus Bidu averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 3121 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Kaio César averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 1910 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Gremio XI (4-1-4-1): Weverton, D. Caito, G. Martins, W. Kannemann, C. Paulista, M. Villasanti, F. Krovinović, E. Noriega, D. Barbosa, Tetê, C. Vinícius — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Cristian Pavón (4.2 per match over 39 appearances, four goals and five assists) and Wallace (3.8 per match over 14 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Gremio’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Gremio (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Cristian Pavón averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 3030 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last 10 appearances. Wallace averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 1357 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A – Brazil · Neo Quimica Arena
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Corinthians 3 · draws 3 · Gremio 0 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Corinthians 0W 0D 5L · Gremio 0W 3D 2L

Corinthians v Gremio (Serie A – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 1.38
Goals
against 2 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 3.5
Corners
against 5.38 / 7.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 6 / 7 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3 / 3.5
Cards
against 3.5 / 2.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCorinthians for / againstLineGremio for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 2 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
3.5 for · 7.25 against n 8
Shots
13.38 for · 14.5 against n 8
19.5standard
11.75 for · 21.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 6 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 7 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 18.5 against n 8
21.5standard
13.13 for · 14.88 against n 8
Cards shown
3 for · 3.5 against n 8
3.5standard
3.5 for · 2.75 against n 8
Corinthians
Corinthians — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Jesse Lingard n 827.9
3.25/2
0.82/0
—
Charles n 839.1
2.34/2
1.43/1
—
Andre n 854
2.16/3
0.62/1
—
Rodrigo Garro n 881.4
1.78/4
3.27/6
—
Yuri Alberto n 878.6
1.76/3
0.42/1
—
Corinthians — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Yuri Alberto n 878.6
2.36/6
1.46/4
Gui Negão n 830.5
2.25/1
0.72/0
M. Depay n 880.9
2.18/4
0.74/1
Pedro Raul n 817.4
1.92/1
1.32/0
Matheus Bidu n 883.5
1.26/2
0.32/0
Corinthians — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Yuri Alberto n 878.6
0.31/1
0.31/1
Andre n 854
0.21/0
0.21/0
Gui Negão n 830.5
0.41/0
00/0
Gustavo Henrique n 891.9
0.22/0
0.11/0
Kaio César n 882.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
Corinthians — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Charles n 839.1
3.25/3
Matheuzinho n 869.3
2.97/5
Raniele n 885.3
2.87/6
Breno Bidon n 852.9
2.65/4
Pedro Milans n 868
1.86/3
Corinthians — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Kauê n 690.7
45/5
Hugo Souza n 891.9
3.76/6
Gremio
Gremio — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Zortéa n 520.6
4.43/2
0.91/0
—
Erick Noriega n 869
3.16/6
0.31/1
—
Jovane Cabral n 838.8
2.35/1
4.47/4
—
Walter Kannemann n 871.4
26/4
1.65/3
—
João Pedro n 859.4
1.96/4
0.42/0
—
Gremio — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
José Enamorado n 828.1
2.43/1
0.81/1
Tetê n 836.8
2.15/2
0.93/0
Zortéa n 520.6
1.72/0
00/0
F. Krovinović n 882.4
1.68/3
0.43/0
Carlos Vinícius n 876.1
1.66/2
0.94/1
Gremio — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Gustavo Martins n 866.8
0.52/1
00/0
Cristian Pavón n 874.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
José Enamorado n 828.1
00/0
0.41/0
Carlos Vinícius n 876.1
0.31/1
00/0
F. Amuzu n 868.3
00/0
0.31/1
Gremio — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Marlon n 884.9
3.47/6
Zortéa n 520.6
2.62/1
Juan Nardoni n 841.4
1.95/1
Tetê n 836.8
1.83/2
Mathias Villasanti n 887.3
1.77/3
Gremio — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Weverton n 890
5.88/7

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Corinthians v Gremio — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CorinthiansLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.8 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
GremioLLDDD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Corinthians 3 · 3 draws · Gremio 0 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2026-05-30 Gremio 1–3 Corinthians
  • 2025-11-02 Corinthians 2–0 Gremio
  • 2025-06-12 Gremio 1–1 Corinthians
  • 2024-12-08 Gremio 0–3 Corinthians
  • 2024-08-08 Gremio 0–0 Corinthians
  • 2024-08-01 Corinthians 0–0 Gremio
League standing · 2026
Corinthians#16 pos32 pts30 pl-7 GD
Gremio#18 pos31 pts30 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Corinthians scored1.03
Gremio scored1.07
Corinthians conceded1.27
Gremio conceded1.33

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Corinthians and Gremio?
In their last 6 meetings, Corinthians won 3, Gremio won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Corinthians and Gremio?
Recent form — Corinthians 0W 0D 5L; Gremio 0W 3D 2L.

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