Cruzeiro v Bahia prediction

Serie A – Brazil · · Estádio Mineirão

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Cruzeiro · Bahia · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Cruzeiro v Bahia, Serie A – Brazil on Fri, 06 Nov 2026 00:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Cruzeiro host Bahia in Serie A – Brazil on Friday 6 November (kick-off 00:30 UK).

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 13 of Cruzeiro’s last 15 results in all competitions (87%).

Cruzeiro have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Cruzeiro’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). At home, Cruzeiro have five wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.43 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 0.71. Cruzeiro have scored 51 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Cruzeiro have conceded 46 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Bahia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Bahia’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Bahia have two wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.25. Bahia have scored 48 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs (2026 so far). Bahia have conceded 42 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Cruzeiro (third) and Bahia (sixth) are one point apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Cruzeiro the stronger side, 45 rating points above Bahia (Cruzeiro 1721, Bahia 1676, after at least 260 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Cruzeiro are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Bahia. The most recent meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Bahia 1–2 Cruzeiro.

Team news

Predicted Cruzeiro XI (4-2-3-1): O. Costa, J. Jesus, W. Furtado, J. Marcelo, L. Villalba, M. Pereira, Gerson, L. Romero, Z. Lucas, M. Henrique, K. Jorge — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Matheus Pereira (4.6 per match over 43 appearances, 13 goals and nine assists) and Kaiki (4.0 per match over 24 appearances, three assists) have been Cruzeiro’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Cruzeiro (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Matheus Pereira averages 3.2 key passes per 90 over 3649 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Kaiki averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 2576 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Bahia XI (4-3-3): Ronaldo, D. Duarte, L. Juba, M. Victor, M. Moreno, R. Nestor, J. Lucas, N. Acevedo, A. Véliz, E. Pulga, C. Olivera — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Luciano Juba (4.0 per match over 33 appearances, 11 goals and one assist) and Nicolás Acevedo (3.5 per match over 33 appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Bahia’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Bahia (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Luciano Juba averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 2823 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Nicolás Acevedo averages 0.5 key passes per 90 over 2721 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Serie A – Brazil · Estádio Mineirão
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Cruzeiro 4 · draws 1 · Bahia 1 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Cruzeiro 4W 0D 1L · Bahia 2W 1D 2L

Cruzeiro v Bahia (Serie A – Brazil): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 5.75
Corners
against 7.5 / 8.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.38 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 6.75 / 8 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 29 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameCruzeiro for / againstLineBahia for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 7.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.75 for · 8.75 against n 8
Shots
15.38 for · 20.25 against n 8
19.5standard
12.75 for · 17.75 against n 8
Shots on target
6.38 for · 6.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 8 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.63 for · 15.75 against n 8
21.5standard
15 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.25 against n 8

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro Goalkeeper

Cruzeiro — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Otávio Costa31902805 min1093.5 /90270.9 /9000 /90
Matheus Cunha1186948 min171.6 /90131.2 /9000 /90
Cássio587433 min142.9 /90102.1 /9000 /90
Cruzeiro — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cruzeiro before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Otávio Costa n 890
5.18/7
Matheus Cunha n 890
1.53/1

Cruzeiro Defensive

Cruzeiro — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Fabrício Bruno39893467 min360.9 /90310.8 /90250.6 /901453.8 /90220.6 /90100.3 /90
Jonathan Jesus33842780 min511.7 /90521.7 /90190.6 /901304.2 /90240.8 /9050.2 /90
Fagner26771991 min462.1 /90190.9 /9080.4 /90964.3 /90321.4 /9060.3 /90
Kaiki24892134 min632.7 /90220.9 /9060.3 /901586.7 /90492.1 /9030.1 /90
Lucas Villalba21741544 min191.1 /90271.6 /9070.4 /90553.2 /90231.3 /9010.1 /90
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Cruzeiro — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cruzeiro before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Matheus Pereira n 886.9
1.67/4
2.68/5
—
Gerson n 882
15/2
2.26/6
—
Fabrício Bruno n 884.4
1.27/1
0.32/0
—
Keny Arroyo n 868.3
1.55/4
1.34/2
—
Kaio Jorge n 886
0.84/2
1.46/3
—
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Cruzeiro — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cruzeiro before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Matheus Pereira n 886.9
1.27/2
Gerson n 882
1.46/1
Fabrício Bruno n 884.4
0.85/1
Keny Arroyo n 868.3
0.83/2
Kaio Jorge n 886
0.32/0
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Cruzeiro Attacking

Cruzeiro — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Kaio Jorge38803023 min140.4 /9040.1 /90702.1 /90331 /90371.1 /90210.6 /90
Bruno Rodrigues1644706 min10.1 /9030.4 /90101.3 /9050.6 /9091.1 /9050.6 /90
Wanderson1632505 min20.4 /9000 /90122.1 /9050.9 /9010.2 /9020.4 /90
Néiser Villarreal1553788 min40.5 /9010.1 /90222.5 /9091 /90121.4 /9010.1 /90
Wesley Gassova1247567 min10.2 /9000 /90101.6 /9030.5 /9061 /90152.4 /90
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Cruzeiro — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cruzeiro before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Matheus Pereira n 886.9
37/7
1.25/3
Gerson n 882
1.15/1
0.11/0
Fabrício Bruno n 884.4
0.42/1
0.31/1
Keny Arroyo n 868.3
37/5
1.36/2
Kaio Jorge n 886
2.77/6
1.66/3
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Cruzeiro — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cruzeiro before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Matheus Pereira n 886.9
0.43/0
0.54/0
Gerson n 882
00/0
0.32/0
Fabrício Bruno n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
Keny Arroyo n 868.3
0.21/0
0.31/1
Kaio Jorge n 886
0.84/1
0.32/0
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Bahia

Bahia Goalkeeper

Bahia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Ronaldo24902148 min964 /90200.8 /9000 /90
Leo Vieira1187954 min413.9 /90171.6 /9000 /90
Joao Paulo25099 min65.5 /9065.5 /9000 /90
Bahia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bahia before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ronaldo n 890
6.58/6
Leo Vieira n 885.5
3.67/5

Bahia Defensive

Bahia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Luciano Juba32852726 min431.4 /90321.1 /9070.2 /90973.2 /90190.6 /9050.2 /90
David Duarte27912454 min281 /90331.2 /90220.8 /901395.1 /90220.8 /9050.2 /90
Santiago Ramos Mingo25922301 min120.5 /90321.3 /90281.1 /90783.1 /90180.7 /9030.1 /90
Román Gómez16751194 min282.1 /90262 /9060.5 /90806 /90231.7 /9040.3 /90
Marcos Victor875598 min172.6 /9071.1 /9030.5 /90395.9 /90121.8 /9020.3 /90
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Bahia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bahia before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Erick Pulga n 871.1
1.16/1
1.15/2
—
Luciano Juba n 890
0.32/0
0.43/0
—
Nicolás Acevedo n 868.9
2.37/4
26/4
—
Jean Lucas n 859
2.56/4
1.35/2
—
Cristian Olivera n 879.1
0.94/2
1.37/1
—
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Bahia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bahia before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Erick Pulga n 871.1
1.14/2
Luciano Juba n 890
1.56/3
Nicolás Acevedo n 868.9
2.66/5
Jean Lucas n 859
13/2
Cristian Olivera n 879.1
1.86/3
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Bahia Attacking

Bahia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Erick Pulga34702382 min40.2 /9020.1 /90391.5 /90170.6 /90250.9 /90471.8 /90
Cristian Olivera28681896 min10 /9020.1 /90301.4 /90200.9 /90351.7 /90261.2 /90
Ademir28411134 min00 /9010.1 /90181.4 /9080.6 /9090.7 /90181.4 /90
Willian Jose20601207 min40.3 /9010.1 /90181.3 /9090.7 /90211.6 /9050.4 /90
Everaldo1747795 min40.5 /9000 /90171.9 /9080.9 /9070.8 /9030.3 /90
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Bahia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bahia before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Erick Pulga n 871.1
2.17/5
0.64/0
Luciano Juba n 890
0.95/2
0.64/1
Nicolás Acevedo n 868.9
0.52/1
00/0
Jean Lucas n 859
1.14/2
0.42/0
Cristian Olivera n 879.1
15/1
0.63/1
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Bahia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bahia before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Erick Pulga n 871.1
0.32/0
00/0
Luciano Juba n 890
0.54/0
00/0
Nicolás Acevedo n 868.9
00/0
0.21/0
Jean Lucas n 859
0.42/0
0.21/0
Cristian Olivera n 879.1
00/0
0.11/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Cruzeiro v Bahia — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CruzeiroWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
BahiaLWLDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Cruzeiro 4 · 1 draw · Bahia 1 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-05-10 Bahia 1–2 Cruzeiro
  • 2025-09-15 Bahia 1–2 Cruzeiro
  • 2025-04-18 Cruzeiro 3–0 Bahia
  • 2024-10-19 Cruzeiro 1–1 Bahia
  • 2024-06-23 Bahia 4–1 Cruzeiro
  • 2023-10-25 Cruzeiro 3–0 Bahia
League standing · 2026
Cruzeiro#3 pos54 pts32 pl+5 GD
Bahia#6 pos53 pts33 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Cruzeiro scored1.59
Bahia scored1.45
Cruzeiro conceded1.44
Bahia conceded1.27

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Cruzeiro and Bahia?
In their last 6 meetings, Cruzeiro won 4, Bahia won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Cruzeiro and Bahia?
Recent form — Cruzeiro 4W 0D 1L; Bahia 2W 1D 2L.

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