Fiorentina v Como prediction

The match

Fiorentina host Como in Serie A on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 14:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Fiorentina have scored in five consecutive matches.

Form and the table

Nine of Fiorentina’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Fiorentina’s last 15 results (53%). At home, Fiorentina have three wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 9 home matches — 1.44 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.00. Fiorentina have scored seven goals, the eighth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Fiorentina have conceded 14 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs.

Eight of Como’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Como’s last 15 results (60%). Away from home, Como have five wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 9 away matches — 1.78 points per game, scoring 1.89 and conceding 1.22. Como have scored nine goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far). Como have conceded six goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Fiorentina (19th) and Como (seventh) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Como the stronger side, 331 rating points above Fiorentina (Como 1802, Fiorentina 1471, after at least 82 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished Como 1–2 Fiorentina.

Team news

Fiorentina have one name on the availability list: R. Sottil (out, Back Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-12. Predicted Fiorentina XI (4-2-3-1): D. de Gea, R. Drăgușin, Á. Jiménez, Valde, L. Ranieri, C. Ndour, N. Fagioli, A. Atta, F. Mastantuono, C. Inao Oulaï, M. Pellegrino — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Franco Mastantuono (5.0 per match over eight appearances, three goals) and Cher Ndour (3.7 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Fiorentina’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Fiorentina (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Franco Mastantuono averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 729 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Cher Ndour averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 858 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Como XI (4-2-3-1): J. Butez, J. Naveros, Y. Couto, T. Chalobah, Á. Valle, N. Paz, L. Da Cunha, A. Diao, M. Perrone, M. Baturina, T. Douvikas — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, N. Paz (7.1 per match over seven appearances, one goal and three assists) and Assane Diao (5.9 per match over seven appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Como’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Como (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), N. Paz averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 875 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Assane Diao averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 579 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.