Internacional v Cruzeiro result

Full-time · Internacional 1–2 Cruzeiro

Serie A – Brazil · · Estádio Beira Rio

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Internacional · Cruzeiro · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Internacional 1–2 Cruzeiro — Cruzeiro won this Serie A – Brazil match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.07 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 643 landed (95% range 61.9–69.2%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 394 of 600 times (65.7%), against an average rating of 68.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Cruzeiro won 2–1 at Estádio Beira Rio in Serie A – Brazil on Thursday 23 July. Cruzeiro have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Cruzeiro led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Cruzeiro: Kaio Jorge (11’, assisted by Fagner) and Matheus Pereira (64’, assisted by Fagner); Internacional: Johan Carbonero (83’, assisted by Matheus Bahia). Victor Gabriel (59’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kaio Jorge’s goal on 11 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Internacional 1.74, Cruzeiro 1.79, from 21 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

F. Rodrigues showed seven yellow cards and one red — against 5.7 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Internacional: Alexandro Bernabei (35’); Cruzeiro: Gerson (16’), Fagner (18’), Matheus Pereira (33’), Jonathan Jesus (45+3’), Matheus Henrique (66’) and Lucas Silva (89’).

What it changes

Internacional have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Cruzeiro are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Fagner (Cruzeiro) 7.9, Matheus Pereira (Cruzeiro) 6.8 and Matheus Bahia (Internacional) 6.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Internacional next host Botafogo on 24 October 2026.

Cruzeiro next travel to Gremio on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Internacional: Internacional v Botafogo, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Cruzeiro: Gremio v Cruzeiro, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Internacional 1–2 Cruzeiro · Serie A – Brazil
  • Venue: Estádio Beira Rio · Porto Alegre
  • Referee: F. Rodrigues
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Internacional 3 · draws 2 · Cruzeiro 1 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Internacional 2W 1D 2L · Cruzeiro 2W 3D 0L

Internacional 1–2 Cruzeiro (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.63 / 0.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 6.25
Corners
against 3.5 / 5.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 2.63
Cards
against 2 / 2.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 June 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 June 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameInternacional for / againstLineCruzeiro for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5our book
1.5 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
14.38 for · 11.63 against n 8
19.5standard
15.75 for · 13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.25 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
16.38 for · 15.25 against n 8
21.5standard
12.25 for · 15.13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: F. Rodrigues.

Internacional
Internacional — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Alexandro Bernabei n 889.6
3.38/7
1.48/3
Matheus Henrique
Ronaldo n 841.9
36/4
0.82/1
—
Paulinho Paula n 838.6
2.36/1
1.73/2
—
Johan Carbonero n 877.1
2.28/5
27/4
—
Alerrandro n 867.3
2.26/5
1.25/2
—
Internacional — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Kayky n 817.4
2.64/0
1.93/0
Alexandro Bernabei n 889.6
2.17/6
15/2
Rafael Borré n 839.5
25/2
0.62/0
Vitinho n 866.1
1.96/3
0.73/1
Johan Carbonero n 877.1
1.87/4
0.74/1
Internacional — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Alerrandro n 867.3
0.32/0
0.74/0
Alexandro Bernabei n 889.6
0.65/0
0.32/0
Braian Aguirre n 831.8
0.41/0
0.41/0
Johan Carbonero n 877.1
0.42/1
0.31/1
Alan Patrick n 862.1
0.21/0
0.42/0
Internacional — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ronaldo n 841.9
3.56/4
Bruno Gomes n 889.3
3.27/5
Kayky n 817.4
3.23/2
Thiago Maia n 822.9
34/1
Allex n 844.6
2.84/3
Internacional — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Anthoni n 892.8
2.86/3
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Lucas Silva n 831.1
2.97/1
1.13/0
—
Matheus Henrique n 828
2.84/3
0.82/0
Alexandro Bernabei
Fagner n 867.1
2.58/5
0.53/0
—
Kaiki n 885.1
2.17/4
1.56/4
—
Kauã Moraes n 866.4
1.96/4
1.56/3
—
Cruzeiro — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Néiser Villarreal n 827.4
2.95/1
0.82/0
Luis Sinisterra n 840.1
2.85/4
1.73/3
Keny Arroyo n 861.9
2.77/6
0.73/1
Matheus Pereira n 885.6
2.57/6
1.36/2
Chico n 826.8
2.14/1
0.41/0
Cruzeiro — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Néiser Villarreal n 827.4
0.41/0
0.41/0
Luis Sinisterra n 840.1
0.62/0
00/0
Matheus Pereira n 885.6
0.42/1
0.11/0
Kaio Jorge n 877.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
Christian n 876.8
0.11/0
0.32/0
Cruzeiro — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kaiki n 885.1
3.28/7
Marquinhos n 818.6
34/1
Lucas Silva n 831.1
2.94/2
Kauã Moraes n 866.4
2.57/4
Christian n 876.8
2.18/4
Cruzeiro — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 1 June 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Otávio Costa n 890
3.26/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
InternacionalCruzeiro
47%Possession53%
1.74Expected goals (xG)1.79
21Shots13
3Shots on target6
11Shots off target4
7Blocked shots3
11Shots inside the box9
5Corners7
3Offsides5
18Fouls14
1Yellow cards6
1Red cards0
3Saves1
337Passes400
78%Pass accuracy81%

Internacional player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Anthoni9800000007.5
Félix Torres9800100006
G. Maripán9800100106.3
Vitinho9800100106.2
Alexandro Bernabei98003020Y6.2
Johan Carbonero9810321007
Bruno Gomes8600005206.9
Rodrigo Villagra8600101106.9
Alerrandro7300210006.3
G. Mercado4500000006.9
L. F. de Morais Francisco4500001106.5
Matheus Bahia sub5301003206.9
Bruno Henrique sub2500100006.6
Victor Gabriel sub14001000R4.9
Braian Aguirre sub1200000106.6
Paulinho Paula sub1200000006.3

Cruzeiro player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Otávio Costa9800000006.6
Fabrício Bruno9800000207.6
Jonathan Jesus98000003Y7.5
Gabriel Rojas9800001606.9
Matheus Henrique98000002Y7.2
Matheus Pereira98102131Y7.3
Fagner87020062Y7.2
Kaio Jorge8710321007.3
Gerson86001003Y7
Luis Sinisterra7700110006.7
Gabriel Pec6200220107.3
Bruno Rodrigues sub3600100006.2
Lucas Silva sub21000000Y6.3
Wanderson sub1200000006.5
William Furtado sub1100000106.6
Néiser Villarreal sub1100000006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Internacional v Cruzeiro — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
InternacionalDWWLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 2 conceded per game
CruzeiroDDWWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Internacional 3 · 2 draws · Cruzeiro 1 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2025-08-23 Cruzeiro 2–1 Internacional
  • 2025-04-06 Internacional 3–0 Cruzeiro
  • 2024-08-28 Cruzeiro 0–0 Internacional
  • 2024-08-25 Internacional 1–0 Cruzeiro
  • 2023-11-05 Cruzeiro 1–2 Internacional
  • 2023-07-02 Internacional 0–0 Cruzeiro
League standing · 2026
Internacional#17 pos32 pts31 pl-7 GD
Cruzeiro#7 pos48 pts30 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Internacional scored1.06
Cruzeiro scored1.53
Internacional conceded1.29
Cruzeiro conceded1.47

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Internacional v Cruzeiro?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Internacional v Cruzeiro was Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.07 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Internacional and Cruzeiro?
In their last 6 meetings, Internacional won 3, Cruzeiro won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Internacional and Cruzeiro?
Recent form — Internacional 2W 1D 2L; Cruzeiro 2W 3D 0L.

Today’s boards

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