Internacional v Sao Paulo result

Full-time · Internacional 1–1 Sao Paulo

Serie A – Brazil · · Estádio Beira-Rio

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Internacional · Sao Paulo · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Internacional 1–1 Sao Paulo — this Serie A – Brazil match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home team goals — Home under 2 5.

Free pick
Home team goals — Home under 2 5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home team goals — Home under 2 5 in the last 90 days, 79.3% of 4304 landed (95% range 78–80.5%); it had given them 80.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Internacional and Sao Paulo drew 1–1 at Estádio Beira-Rio in Serie A – Brazil on Wednesday 1 April.

The goals

Internacional led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Internacional: Alerrandro (23’, assisted by Braian Aguirre); Sao Paulo: Jonathan Calleri (87’, assisted by Wendell).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jonathan Calleri’s goal on 87 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Internacional 1.02, Sao Paulo 0.90, from 6 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Lucas Casagrande, Brazil showed two yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Internacional: Paulinho Paula (80’); Sao Paulo: R. Toloi (90+4’).

What it changes

Internacional are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Sao Paulo are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Wendell (Sao Paulo) 6.5, Victor Gabriel (Internacional) 4.8 and Jonathan Calleri (Sao Paulo) 4.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Internacional team goals — Home under 2 5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 79.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3412 of 4304).

Next up

Internacional next host Botafogo on 24 October 2026.

Sao Paulo next travel to Mirassol on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Internacional: Internacional v Botafogo, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Sao Paulo: Mirassol v Sao Paulo, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Internacional 1–1 Sao Paulo · Serie A – Brazil
  • Venue: Estádio Beira-Rio · Porto Alegre
  • Referee: Lucas Casagrande, Brazil
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Internacional 2 · draws 1 · Sao Paulo 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Internacional 2W 1D 2L · Sao Paulo 3W 0D 2L

Internacional 1–1 Sao Paulo (Serie A – Brazil): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
9.75 / 5.25
Corners
against 3.38 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 2.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.88 / 3.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.73 yellows
Referee · Lucas Casagrande, Brazil
1.87 home / 1.87 away
over 15 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 March 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameInternacional for / againstLineSao Paulo for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
9.75 for · 3.38 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
17 for · 10.38 against n 8
19.5standard
10.25 for · 11.13 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 2.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
15.75 for · 13.25 against n 8
21.5standard
15.13 for · 14.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 3.13 against n 8

Referee: Lucas Casagrande, Brazil — 3.73 yellow cards a game, 0.07 red cards, 26.67 fouls over 15 matches (1.87 to the home side, 1.87 to the away side).

Internacional
Internacional — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Bruno Tabata n 840
2.88/2
0.62/0
—
Vitinho n 868.6
2.57/3
26/3
—
Ronaldo n 847.8
2.46/4
0.93/1
—
Paulinho Paula n 868.8
2.18/5
2.15/3
Pablo Maia
Braian Aguirre n 858.1
2.15/4
0.83/1
Pablo Maia
Internacional — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Johan Carbonero n 865.4
2.86/5
1.25/2
Bruno Tabata n 840
2.34/2
1.43/1
Alerrandro n 836.9
2.15/2
0.92/1
Rafael Borré n 881.8
1.88/3
16/1
Vitinho n 868.6
1.66/3
0.84/1
Internacional — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Kayky n 824.3
00/0
0.51/0
Alan Patrick n 884.6
0.43/0
00/0
Johan Carbonero n 865.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
Vitinho n 868.6
00/0
0.32/0
Alerrandro n 836.9
0.31/0
00/0
Internacional — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Braian Aguirre n 858.1
3.37/6
Ronaldo n 847.8
3.36/5
A. Rodríguez n 857.9
2.34/3
Victor Gabriel n 875.3
2.26/6
Alexandro Bernabei n 886.3
28/5
Internacional — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Rochet n 894.3
24/3
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Luan Silva n 825.3
2.73/3
1.33/0
—
G. Tapia n 852.1
2.44/4
3.55/3
—
Pablo Maia n 838
2.46/2
0.93/0
Braian Aguirre
Enzo Díaz n 886.3
2.28/5
1.65/3
—
Cauly n 832.1
2.13/1
2.13/2
—
Sao Paulo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Tapia n 852.1
2.25/4
0.93/1
Jonathan Calleri n 883.1
1.85/4
0.95/2
Luciano n 867.1
1.85/4
14/2
Lucas Moura n 843.3
1.65/1
0.83/0
D. Bobadilla n 870.3
1.34/3
0.64/0
Sao Paulo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lucas Moura n 843.3
0.31/0
0.31/0
Jonathan Calleri n 883.1
0.54/0
00/0
Luciano n 867.1
0.32/0
0.21/0
Cauly n 832.1
0.41/0
00/0
Andre Silva n 844.5
0.31/0
00/0
Sao Paulo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Ferraresi n 854.1
3.97/4
Enzo Díaz n 886.3
3.38/7
Maik n 878.9
3.38/6
R. Toloi n 874.6
35/5
R. Arboleda n 860.8
2.86/3
Sao Paulo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 22 March 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Rafael n 892.1
25/2

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
InternacionalSao Paulo
34%Possession66%
1.02Expected goals (xG)0.90
6Shots15
4Shots on target3
2Shots off target6
0Blocked shots6
5Shots inside the box9
2Corners11
0Offsides2
18Fouls15
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves3
294Passes584
77%Pass accuracy88%

Internacional player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Anthoni9900000006.3
Bruno Gomes9900000106.9
G. Mercado9900000206.9
Victor Gabriel9900000207.2
Rodrigo Villagra9900000106.7
Alexandro Bernabei9900101207.2
Paulinho Paula81001002Y6.7
Alan Patrick8100002207.2
Alerrandro7110220007.5
Braian Aguirre6201112107.6
Bruno Henrique6200000006.9
Thiago Maia sub3700000006.9
A. Rodríguez sub2900000106.3
Rafael Borré sub2800000006.2
Johan Carbonero sub1800000006.7
Ronaldo sub1800000106.2
Bruno Tabata sub800110006.2

Sao Paulo player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Rafael9900000007.3
R. Toloi99000000Y6.9
Sabino9900110106.7
Wendell9901004207
Jonathan Calleri9910510107.2
Pablo Maia9700101106.9
Artur9700210106.2
Luciano8400001106.3
Lucas Ramon7100001306.6
Marcos Antônio7100000106.6
Danielzinho4500002006.6
Cauly sub5400002106.9
Ferreirinha sub2800001006.6
Cédric Soares sub2800001107.2
Andre Silva sub1500000006.3
P. dos Santos sub20000000–
Luan Silva sub20000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Internacional v Sao Paulo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
InternacionalDLLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Sao PauloWWWLL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Internacional 2 · 1 draw · Sao Paulo 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2025-12-03 Sao Paulo 3–0 Internacional
  • 2025-08-03 Internacional 1–2 Sao Paulo
  • 2024-09-22 Sao Paulo 1–3 Internacional
  • 2024-06-13 Internacional 0–0 Sao Paulo
  • 2023-09-14 Internacional 2–1 Sao Paulo
  • 2023-05-07 Sao Paulo 2–0 Internacional
League standing · 2026
Internacional#17 pos32 pts31 pl-7 GD
Sao Paulo#8 pos42 pts31 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Internacional scored1.06
Sao Paulo scored1.16
Internacional conceded1.29
Sao Paulo conceded1.13

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Internacional v Sao Paulo?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Internacional v Sao Paulo was Home team goals — Home under 2 5.
What is the head-to-head record between Internacional and Sao Paulo?
In their last 6 meetings, Internacional won 2, Sao Paulo won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Internacional and Sao Paulo?
Recent form — Internacional 2W 1D 2L; Sao Paulo 3W 0D 2L.

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