JuventusFiorentina

Juventus v Fiorentina result

Full-time · Juventus 0–2 Fiorentina

Serie A ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Juventus · Fiorentina · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Juventus 0–2 Fiorentina — Fiorentina won this Serie A match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55.2% of 145 landed (95% range 47–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Juventus: 1.97 to 0.51 in expected goals, from 26 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the 14th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Fiorentina won 2–0 at Juventus in Serie A on Sunday 17 May.

The goals

Fiorentina led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Fiorentina: Cher Ndour (34’, assisted by Manor Solomon) and Rolando Mandragora (83’). Luca Ranieri (-5’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Cher Ndour’s goal on 34 minutes.

Discipline

D. Massa showed four yellow cards and one red — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Juventus: Bremer (45’); Fiorentina: Marin Pongračić (22’), J. Harrison (85’) and Albert Guðmundsson (90+1’).

What it changes

Juventus move down from third to fifth (37 league matches played). Juventus have scored 61 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Juventus have conceded 34 goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Fiorentina stay 15th after this result (37 league matches played). Fiorentina have scored 41 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Fiorentina have conceded 50 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Cher Ndour (Fiorentina) 8.8, Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina) 5.0 and Manor Solomon (Fiorentina) 4.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Fiorentina are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Juventus.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 55.2% of the time in the last 90 days (80 of 145).

Next up

Juventus next travel to Fiorentina on 8 November 2026.

Fiorentina next host Juventus on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Juventus: Fiorentina v Juventus, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Juventus 0–2 Fiorentina · Serie A
  • Referee: D. Massa
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Juventus 3 · draws 2 · Fiorentina 1 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Juventus 3W 2D 0L · Fiorentina 1W 3D 1L

Juventus 0–2 Fiorentina (Serie A): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 0.63
Goals
against 0.25 / 1.13 · 0 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
6.5 / 3.88
Corners
against 3.5 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 2.63
Shots on target
against 2 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2.5
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.3 yellows
Referee · D. Massa
27.7 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameJuventus for / againstLineFiorentina for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 0.25 against n 8
3our book
0.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
6.5 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
16.38 for · 10.13 against n 8
19.5standard
10.13 for · 13.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.63 for · 2 against n 8
8.5standard
2.63 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.38 for · 12.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: D. Massa — 4.3 yellow cards a game, 0.3 red cards, 27.7 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Juventus

Juventus Goalkeeper

Juventus — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Di Gregorio40893555 min1062.7 /90401 /9010 /90
M. Perin12861035 min242.1 /90141.2 /9010.1 /90
Juventus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Di Gregorio n 884.4
2.35/4
M. Perin n 884.4
1.64/1

Juventus Defensive

Juventus — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Pierre Kalulu50894452 min801.6 /90330.7 /90140.3 /901573.2 /90440.9 /9040.1 /90
L. Kelly46884043 min641.4 /90200.4 /90240.5 /902144.8 /90591.3 /9060.1 /90
Bremer29852465 min311.1 /90371.4 /90120.4 /901184.3 /90291.1 /9040.1 /90
F. Gatti22661455 min201.2 /90211.3 /90150.9 /90563.5 /90201.2 /9030.2 /90
J. Cabal1532484 min122.2 /9061.1 /9010.2 /90305.6 /90112 /9050.9 /90
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Juventus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Pierre Kalulu n 890
0.32/0
0.41/1
L. Ranieri
A. Cambiaso n 877.8
1.25/3
16/1
Dodô
K. Yıldız n 874.9
0.63/1
1.15/2
—
M. Locatelli n 890
2.38/5
15/2
—
L. Kelly n 887.4
0.63/1
0.84/2
M. Pongračić
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Juventus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pierre Kalulu n 890
1.86/4
A. Cambiaso n 877.8
28/4
K. Yıldız n 874.9
1.73/2
M. Locatelli n 890
2.98/7
L. Kelly n 887.4
1.75/4
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Juventus Attacking

Juventus — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Yıldız48783739 min140.3 /90100.2 /90832 /90501.2 /90942.3 /90992.4 /90
Francisco Conceição40672687 min60.2 /9040.1 /90561.9 /90321.1 /90501.7 /90752.5 /90
Jonathan David35622175 min90.4 /9040.2 /90391.6 /90190.8 /90381.6 /9090.4 /90
Loïs Openda2045891 min20.2 /9000 /90222.2 /9080.8 /90141.4 /9060.6 /90
Dušan Vlahović19581095 min90.7 /9020.2 /90403.3 /90242 /90121 /9060.5 /90
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Juventus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Pierre Kalulu n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
A. Cambiaso n 877.8
0.43/0
0.32/0
K. Yıldız n 874.9
1.55/4
0.94/2
M. Locatelli n 890
0.95/1
0.42/1
L. Kelly n 887.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Juventus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Juventus before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Pierre Kalulu n 890
00/0
0.11/0
A. Cambiaso n 877.8
00/0
0.11/0
K. Yıldız n 874.9
0.32/0
0.32/0
M. Locatelli n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Kelly n 887.4
00/0
0.11/0
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Fiorentina

Fiorentina Goalkeeper

Fiorentina — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
David de Gea44903961 min1343 /90571.3 /9010 /90
O. Christensen390270 min82.7 /9051.7 /9000 /90
T. Martinelli290180 min63 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Fiorentina — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David de Gea n 890
3.58/4

Fiorentina Defensive

Fiorentina — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Pongračić43833560 min431.1 /90451.1 /90300.8 /901543.9 /90802 /90140.4 /90
Dodô42853588 min340.9 /90320.8 /9040.1 /901694.2 /90280.7 /9090.2 /90
L. Ranieri41803265 min431.2 /90310.9 /90160.4 /901494.1 /90290.8 /90100.3 /90
P. Comuzzo33742432 min481.8 /90361.3 /90190.7 /901053.9 /90321.2 /9050.2 /90
R. Gosens31732249 min381.5 /90210.8 /9060.2 /901104.4 /90241 /9030.1 /90
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Fiorentina — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
David de Gea n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
M. Pongračić n 874.5
2.16/4
0.32/0
L. Kelly
Dodô n 889.8
1.37/2
0.86/0
A. Cambiaso
L. Ranieri n 890
0.43/0
0.64/1
Pierre Kalulu
Rolando Mandragora n 878.8
1.97/4
2.37/4
—
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Fiorentina — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Pongračić n 874.5
0.95/1
Dodô n 889.8
1.35/4
L. Ranieri n 890
1.36/2
Rolando Mandragora n 878.8
1.65/4
C. Ndour n 881
2.48/6
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Fiorentina Attacking

Fiorentina — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Guðmundsson40662638 min90.3 /9060.2 /90371.3 /90210.7 /90381.3 /90270.9 /90
R. Piccoli34652204 min70.3 /9020.1 /90532.2 /90210.9 /90220.9 /9080.3 /90
M. Kean31742308 min80.3 /9010 /90863.4 /90351.4 /9060.2 /90281.1 /90
J. Harrison19671277 min10.1 /9030.2 /9080.6 /9030.2 /90171.2 /90181.3 /90
M. Solomon1558877 min20.2 /9010.1 /9080.8 /9050.5 /90242.5 /90262.7 /90
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Fiorentina — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
David de Gea n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Pongračić n 874.5
00/0
00/0
Dodô n 889.8
15/2
0.43/0
L. Ranieri n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Rolando Mandragora n 878.8
1.15/3
0.74/1
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Fiorentina — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fiorentina before kick-off, to 10 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
David de Gea n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Pongračić n 874.5
00/0
00/0
Dodô n 889.8
00/0
00/0
L. Ranieri n 890
00/0
00/0
Rolando Mandragora n 878.8
00/0
0.43/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
JuventusFiorentina
58%Possession42%
1.98Expected goals (xG)0.47
26Shots10
9Shots on target4
10Shots off target3
7Blocked shots3
17Shots inside the box4
6Corners2
1Offsides2
15Fouls12
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
2Saves9
479Passes362
81%Pass accuracy77%

Juventus Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Di Gregorio9000000006.6
Pierre Kalulu9000003106.5
Bremer90003102Y7
W. McKennie9000113107.2
M. Locatelli9000311308.5
Dušan Vlahović9000311006.3
K. Yıldız8900423207
L. Kelly8100000006.5
A. Cambiaso6900101106.6
Francisco Conceição6900114107.3
T. Koopmeiners4500001106.6
J. Boga sub4500222008.6
K. Thuram sub2100000106.5
E. Zhegrova sub2100000006.7
F. Gatti sub900001106.2
F. Miretti sub10010010–

Fiorentina Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
David de Gea9000000008.7
Dodô9000002107
M. Pongračić90000021Y8
C. Ndour9010110508
R. Piccoli9000200006.5
M. Solomon9001112106.9
R. Gosens7400001006.6
L. Ranieri64000000R7.2
N. Fagioli6400101007
M. Brescianini6400000006.3
F. Parisi3200000006.9
J. Harrison sub58001101Y6.7
P. Comuzzo sub2600000006.6
Rolando Mandragora sub2610110107.9
A. Guðmundsson sub26000000Y6.2
L. Balbo sub1600000007

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Juventus v Fiorentina — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
JuventusWWDDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
FiorentinaWDDLD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Juventus 3 · 2 draws · Fiorentina 1 · 2 goals/game
  • 2025-11-22 Fiorentina 1–1 Juventus
  • 2025-03-16 Fiorentina 3–0 Juventus
  • 2024-12-29 Juventus 2–2 Fiorentina
  • 2024-04-07 Juventus 1–0 Fiorentina
  • 2023-11-05 Fiorentina 0–1 Juventus
  • 2023-02-12 Juventus 1–0 Fiorentina
League standing · 2025/26
Juventus#6 pos69 pts38 pl+27 GD
Fiorentina#15 pos42 pts38 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Juventus scored1.61
Fiorentina scored1.08
Juventus conceded0.89
Fiorentina conceded1.32

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Juventus 1.97 xG from 26 shots, Fiorentina 0.51 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Dusan Vlahovic 19' · 0.43 xGBremer 66' · 0.30 xGDusan Vlahovic 17' · 0.11 xGDusan Vlahovic 54' · 0.10 xGFrancisco Conceição 58' · 0.09 xGJeremie Boga 46' · 0.09 xGEdon Zhegrova 69' · 0.07 xGFrancisco Conceição 23' · 0.07 xGJack Harrison 45' · 0.07 xGEdon Zhegrova 92' · 0.07 xGKephren Thuram 80' · 0.07 xGKenan Yildiz 48' · 0.07 xGManor Solomon 52' · 0.06 xGWeston McKennie 57' · 0.06 xGRobin Gosens 12' · 0.06 xGFrancisco Conceição 14' · 0.05 xGJeremie Boga 54' · 0.05 xGRoberto Piccoli 75' · 0.05 xGManor Solomon 41' · 0.04 xGBremer 41' · 0.04 xGAndrea Cambiaso 55' · 0.04 xGKenan Yildiz 81' · 0.04 xGManor Solomon 51' · 0.04 xGManuel Locatelli 35' · 0.03 xGJeremie Boga 88' · 0.03 xGDusan Vlahovic 89' · 0.03 xGRoberto Piccoli 17' · 0.03 xGKenan Yildiz 87' · 0.03 xGBremer 46' · 0.03 xGFabio Miretti 92' · 0.02 xGNicolo Fagioli 45' · 0.02 xGKenan Yildiz 40' · 0.02 xGManuel Locatelli 59' · 0.02 xGManuel Locatelli 14' · 0.01 xGCher Ndour 33' · 0.12 xG · goalRolando Mandragora 82' · 0.03 xG · goal
Juventus (attacking right)Fiorentina (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Juventus2601.97
Fiorentina1020.51

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Juventus led on xG, 0.77 to 0.34. At full time, Juventus led on xG, 1.97 to 0.51. The widest gap was 1.46 xG to Juventus, in the 92nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.01.000′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Fiorentina 33 minGoal - Fiorentina 82 min
Juventus 1.97 xGFiorentina 0.51 xGdots = goals · 36 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Juventus v Fiorentina?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Juventus v Fiorentina was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Juventus and Fiorentina?
In their last 6 meetings, Juventus won 3, Fiorentina won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Juventus and Fiorentina?
Recent form — Juventus 3W 2D 0L; Fiorentina 1W 3D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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