Lecce v Inter prediction

Serie A · Sun, 20 Dec 2026 17:30 GMT · Stadio Via del Mare

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lecce · Inter · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Lecce v Inter, Serie A on Sun, 20 Dec 2026 17:30 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Lecce host Inter in Serie A on Sunday 20 December (kick-off 17:30 UK).

The key numbers

12 of Inter’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Inter have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Inter are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Lecce, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Nine of Lecce’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in six of Lecce’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Lecce have two wins, no draws and five defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.86 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.86. Lecce have scored 11 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Lecce have conceded 21 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs.

Both teams scored in 10 of Inter’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Inter have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.38. Inter have scored 26 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Inter have conceded 13 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Lecce have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Lecce (14th) and Inter (second) are 16 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Inter the stronger side, 469 rating points above Lecce (Inter 1911, Lecce 1442, after at least 200 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Lecce 0–2 Inter.

Team news

Predicted Lecce XI (4-3-3): W. Falcone, T. Gabriel, A. Gallo, D. Veiga, J. Siebert, O. Ngom, Y. Maleh, M. Kaba, K. N’Dri, A. Ahmed Fatah, N. Štulić — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lassana Coulibaly (3.9 per match over eight appearances, two goals and one assist) and Danilo Veiga (3.7 per match over 11 appearances, two assists) have been Lecce’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lecce (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lassana Coulibaly averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 669 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances. Danilo Veiga averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 990 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Inter XI (3-5-2): J. Martínez, M. Akanji, Y. Bisseck, A. Bastoni, N. Barella, H. Çalhanoğlu, F. Dimarco, A. Diouf, P. Zieliński, M. Thuram, F. Esposito — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lautaro Martínez (5.8 per match over seven appearances, six goals and one assist) and Carlos Augusto (4.5 per match over 11 appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Inter’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Inter (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lautaro Martínez averages 3.7 shots per 90 over 1203 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Carlos Augusto averages 1.4 tackles per 90 over 798 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 20 Dec 2026 17:30 GMT · Serie A · Stadio Via del Mare
Head-to-head (last 6): Lecce 0 · draws 0 · Inter 6 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Lecce 1W 0D 4L · Inter 4W 0D 1L

Lecce v Inter (Serie A): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 2.25

Goals

against 2.13 / 1.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5 / 5.63

Corners

against 4.38 / 2.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.25 / 7.25

Shots on target

against 5.63 / 3.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 1.88

Cards

against 0.63 / 2 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Lecce for / against	Line	Inter for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.25 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.63 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.5 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	19.75 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.25 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	7.25 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.5 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Lecce

Lecce Goalkeeper

Lecce — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
W. Falcone	11	90990 min	403.6 /90	161.5 /90	00 /90

Lecce — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
W. Falcone n 8	90	3.4 5/4

Lecce Defensive

Lecce — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Danilo Veiga	11	90990 min	282.5 /90	131.2 /90	30.3 /90	575.2 /90	141.3 /90	30.3 /90
A. Gallo	10	86855 min	181.9 /90	90.9 /90	40.4 /90	293.1 /90	10.1 /90	00 /90
Tiago Gabriel	10	75751 min	151.8 /90	151.8 /90	20.2 /90	536.4 /90	101.2 /90	10.1 /90
J. Siebert	9	78699 min	222.8 /90	111.4 /90	30.4 /90	465.9 /90	121.5 /90	30.4 /90
Kialonda Gaspar	7	87606 min	213.1 /90	60.9 /90	40.6 /90	405.9 /90	81.2 /90	30.4 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Lecce — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Danilo Veiga n 8	90	1.5 6/3	1.4 7/2	—
W. Falcone n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
O. Ngom n 8	62.9	1.8 6/4	0.5 3/0	—
Y. Maleh n 8	70.3	1.6 6/4	0.8 5/0	—
A. Gallo n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
See more players · Pro

Lecce — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Danilo Veiga n 8	90	2.8 7/5
O. Ngom n 8	62.9	2.7 7/4
Y. Maleh n 8	70.3	1.9 6/4
A. Gallo n 8	90	2.3 7/6
Tiago Gabriel n 8	80.6	2.1 7/5
See more players · Pro

Lecce Attacking

Lecce — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
K. N’Dri	10	58581 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	142.2 /90	71.1 /90	81.2 /90	132 /90
A. Ahmed Fatah	9	41368 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	92.2 /90	41 /90	30.7 /90	163.9 /90
S. Pierotti	8	66527 min	00 /90	00 /90	30.5 /90	20.3 /90	40.7 /90	61 /90
N. Štulić	8	52414 min	00 /90	00 /90	112.4 /90	40.9 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90
Paco Esteban	7	33234 min	00 /90	00 /90	72.7 /90	31.2 /90	10.4 /90	31.2 /90
See more players · Pro

Lecce — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
W. Falcone n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Danilo Veiga n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Ngom n 8	62.9	1.4 5/2	0.7 4/0
Y. Maleh n 8	70.3	1.1 5/1	0.2 1/0
A. Gallo n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
See more players · Pro

Lecce — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lecce before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Danilo Veiga n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
W. Falcone n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Ngom n 8	62.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Maleh n 8	70.3	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
A. Gallo n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
See more players · Pro

Inter

Inter Goalkeeper

Inter — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Josep Martínez	12	901080 min	342.8 /90	151.3 /90	00 /90
I. Provedel	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90

Inter — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Josep Martínez n 8	90	2.5 7/3

Inter Defensive

Inter — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Akanji	12	83993 min	171.5 /90	252.3 /90	50.5 /90	524.7 /90	80.7 /90	40.4 /90
A. Bastoni	12	82978 min	211.9 /90	70.6 /90	60.6 /90	403.7 /90	121.1 /90	40.4 /90
Y. Bisseck	12	81968 min	191.8 /90	141.3 /90	70.7 /90	444.1 /90	50.5 /90	10.1 /90
Carlos Augusto	11	73798 min	121.4 /90	131.5 /90	10.1 /90	485.4 /90	70.8 /90	20.2 /90
B. Pavard	4	63253 min	72.5 /90	31.1 /90	00 /90	134.6 /90	31.1 /90	00 /90
See more players · Pro

Inter — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Barella n 8	79.8	1.7 6/2	0.8 5/1	—
M. Thuram n 8	77.5	2.2 8/4	1.5 5/3	—
Josep Martínez n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
M. Akanji n 8	83.8	0.7 5/0	0.8 5/1	—
A. Bastoni n 8	78.6	1.3 7/2	0.3 2/0	—
See more players · Pro

Inter — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Barella n 8	79.8	1.4 4/3
M. Thuram n 8	77.5	1.5 4/4
M. Akanji n 8	83.8	1.5 5/3
A. Bastoni n 8	78.6	1.6 6/3
Y. Bisseck n 8	76	1.2 4/3
See more players · Pro

Inter Attacking

Inter — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Thuram	13	70909 min	50.5 /90	20.2 /90	363.6 /90	171.7 /90	141.4 /90	111.1 /90
F. Esposito	10	61611 min	30.4 /90	10.1 /90	152.2 /90	101.5 /90	81.2 /90	10.1 /90
A. Bonny	9	38346 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	123.1 /90	92.3 /90	41 /90	71.8 /90
Lautaro Martínez	7	76532 min	61 /90	10.2 /90	305.1 /90	122 /90	122 /90	50.8 /90
Luis Henrique	6	38226 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.2 /90	10.4 /90	20.8 /90	52 /90
See more players · Pro

Inter — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. Barella n 8	79.8	1.4 6/3	0.3 2/0
M. Thuram n 8	77.5	3 8/6	1.6 7/2
Josep Martínez n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Akanji n 8	83.8	0.8 4/1	0.1 1/0
A. Bastoni n 8	78.6	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0
See more players · Pro

Inter — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Barella n 8	79.8	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
M. Thuram n 8	77.5	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Josep Martínez n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Akanji n 8	83.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Bastoni n 8	78.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lecce v Inter — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

LecceLWLLL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.2 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

InterWWWLW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Lecce 0 · 0 draws · Inter 6 · 2.5 goals/game

2026-02-21 Lecce 0–2 Inter
2026-01-14 Inter 1–0 Lecce
2025-01-26 Lecce 0–4 Inter
2024-08-24 Inter 2–0 Lecce
2024-02-25 Lecce 0–4 Inter
2023-12-23 Inter 2–0 Lecce

League standing · 2026/27

Lecce#14 pos9 pts10 pl-10 GD

Inter#2 pos25 pts10 pl+13 GD

Goals per game

Lecce scored1.1

Inter scored2.6

Lecce conceded2.1

Inter conceded1.3

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)

Pro

Win probability & value

Pro

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Lecce and Inter?: In their last 6 meetings, Lecce won 0, Inter won 6 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lecce and Inter?: Recent form — Lecce 1W 0D 4L; Inter 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.